Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - July 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/5/4)-(7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(7/3)-(2/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(2/5/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(2/5/8)-(1/8/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/8)-(1/8/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8)-(1/8/9)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(1/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/9)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9)-(6/5/1)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/2/6)-(2/5/8/10/11) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/5/8/10/11) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/5/8/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/10/11)-(2/5/8/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/10/11)-(2/5/8/10/11)-(2/5/8/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY'S WORLD May28 Apr13 Apr03 Jan05 Dec13 (rojas eduardo )LOPEZ DERECK 112 2.00    
2  THALBERG Jun12 Jun04 May20 May06 Mar29 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.00    
3  THE COOKIE MAN May28 Dec13 Dec06 Nov12 Oct10 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Nov08 Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 Sep10 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 18% 4.40    
5  CON ON THE RUN Jun03 Jun27 May21 Apr30 Jan18 (gilmartin bre)WALKER M 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  LORD OF LEGENDS Jun12 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Oct02 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
 
PID-2   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART JOKER Jun10 Apr26 Apr03 Mar20 Feb16 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
SCR  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jun10 Jul04 Jun14 Jun05 Sep07 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
3  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Aug28 Jul25 Apr08 Mar18 Dec30 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
4  FIGHTER KITE Jun12 May29 May13 Oct24 Oct11 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HAMMER LANE Oct23 Oct02 Aug30 Aug01 Jul12 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
6  NIGHT RIDE Jun10 Jun03 Oct25 Oct10 Sep25 (stokes lance)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
7  SPAN OF CONTROL Jun19 Jun04 May20 Oct19 Oct02 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00    
 
PID-3   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THE MANTICORE Sep04 Jun19 Jun21     (meadow patrici)LOPEZ DERECK 114 8.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of MALIBU CRUZ by MALIBU MOON)
2  ADIOS ASHWOOD Jun11         (delong ben)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  HURRICANE DUDE         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of ELUSIVE LAURA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Jun10 May13 Feb16 Jan13 Oct26 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
5  DON ANTONIO Jun17 May27 Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SAPPHIRE SKY by SKY MESA)
6  ALPHA CAT Mar30 Feb25       (goodwin )MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of ALPHA KITTEN by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  R CHELLO Jun11 May29       (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.50 72% 0.40    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of ABSOLUTE PACKAGE by PURE PRIZE)
 
PID-4   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRITED DEBATE Jun19 Oct19 Oct05 Sep05 Aug21 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 ★    
2  YANKEE HUMOR Apr22 Apr02 Dec07 Oct18 Apr05 (vitali j)BAYS BROOKE 115 2.50 67% 0.50    
3  THIRTY OYSTERS Jun17 Jun03 May13 Nov20 Nov07 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 12.00    
4  MO TOWN BLUES May20 Apr14 Mar10 Dec06 Nov14 (kleine bernard)LOPEZ DERECK 112 20.00    
5  RANSEUR Jun01 May11 Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 3.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  MR. BONES Jun19 May20 May01 Apr12 Apr03 (rice kevin)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50    
7  WORTHTHEMONEY May27 Apr12 Mar16 Oct19 Aug28 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
8  DUKE SKYWALKER Jun11 May27 Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   07/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AULT Jun12 Oct18 Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  RUBY BLEU Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul26 (judd cassand)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
SCR  EL SOLITARIO Jun12 May28 Oct24 Sep27 Sep03 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
4  PONT DU GARD Jun12 May20 Dec05 Nov06 Oct24 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
SCR  HEIRLOOM KITTEN Oct24 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 Aug02 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 1.80    
6  MARSAC Jun12 May28 Jul03 May16 Sep05 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 12.00    
SCR  HROTHGAR Jun25 Jun10 Jan18 Jan11 Dec12 (morzan javier)WALKER M 122 12.00    
8  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Jun12 May21 Oct18 Sep28 Sep12 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
9  SEA SPLENDOR Jun12 May28 Apr13 Mar29 Mar20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  C THE KING Jun19 Jun04 May21 Oct04 Sep21 (depasquale)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
 
PID-6   07/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL POPPY Jun11 May20 Oct26 Oct18 Oct05 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 6.00 7% 14.30    
2  GOOSE HUNTER Jun11 Dec06 Nov10 Oct23 Oct10 (rice kevin)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
3  PAYNTED WARRIOR Jun05 May27 Oct18 Sep12 Aug22 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00    
4  VALENTINE BUG Jun05 May27 May04 Apr19 Mar17 (herringt)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 ★    
5  YOU MUST CHILL May31 May11 Mar24 Mar10 Feb16 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  EPIC LUCK Jun05 May27 Apr26 Apr13 Mar17 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.00 35% 1.80    
7  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Jun03 May20 Apr07 Oct26 Oct18 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Karl Boyes Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME Jun14 May11 Jan20 Dec23 Nov04 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
2  BANYAN BREEZE Jun12 Nov15 Oct19 Sep20 Sep05 (tasso mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of EXPECT A CHECK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  RAINBOW'S PRIDE May23 May07 Apr03 Mar06 Jan31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CIRCULAR RAINBOW by CIRCULAR QUAY)
SCR  TILTED TOWERS Jun02 May10 Apr12 Mar30 Dec02 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 118 5.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  JUST MIGHT Jun14 May24 Apr19 Feb17 Jan20 (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of DYNAMITE BABE by DYNAMEAUX)
6  LET MY PEOPLE GO Jun14 Apr19 Apr06 Dec30 Dec15 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
7  DREAMING OF KONA Jun17 Mar30 Mar01 Jan27 Dec23 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of PLIANT by MARIA'S MON)
8  MY BUDDY B May27 Mar08 Jan27 Dec30 Oct25 (hetrick kri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
9  SAINT GOAR Jun10 Oct10 Aug10 Jul19 Jun20 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
  (by LIAISON out of FAMILY BUSINESS by SAINT BALLADO)
SCR  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Jun10 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 118 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SALLY SALLY by CACTUS RIDGE)
SCR  SPIRITED SOL Jun12 May27 Sep02 Aug18 Aug10 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 118 20.00    
  (by SOLDAT out of SPIRITED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
PID-8   07/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUIT Jun10 Oct26 Oct19 Oct09 Sep19 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 30.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
2  EMMA AT THE GATE Jun10 May29       (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASY WAY OUT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  THAT'S JUST GREAT Dec14 Nov10 Oct24     (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MICHAELSHATRICK Jun10         (barron r)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLEETHEART by NORTHERN AFLEET)
5  CHANGE THE HOUR Jun10 May20 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHANGE THE RATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  TALE OF THE DRAGON Oct24 Oct10 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 (ruberto louis)WALKER M 120 20.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of WESTSHORE ROAD by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  OVERTIME CHARLIE Jun10 May20 Sep19 Aug29 Aug07 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 12.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of OVERTIME GOAL by CITY PLACE)
8  EXCLUSIVE ENTRY Jun10 May29 May20 Aug17 Aug01 (bourke john)STANLEY O 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHARMING ENTRY by KEYED ENTRY)
SCR  NOPALINO May20         (walsh colleen)DELGADO DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CACTUS COPY by CACTUS RIDGE)
10  CROWNING PRINCE         (morrell justin)ALLEN D 124 10.00 6% 16.60    
  (by CROWN OF THORNS out of DOUBLEBLACKDIAMOND by CASH DEPOSIT)
11  MAC'S CAT Jun10 May20 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHABBY CHIC by UNION RAGS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.