Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - July 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/6/7/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-3   Win (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (2/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-8   Win (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   07/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAIL OF HONOR Mar20 Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Dec16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
LAZARUS PROJECT Jun13 May27 May08 Jan08 Dec12 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
CAMBIASO Jun08 May23 May04 Apr25 Mar26 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
KERANOS Jun03 May14 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (faulkner rodney)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jun05 May17 May02 Sep26 Aug29 (west m)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
RANDELLO Jun17 May28 Apr23 Apr16 Feb02 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 2.50    
ITASCA May30 May18 Apr22 Dec18 Nov20 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
 
TDN-2   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND RETREAT May13 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
BUMPKIN May29 May21 Mar25     (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SWAYBACK MOBIL Jun12 May29 May13 Apr08 Mar25 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
AFTER SUNRISE Jun12 May29 Nov15 Oct11 Sep05 (langley joshua)PEREZ A 119 12.00 6% 16.70    
SKUNK APE Jun12         (loudin-smith lo)SIMPSON JASON 119 20.00    
ROLL ON MAX May29 May13 Apr22 Mar25   (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Jun12         (flor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
EL CHAPIADOR Jun12 May29       (lopez jacinto)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
MOBIL MISSION May29 Sep05 Aug15     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
 
TDN-3   07/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTHELOVEOFBONNIE         (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 118 10.00    
PARLAY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
GREEK BOUTIQUE         (fadlovich meg)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
IAMAMASON         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
EBONY'S SECRET         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
BUCKEYE BLUE Jun17         (zielinski richard)STANLEY O 118 15.00    
COLORYOUREGGS Jun17         (cline c)BRACHO A 118 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-4   07/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOP THERE IT IS Jun18 Mar25 Mar07 Nov06 Sep28 (huffman m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
TONALA May30 May08 Mar28 Mar12 Jan30 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 1.80    
HERO'S DAUGHTER Dec06 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 Aug15 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 10.00    
RIPLEY EFFECT May30 May15 Apr23 Sep25 Sep07 (jackson r)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
CHERU Jun03 Apr03 Mar04 Feb06 Jan18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-5   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jun12 May27 May07 Feb05 Jan11 (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
VAL'S TWINSTAR         (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
BOLD RUBY May08 Apr24 Dec13     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 5% 18.70    
VERTISALUTE Jun17 May27 Oct10     (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
CAT'S PURSUIT Jul05         (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
THELMA LUCILLE Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 4.50    
SOMETHING LUCKY Jun17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Dec28 (doering mark)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
THIRTY SOMETHING Jun18 May29 May08 Apr08 Mar19 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Jun17 Feb19 Feb07 Jan23 Dec20 (maddox rachae)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
 
TDN-6   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYING BALL Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar14 Feb29 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 119 6.00    
DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jun17 May28 May07 Apr22 Mar25 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80    
AGNELLO CITY Jun11 May21 Apr30 Feb26 Dec26 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
INDY CARR May21 Apr11 Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
BLAKE'S RYEN Jun11 Aug12 Jul25 Jul05   (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
KETTLE KING Jun11 May21 Dec07 Nov08 Sep28 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARQUITOS M Jun12 May29 May13 Nov22 Oct24 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 4.00 8% 10.90    
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN May29 May13 Apr22     (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
WHY KENNY WHY Jun12 May28 May13 Apr22 Feb07 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
BUCKEYE MIKE Jun12 May29       (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
VECCHI Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
TURKODANCER Jun12 May29       (langley joshua)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 15.00    
PLUM TUFF Jun17         (gonzalez donaciano)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
EQUITY CAT May28 May07 Apr09 Mar25 Mar07 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RALPH'S LIL' VICKY         (radcliff donald)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 13% 6.90    
GEMSHINE Jun12 May08 Dec20 Nov22   (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
DEBBIE'S DREAM Nov28         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
CANELA FINA May27 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 (lopez jac)PILARES P 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
BOLD NICKY Jun17 Feb19 Jan23 Jan09 Dec11 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
WINGS OF HEAVEN Jun12 May27 May08 Feb05 Jan11 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
BLUE MOJITO May27         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
THE LITTLE THINGS May27         (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.