Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - May 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/2)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/2)-(1/6/4)-(6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(6/1)-(6/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/7/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/7/5/3)-(6/1/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/4/1)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/2/5/6)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(6/2/3)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK N REWARD Oct02 Sep20       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 4.50    
LEO'S PISCES Mar15 Feb09       (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
LADY AHAVA Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 Nov22 Oct25 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 117 10.00    
WARRIOR'S DEFENSE Mar14 Mar01       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
MAYDAY MAYHEM May17 Apr24       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 10.00    
FILTERED LIGHT May15 Apr22 Apr01 Feb23 Jan24 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 3.50 9% 10.40    
BACK FORTY May09 Mar15 Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 117 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-2   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GURT'S WARRIOR Mar14 Feb29 Jan26 Jan10 Nov08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.60 67% 0.50    
NECCO May16 Mar21 Mar06 Jan12 Dec21 (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 4.00    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE May04 Apr10 Mar25 Mar06 Jan26 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 6.00    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT May02 Jan31 Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
NOTORIOUS REY May16 May02 Mar06 Jan24 Dec08 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00    
COWBOY JIM May16 Mar21 Feb19 Jan29 Dec27 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 7% 12.60    
 
PEN-3   05/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER May02 Apr12 May11 Apr19 Mar15 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MYSTIC POINT May10 Apr12 Mar21 Aug17 Jul28 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
ACT OF VALOR May10 Mar07 Dec28 Nov30 Nov15 (murtough step)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00    
JETTIN OUT Feb02 Jan12 Oct08 Sep01 Jul28 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
MARTINKELLY May08 Apr22 Mar22 Mar07 Feb16 (albright am)INIRIO J 124 2.00    
MR. PETE Sep20 Aug25 Jul20 Jul12 Jun15 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 69% 0.40    
ANNAMATED MOON Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 (smith tho)VARGAS L 124 10.00    
COAST TO COAST May10 Feb16 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 (sinnefia paulina)CORA D 124 15.00    
ALMOND CIDER May13 Apr17 Mar20 Feb12 Jan26 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 8.00    
 
PEN-4   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RECKLESS JONES May10 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  SEYMOUR FASTER         (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MARIE LOUISE by DARE AND GO)
TEN AND CHANGE         (albright )VARGAS L 121 6.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EXCHANGING SECRETS by EXCHANGE RATE)
STRIDER'S SLIDER         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MORNING RIDGE by QUAKER RIDGE)
SANDY'S REFUGEE         (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of SHOW SHAPE by SAFFIR)
EASTER BET May08 Apr09 Mar20 Mar07   (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by AWESOME BET out of HEAD FOR THE HILLS by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
 
PEN-5   05/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I ONCE STOOD ALONE May08 Mar07 Jan25 Nov24 Sep28 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Aug30 Mar11 Jan27 Dec27 Dec13 (albright am)INIRIO J 124 4.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK May10 Apr10 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00    
GET DOWN BROWN May10 Mar06 Feb02 Dec15 Sep13 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 57% 0.80    
AGAINST THE ODDS May10 Mar08 Feb01 Dec07 Nov15 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 12.00 8% 11.30    
SANTO May22 May10 Apr10 Mar06 Feb01 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAPONARA May12 Apr30 Apr10 Mar05 Feb12 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 3.00    
SCREEN STAR May10 Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Apr28 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 124 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHANIE MY LOVE May03 Apr12 Mar22 Mar06 Jan25 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 2.50    
THUNDER BOSS Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
MUGURUZA Apr27 Apr11 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 (morzan javi)INIRIO J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
THROWBACK May09 Apr30 Mar30 Mar06 Jan12 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 2.00    
SCR  HOP TO A DECISION May15 May03 Apr22 Mar06 Jan27 (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
MUSKOKA SUMMER Mar13 Feb08 Jan26 Dec14 Dec01 (rideout ronald)FLORES E 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-7   05/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAIN LILLY Mar23 Feb16 Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 (moreno tito)CORA D 122 8.00    
AUNT JO May08 Mar01 Feb09 Nov04 Sep23 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
FACE IT ALONE Jan14 Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 Sep01 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00    
SCR  SOULFUL TARA May06 Apr23 Mar11 Feb19 Jan03 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50    
CAMELIA ROD Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 Apr15 Mar25 (allen ferris)MENA E 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
DISCO DAISY May04 Apr04 Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.