Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(10/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(10/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(10/6/3/7)-(5/3/1/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (10/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/3/7)-(10/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/3/7)-(10/6/3/7)-(10/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/6/3/7)-(5/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/6/3/7)-(5/3/1/8)-(8/3/10/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/8)-(8/3/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/8)-(8/3/10/9)-(8/1/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/3/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/10/9)-(8/3/10/5/9)-(8/3/10/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/3/10/9)-(8/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/10/9)-(8/1/7/2)-(2/10/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(2/10/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2)-(2/10/4/5)-(8/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/10/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/4/5)-(2/10/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/4/5)-(2/10/4/5)-(2/10/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/4/5)-(8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/5)-(8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARGARITA CINCO Jul25 Nov09 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
2  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Nov06 Sep30 Aug28 Nov07 Oct23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 8% 11.80    
3  MIZZEN THE POINT Dec02 Nov06 Dec20 Nov28 Nov09 (overholt pau)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 3.50 64% 0.60    
4  BUCKEYE ROSE Dec23 Dec04 Apr11 Feb24 Dec27 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60    
5  SPICE ICE Nov06 Sep30 Sep03 Aug14 Feb08 (farrior anth)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  OPIE'S GIRL Dec02 Nov04 Oct05 Sep18 Aug15 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   01/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH Dec27 Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Dec26 Dec09 Nov01 Oct06 Sep21 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50    
3  QUARANTINA Dec27 Nov19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
4  CEVICHE Dec27 Nov19 Oct21 Aug15 Jul30 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 6.00    
5  ELIKA Dec12 Dec03 Nov18 Nov05 Oct28 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  HALF BIRTHDAY Oct22 Sep10 Sep04 Jul30 Jul04 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 1.40 51% 1.00    
7  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 Nov12 Oct21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
MVR-3   01/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILLING Dec18 Nov20 Oct19     (faulkn)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
SCR  PINK RACER Oct19         (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50    
3  RIVERS RUN RED Dec17 Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep05 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOLD ZEE Dec18 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17   (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 20.00    
5  JUSTWORTHASHOT Dec17 Oct30 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 126 4.00    
6  SHES A STORM Dec17 Nov26       (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 9% 10.00    
7  SUPER SCAMP Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Sep27 Sep13 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOLD NICKY Dec17 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 (mad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00    
9  MY DEAR VALENTINE Dec17 Nov26 Oct21 Sep27 Aug21 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
10  COUNTRY STYLE Dec17 Jun18 Jun03 Apr08 Feb22 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 2.00 67% 0.50    
 
MVR-4   01/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERALD EYES Nov21 Nov05 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (salcedo )FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
2  WELLOILEDCAT Dec23 Jun10 May29 May20 May06 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 20.00    
3  OLYMPIC WINGS Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 Oct07 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.00 19% 4.40    
4  PENNY'S TREASURE Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep12 Jul31 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
5  SHE'S A SOLDIER Oct08 Sep02 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 (galloway khadeem)STOKES J 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
6  WINDY VALLEY Dec27 Dec09 Nov05 Oct03 Sep12 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
7  COWGIRLS HUMOR Dec26 Dec09 Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 (schuster rob)AYALA J 124 4.00    
8  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Dec09 Nov21 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   01/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOTROD BOBBY Dec18 Dec05 Nov21 Oct29 Oct08 (morales s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
2  PRIVATE DRIVE Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 Sep10 Aug12 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
3  NICK CAN FIX Oct30 Oct11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug12 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 30% 2.40    
4  GAPPER Dec04 Nov14 Oct02 Sep07 Aug09 (galloway khadee)LEON A 124 20.00    
5  WHAT A RUSH Oct02 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Jul04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 ★    
6  RAISE THE PURSES Dec16 Nov26 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 2.50    
7  DERBY INCLUDED Dec05 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Sep26 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
8  WILDCAT BILL Dec05 Nov18 Oct29 Sep26 Sep09 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
9  GOLDEN MONEY Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct02 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MUCHO PRIMO Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Oct29 Oct11 (urieta johan)AYALA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  THE PINK Z Dec18 Dec05 Nov02 Oct02 Sep07 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
12  SPIRIT OF AKRON Dec05 Nov13 Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY ONE Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Oct21 (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
2  RUBY LAYNE Dec18 Nov24 Oct29 Oct14 Sep03 (overholt )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  C MORE PRIDE May07 Apr03 Mar04 Jan31 Jan09 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00    
4  THIRTY SOMETHING Dec02 Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 Sep05 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
SCR  AMY'S STAR Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 Jan11   (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80    
6  OFFICE CHATTER Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Sep28 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
7  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Dec18 Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 4.50 6% 15.00    
8  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Dec02 Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 65% 0.50    
 
MVR-7   01/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUP EIGHTEEN Dec19 Dec04 Nov01 Sep25 Sep11 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
2  ATKINS Dec05 Nov02 Oct24 Oct13 Sep26 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 48% 1.10    
3  THRU THE VINE Dec19 Dec02 Nov05 Oct23 Oct08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00    
4  ONE TEN Dec18 Nov25 Oct28 Oct11 Sep18 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
5  CANDY INVASION Dec17 Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL DRAGOON Dec19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct11 Sep20 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 124 12.00    
7  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Apr02 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON WISDOM Dec19 Dec02 Nov13 Sep10 Aug20 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00    
SCR  RAISON KARTER Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 Jul26 Jul10 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
10  ROSE'S PEPINO Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 Sep20 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-8   01/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE HAD A SECRET Oct30 Oct23 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 (roberson d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
2  MARDENE Nov24 Nov08 Oct13 Oct05 Sep21 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
SCR  TROTTER Dec04 Oct31 Aug07 Jul16 Jun08 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 2.50    
SCR  SESSA SISU Nov24 Oct22 Sep23 Aug20 Sep14 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00    
5  HIGH TOLE Dec11 Sep09       (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 116 6.00 8% 11.60    
6  GOLDENEYE MAGIC Dec05         (dacost)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 5.00 33% 2.00    
7  NIGHT NURSE Dec11 Oct14 Sep24 Aug14   (dacosta jason)BRACHO A 116 20.00    
8  SPIRITED RIDE Oct25 Oct07 Sep21     (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.