Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/6/7/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(1/6/7/4/2)-(7/5/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/7/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4/2)-(1/6/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4/2)-(1/6/7/4/2)-(1/6/7/4/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4/2)-(7/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4/2)-(7/5/3/4)-(5/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/3/4)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/4)-(5/1/4)-(2/4/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(2/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(2/4/3/8)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8)-(2/4/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/3/8)-(4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/8)-(4/3/5)-(2/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/5/1/3)-(4/6/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (2/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3)-(4/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VAIL OF HONOR Mar20 Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Dec16 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  LAZARUS PROJECT Jun13 May27 May08 Jan08 Dec12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
3  CAMBIASO Jun08 May23 May04 Apr25 Mar26 (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
4  KERANOS Jun03 May14 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 (faulkner rodn)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Jun05 May17 May02 Sep26 Aug29 (west m)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
6  RANDELLO Jun17 May28 Apr23 Apr16 Feb02 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 2.50    
7  ITASCA May30 May18 Apr22 Dec18 Nov20 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
 
TDN-2   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND RETREAT May13 Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
2  BUMPKIN May29 May21 Mar25     (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  SWAYBACK MOBIL Jun12 May29 May13 Apr08 Mar25 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
4  AFTER SUNRISE Jun12 May29 Nov15 Oct11 Sep05 (langley joshua)PEREZ A 119 12.00 6% 16.70    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
5  SKUNK APE Jun12         (loudin-smith )SIMPSON JASON 119 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
6  ROLL ON MAX May29 May13 Apr22 Mar25   (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by FORT LARNED out of NO TRUER by ALCINDOR)
7  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Jun12         (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of METTEMARLAMELVA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
8  EL CHAPIADOR Jun12 May29       (lopez jacinto)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of MISS TAPIT by TAPIT)
9  MOBIL MISSION May29 Sep05 Aug15     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
 
TDN-3   07/01/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTHELOVEOFBONNIE         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
2  PARLAY         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
3  GREEK BOUTIQUE         (fadlovich m)PETERSON FERRIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
4  IAMAMASON         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of CINDINI by BERNARDINI)
5  EBONY'S SECRET         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by DRILL out of SCARLET GIRL by LOFT (GER))
6  BUCKEYE BLUE Jun17         (zielinski richa)STANLEY O 118 15.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  COLORYOUREGGS Jun17         (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 1.60 42% 1.40    
  (by BIRDRUN out of MEDIA RULES by MASS MEDIA)
 
TDN-4   07/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOP THERE IT IS Jun18 Mar25 Mar07 Nov06 Sep28 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
2  TONALA May30 May08 Mar28 Mar12 Jan30 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 1.80    
3  HERO'S DAUGHTER Dec06 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 Aug15 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 10.00    
4  RIPLEY EFFECT May30 May15 Apr23 Sep25 Sep07 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHERU Jun03 Apr03 Mar04 Feb06 Jan18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-5   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jun12 May27 May07 Feb05 Jan11 (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
2  VAL'S TWINSTAR         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 47% 1.10    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of FABLED STAR by OFFLEE WILD)
3  BOLD RUBY May08 Apr24 Dec13     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 5% 18.70    
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
4  VERTISALUTE Jun17 May27 Oct10     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
5  CAT'S PURSUIT Jul05         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WORTHWHILEPURSUIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  THELMA LUCILLE Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 4.50    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
7  SOMETHING LUCKY Jun17 Apr08 Mar19 Feb27 Dec28 (doering mar)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  THIRTY SOMETHING Jun18 May29 May08 Apr08 Mar19 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
9  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Jun17 Feb19 Feb07 Jan23 Dec20 (maddox rach)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 12.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
 
TDN-6   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING BALL Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar14 Feb29 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 6.00    
2  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jun17 May28 May07 Apr22 Mar25 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80    
3  AGNELLO CITY Jun11 May21 Apr30 Feb26 Dec26 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
4  INDY CARR May21 Apr11 Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  BLAKE'S RYEN Jun11 Aug12 Jul25 Jul05   (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  KETTLE KING Jun11 May21 Dec07 Nov08 Sep28 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUITOS M Jun12 May29 May13 Nov22 Oct24 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 4.00 8% 10.90    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MALI by BWANA CHARLIE)
2  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN May29 May13 Apr22     (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of NEVERGONNAHAPPEN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  WHY KENNY WHY Jun12 May28 May13 Apr22 Feb07 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
4  BUCKEYE MIKE Jun12 May29       (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
  (by SNAG out of CHAIN YANKER by DELTA MINER)
5  VECCHI Oct28 Oct11 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
6  TURKODANCER Jun12 May29       (langley josh)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 15.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
7  PLUM TUFF Jun17         (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
8  EQUITY CAT May28 May07 Apr09 Mar25 Mar07 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
 
TDN-8   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALPH'S LIL' VICKY         (radcliff dona)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 13% 6.90    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  GEMSHINE Jun12 May08 Dec20 Nov22   (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
  (by SNAG out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
3  DEBBIE'S DREAM Nov28         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
  (by DANZA out of MS. G Q by MERCER MILL)
4  CANELA FINA May27 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Sep14 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
5  BOLD NICKY Jun17 Feb19 Jan23 Jan09 Dec11 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
6  WINGS OF HEAVEN Jun12 May27 May08 Feb05 Jan11 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
7  BLUE MOJITO May27         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of ROCK HARD CANDY by RICHTER SCALE)
8  THE LITTLE THINGS May27         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of PRESERVATION HALL by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.