Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Sunday - December 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (8/6/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9)-(8/6/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/5/2/9)-(2/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/2/9)-(2/3/4)-(1/6/2/4/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
OP-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/6/2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/6/2/4/3)-(2/9/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/6/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4/3)-(1/6/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4/3)-(1/6/2/4/3)-(1/6/2/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4/3)-(2/9/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/4/3)-(2/9/8/6)-(8/7/1/9/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-4   WIN (2/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/8/6)-(8/7/1/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/6)-(8/7/1/9/6)-(2/4/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-5   WIN (8/7/1/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/9/6)-(8/7/1/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/9/6)-(8/7/1/9/6)-(8/7/1/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/1/9/6)-(2/4/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/9/6)-(2/4/9/7)-(5/2/1/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-6   WIN (2/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/9/7)-(5/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/7)-(5/2/1/8)-(7/9/6/11/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
OP-7   WIN (5/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/8)-(5/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/8)-(5/2/1/8)-(5/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/8)-(7/9/6/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/8)-(7/9/6/11/1)-(4/5/11/2/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
OP-8   WIN (7/9/6/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/11/1)-(7/9/6/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/11/1)-(7/9/6/11/1)-(7/9/6/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/6/11/1)-(4/5/11/2/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
OP-9   WIN (4/5/11/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/11/2/6)-(4/5/11/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/11/2/6)-(4/5/11/2/6)-(4/5/11/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR CASTLE May03 Feb03       (prather h)BOWEN ROCCO 117 3.00    
2  I BE GONE Oct16 Aug30 Aug16 May03 Apr04 (west henry)CASTILLO AMIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HONDURAS PASSION Sep16 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul04 (puhl kim)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 4.50    
4  CHARLINA Nov07 Sep25 Aug19 Apr27   (shorte)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 4.00    
5  SIMPLE DREAMS         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 117 15.00 7% 13.70    
6  FINE BY DESIGN Nov18 Dec08       (hewitt michael)VAZQUEZ A 117 5.00 20% 4.00    
7  OUR SPECIAL GIFT Sep21 Aug11       (hornsby tammy)TORRES HUGO 119 15.00    
8  SMOKE SHOW GIRL         (witt erni)TORRES A 117 3.50 48% 1.10    
9  COSMIC CHIC Apr04 Mar01 Feb10 Dec31   (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
OP-2   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIP SHORTAGE Sep26 Sep09 Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 (jordan todd)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.00    
2  OPPOSITE THE CROWD Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May25 Apr28 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 1.20 25% 3.00    
3  DONYA KNOW IT Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 Jul07 Jun16 (garcia gena)ROMERO M 113 10.00 23% 3.30    
4  ADIVA Oct13 Sep29 Sep05 Aug18 Jul28 (haran john)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRY IF I WANT TO Oct01 Sep17 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
6  CLEARLY CREEPS Oct18 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jun08 (wilson melton)BACON W 113 20.00    
7  BERTIE'S CAUSE Oct26 Jun23 May17 Apr27 Mar24 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 120 4.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL AND BOLD Nov13 Oct28 Oct05 Jul29 Jun26 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
 
OP-3   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURA BRANIGAN Mar21 Feb17 Jan14 Dec26 Nov10 (contreras)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY Sep09 Aug05 Jul20 Jun14 May16 (schleis casey)BACON W 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  STRABELLA Oct24 Sep02 Aug22 Jul27 Jun27 (williams ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUIERO DINERO Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 (haran john)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISS ESCAPADE Nov21 Nov03 Oct17 Sep25 Aug19 (santamaria )ROMERO M 112 20.00    
6  NEW WOMAN Mar24 Feb25 Jan20 Jun15   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
7  SPITE LITE Oct10 Sep02 Aug14 Feb04 Nov24 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
8  TEARDROP TIARA Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug02 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
9  GAJA RAY Sep10 Aug24 Jul10 Jun23 Nov22 (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.00    
 
OP-4   12/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WACO Nov17 Jul14       (lukas wayne)BACON W 115 20.00    
2  LURED AWAY Nov20 Nov09 Oct18     (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  LANDING CRAFT Oct27 Sep25       (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 120 20.00    
4  CURVINO Nov17 Oct31 Oct05 Sep07 Jul28 (miller pe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
5  JUTE BOX Nov22 Oct02       (ashford ray)QUINONEZ S 120 20.00    
6  SURFIN' M Oct11         (compton g)TORRES A 120 15.00 9% 10.50    
7  HIRED GUN Oct27 Sep06       (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.80    
8  KEVIN'S STRIKE Nov20 Sep27 Aug12     (amoss m)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 13% 6.80    
9  BROTHER TONY Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 Aug11   (miller p)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 14% 6.40    
 
