Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - January 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/3)-(3/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/3)-(3/7/1/5)-(7/1/2/14/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/5)-(7/1/2/14/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/5)-(7/1/2/14/5)-(3/6/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (7/1/2/14/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/14/5)-(7/1/2/14/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/14/5)-(7/1/2/14/5)-(7/1/2/14/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/2/14/5)-(3/6/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/14/5)-(3/6/5/1)-(11/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(11/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(11/9/10)-(3/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (11/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/10)-(11/9/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/9/10)-(11/9/10)-(11/9/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (11/9/10)-(3/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/9/10)-(3/7/5/2)-(12/11/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/2)-(12/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/2)-(12/11/4)-(8/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (12/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/11/4)-(12/11/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/11/4)-(12/11/4)-(12/11/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/11/4)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIAMONDINTHESTORM Nov29 Aug12 Jul18 Jun27 May30 (dandridge )ALBERT S 122 5.00    
EVERYLITTLESINGH Dec20 Nov29 Oct17 Sep09 Aug31 (singh s)SINGH R 122 3.00    
ASPEN LINK Dec12 Sep09 Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
REAL DEAL RYAN Dec20 Dec06 Nov20 Nov09 Oct18 (cormier cardel)MCMAHON J 122 4.00    
GIGI'S LUV Dec20 Sep09 Aug21 Jul10 Jun08 (duhon o)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 8% 12.10    
CANADIAN CARLA Dec28 Dec07 Aug09     (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00 10% 8.80    
RUN AWAY SAMARI Dec20 Nov29 Oct12 Sep18 Aug27 (jeansonne ju)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
FG-2   01/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING ROSES Dec29 Dec13 Oct13 Aug15 Aug01 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 13% 7.00    
ONCOMING TRAIN Dec26 Nov14 Sep15 Aug10 Jun22 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
GLOBAL PRIDE Dec16 Dec08 Oct13 Sep16 Aug12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 1.20 34% 1.90    
CRIME SPREE Dec16 Sep04 Aug03 Jun26 May19 (leonard george )MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
IRISH KITTEN Nov25 Aug24 Aug09 Jul15 Jun28 (west henry)JOURNET JARRED 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE BERLEY Dec29 Nov15 Sep29 Sep12 Aug03 (dorochenko ge)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
JULIA'S WARRIOR Dec26 Dec16 Nov22 Sep25 Sep09 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
FG-3   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEWISH MOTHER Nov09 Sep08 Aug17 Jun28 Jun16 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00 27% 2.80    
TERRA BELLA Dec13 Nov23       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 10% 8.90    
CLEARSUGAR May03         (camejo jos)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Dec19 Oct20 Sep07 Aug04 Jul06 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
ADD TO CART         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS LOUISE         (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
MAKE A MILLION Dec19 Oct13 Sep01 Aug10   (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
MIDNIGHT MARY Dec13         (catalano wayne)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  FUEGO K Sep25 Sep10       (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
10  RED ZONE Jan01 Nov20       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
SCR  SOLAR BURST Nov16 Oct05       (wong jonat)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
12  MY BOSSY LADY Nov07 Oct19       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  MCKINZIE MAGIC         (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
14  AHAMO Nov21         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
 
FG-4   01/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET HOTSHOT Oct19 Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 Jul18 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PATH TO SUCCESS Dec13 Oct12 Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
KEYS INCLUDED Dec19 Nov09 Oct19 Aug26 Aug09 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
SPECTRIER Dec19 Nov24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep07 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 10.00    
WICKED TRICK Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Oct19 Aug09 (larrosa j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
EMBER Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 Jul26 (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
RIGHTANDJUST Dec19 Nov29 Sep14 Jun18 Jun07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.50    
 
FG-5   01/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOTANOTHATHINGCOMN Dec12 Oct03       (russell bri)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
SCR  TANTI AUGURI Dec13         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  PONDERING Oct05 Aug31 Jul22     (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
SCR  DEAR LOUISE Oct11 Aug15       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00    
SCR  SAINT CECILE Nov29 Oct26 Sep25 Aug21   (vincen)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 30.00    
SCR  FIONN Dec16 Sep26       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
SCR  SWAN HOUSE Sep28 Sep06 Jul30     (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
CARSON BAY Dec22 Oct26 Sep26 Aug31 Aug18 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
FINE FINISH Dec12 Nov07 Oct11 May26   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 119 5.00 28% 2.50    
10  BLACK GINGER Dec21 Oct03       (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  QUANTUM BURST Nov30 Nov02 Oct05     (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 6.00 50% 1.00    
12  ALEDEAN Oct12 Sep15 Aug25     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
 
FG-6   01/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAN D'ORO Dec22 Dec06 Nov24     (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
TIME TO COLLECT Dec19 Nov22 Oct25     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND ACADEMIC Dec19 Nov30 Nov08     (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
ROYAL COACH Dec19 Oct23       (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00    
AMERICAN VISION Nov30 Oct07 Sep09 Aug05   (mojica ed)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
AMBRIDGE Dec22 Nov28 Nov07 Oct11   (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
LOVE PACK Oct06 Aug24       (walden willi)TORRES A 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
FG-7   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOSS' DIALIN IN Nov30 Apr21 Mar14 Feb24 Jan27 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
SCR  AMERICAN KNOW HOW Dec13 Nov01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul15 (morley thomas)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  SWIFT AS I AM Dec13 Oct13 Sep11 Aug15 Apr27 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 120 6.00    
SHIP CADET Dec13 Nov03 Aug18 Jul30 Jun11 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MARK OF THE Z Dec13 Oct23 Jul28 Apr19 Oct15 (rodriguez jos)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
SCR  AMBIVALENT Dec21 Sep01 Jul27 Jun14 Apr19 (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 2.50    
THINK BIG Dec07 Oct16 Sep14 Jul27 Jun30 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00    
SCR  FELIX Dec02 Sep02 Aug05 Nov06 Sep16 (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
LINZER Dec13 Oct17 Aug31 Jul14 Jun16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Aug11 Jun29 May27 Nov17 Oct15 (rice linda)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
11  GUNNER BAY Nov16 Oct12 Sep02 Jun28 Jun02 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
12  BANNED FOR LIFE Nov23 Oct04 Aug10 Jun30 Jun02 (stall m)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
13  CALL ME Q Dec13 Nov07 Sep22 Aug24 Aug05 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 120 5.00    
 
FG-8   01/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOM CADILLAC Dec20 Nov29 Aug17 Jul05 Jun15 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
SCR  PARTY AT JAYS Jan02 Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 Aug03 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 122 8.00    
THE SPEEDY ONE Dec16 May04 Apr13 Mar22 Mar02 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
LOST MY BAG Dec12 Nov24 Sep16 Aug22 Aug01 (ney john)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 6.00    
COLT'S BRIM Dec20 Nov29 Sep24 Sep02 Aug14 (hargrave ke)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 10.00    
RAZZ Dec07 Apr12 Feb23 Feb08 Jan12 (zenon charles)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
GARFISH Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 Jun15 May17 (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
FATHER MARK Dec20 Nov29 Aug14 Jul19 Jun08 (delacruz j)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.