OP-5   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEATED ARGUMENT Oct29 Jul03 Jun05 May05 Apr13 (gonzalez jaim)BACON W 111 15.00 10% 9.40    
2  MAN IN THE CAN Sep11 Aug12 Jul17 May30 May04 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00    
3  MUSIC MISTRESS Jul24 Jul01 May03 Apr13 Mar21 (mckellar )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 116 8.00    
4  TABLE MONEY Oct13 Sep22 Sep12 Jun08 May12 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 119 20.00    
5  SULWE May03 Mar28 Feb23 Feb04 Jan06 (moquett r)TORRES A 116 6.00    
6  SUMMER SHOES Jul12 Apr28 Mar02 Jan13 Dec16 (swearingen tom )BOWEN ROCCO 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLACK APPLE May04 Apr14 Mar09 Feb11 Dec17 (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
8  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Nov21 Sep12 Aug31 Aug01 Jul27 (knott s)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 33% 2.10    
9  BETTYS CASH Apr19 Mar09 Feb19 Feb09 Jan01 (von donn)QUINONEZ S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PATTON'S TIZZY Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 Feb19 Jan12 (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 117 10.00    
 
OP-6   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODO Nov17         (amoss tho)TORRES A 120 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ACADEMY ROAD by LEMON DROP KID)
2  AVERY'S MISCHIEF         (asmussen)SANTANA JR 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CURLIN out of MIA MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  PAYTON'S BEAUTY Sep25 Sep12       (cline n)HARR KELSI 120 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of JAN'S JEWEL by ISTAN)
4  ACHIEVE May17         (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DREAMS ARE MADE by TAPIT)
SCR  COASTER Sep27         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of LAVISHLY by PARAMOUNT JET)
6  BARBIE'S DREAM         (ortiz a)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of KID MAJIC by LEMON DROP KID)
7  COCKTAIL HUMOR         (von hemel )ERAMIA E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIDE ME FAST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  BURIANA Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 Jun26   (lukas wayne)BACON W 115 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SUPER SAKS by SKY MESA)
9  SPRING DANCER Oct27 Sep27       (morse l)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SPRING INCLUDED by INCLUDE)
 
OP-7   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN LUNA Sep27 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jun23 (jordan j)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 8% 11.20    
2  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Oct22 Oct01 Jun21 Jun05 Apr13 (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  MAHONEY ROAD Oct10 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun22 (rosin w)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
4  LUNAR MODULE Nov20 Oct11 Sep14 Jun02 May10 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 120 6.00    
5  HI YAH Nov23 Oct12 Sep02 Aug08 Jul11 (williams matt)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
6  IT'S MY HOUSE Nov09 Sep08 Aug01 Jun29 Jun07 (williams )TORRES A 120 3.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 Aug31 Aug18 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
8  TRUMPED Nov19 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr22 (fincher tod)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  VALE Nov30 Sep26 Aug26 Aug04 Jun22 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
 
OP-8   12/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SICILIAN GRANDMA Oct28 Feb04 Jan13 Dec29 Nov02 (contreras)DE CRUZ 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  C. C. HARBOR Aug20 Jun03 May04 Mar28 Feb23 (cates al)HARR KELSI 116 30.00    
SCR  LEMON MUFFIN Nov13 Sep15 Jul20 Jun29 May17 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.00    
SCR  DOT MARIE Nov26 Nov05 Jun22 Jun06 Nov25 (caramori edua)JARA FERNANDO 121 30.00    
5  LEGALLY LUCKY Sep29 Jul05 Jun08 Apr27 Mar22 (haran john)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 20.00    
6  CONTOUR Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep19 Aug29 (ramirez-r)TORRES A 118 15.00 14% 6.10    
7  MUSICAL NOTE Oct23 Aug26 Feb10 Jan27   (cox h)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50 35% 1.80    
8  IN JUST MY HEELS Nov05 Aug05 Jul06 Apr26 Mar30 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 3.00    
9  LET'S DUET Nov13 Oct17 Sep27 Jun26 Mar30 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 17% 4.80    
10  MARSHSIDE MAMA Oct26 Sep09 Aug05 Jul27 Jun24 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
11  DEVILETTA Aug23 Jul06 May26 Apr07 Jan27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  INDY LABEL Nov16 Sep29 Sep13 Jul04 Jun06 (shirer ma)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
OP-9   12/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GIRL IN RED Oct16 Aug31 Jun08 May03 Apr13 (calhoun william )JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00    
2  ARR PIRATETREASURE Oct24 Sep19 Jul12 Jun07 May03 (durham da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LASSIE MY GIRL Aug22 Jul12 Jun14 May29 May03 (wilson m)SANTANA JR 120 4.00    
4  NO COINCIDENCES Feb03 Dec31       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  WAR MUSIC Oct11 Sep12 Aug16 Jul27 Jun24 (mason ingrid)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 27% 2.80    
6  RUNNINTHESTREETS Oct10 Aug05 Jun24 Apr13 Mar16 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  STREET PAINTER Apr28 Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Dec30 (cates al)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
8  SUNNYANDSEVENTY Apr06 Mar23 Mar08 Feb10 Dec31 (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00    
9  STHENIC Jul04 Apr06 Mar16 Dec31 Jul04 (creighton b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
SCR  TIMBAVATI Jul07 Jun02 May03 Apr13 Mar16 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 120 3.00    
11  APPEALING ADDIE Apr06 Mar16 Dec08     (morse ran)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.