Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - March 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/4)-(1/3)-(8/4/5/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/8/6)-(1/3/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(8/4/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(8/4/5/7)-(7/1/4/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/7)-(7/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/7)-(7/1/4/3)-(2/4/6/8/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3)-(7/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3)-(2/4/6/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3)-(2/4/6/8/10)-(4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/4/6/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/8/10)-(2/4/6/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/8/10)-(2/4/6/8/10)-(2/4/6/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/6/8/10)-(4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/8/10)-(4/6/3)-(8/2/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(8/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/2/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/1)-(8/2/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/1)-(8/2/9/1)-(8/2/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGUE FORCE Jan05         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00    
2  EFFORT Mar12 Feb18 Oct15     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  QUAIL Mar03 Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Oct21 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  BENNY BUCKETS Mar12 Feb26       (silva-martinez alex)RADKE K 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SEEKET SAUCE Mar18 Feb23 Feb10 Jan12   (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 116 15.00    
6  MAGIC STORM Feb07 Jan30 Dec20 Dec04 Nov20 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 5.00    
7  SIR LOOKING GLASS Mar19 Dec09 Nov05 Sep24   (lavanway dayson)PENA BRYAN 121 4.50 9% 9.80    
 
TUP-4   03/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAU MISCHIEF Mar04 Oct08 Sep03 Aug18 Jul15 (bean a)RADKE K 122 2.50 76% 0.30    
2  IMPERATOR Jan10 Dec10 Nov19 Aug29 Aug01 (hop mike)IRONEYES R 117 20.00    
3  BAYOU CHROME Mar19 Mar04 Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  BUFFETT Feb24 Feb08 Dec29 Dec13 Oct27 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
5  HOT MEMORIES Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Feb06 Jan13 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 122 15.00    
6  HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Mar12 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec08 (birdwell t)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 ★    
7  KURT'S CHOICE Feb14 Nov11 Oct26 Sep03 Aug10 (evans justin)REYES R 122 8.00    
8  WEALTH N HEALTH Mar06 Jan30 Dec20 Nov21 Oct22 (valerio raymo)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   03/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNUSUAL DANCER Feb14 May06 Apr04 Mar19 Feb25 (ackerman)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
2  SENT BY ANGELS Jul09 Jun11 Apr19 Mar25   (belvoir van)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
3  DISRUPTIVE ARTIST Mar27 Feb12       (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.50    
4  HERON BAY Dec31 Dec10 Aug03 Jun10   (drysdale neil)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Jan29 Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Aug28 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 118 8.00 8% 11.50    
6  ETHAN'S GIRL Mar04 Feb21 Jan13 Dec09   (essex charles)CRUZ M 118 6.00    
7  MARK OF VICTORY Mar14 Nov10 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SAILING AWAY Mar04 Feb06 Dec01 Nov10   (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-6   03/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IL CAPITANO (GB) Feb21 Feb05 Jan13 Dec26 Dec02 (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
2  VITALE Jan11 Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 Aug30 (gangidi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
3  MONGOLIAN KINGDOM Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 Nov28 Nov14 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRAVES MILL ROAD Feb27 Dec16 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 (evans justin)REYES R 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
5  WILLY THE COBBLER Feb28 Dec02 Nov07 Aug26 Jul29 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
6  RUSTY B CAUSE Feb17 Feb03 Jan07 Dec16 Dec03 (morfin liandr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
7  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Mar18 Feb21 Feb05 Jan11 Nov21 (martinez esteba)CORBETT W 124 1.20 49% 1.00    
8  HOWBEIT Mar14 Jan12 Dec23 Nov11 Aug26 (evans justi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   03/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MALMO Mar20 Feb23 Jan26 Dec18 Oct01 (green greg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.50    
2  PARS AND BIRDIES Feb29 Feb19 Jan18 Dec20 Dec04 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 6.00 43% 1.30    
3  MACNAMARA Dec08 Oct08 Sep25 Sep17   (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
4  VENOM Mar02 Feb18 Jan19 Dec30 Dec09 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
5  ROAD OF LOVE Mar03 Feb10 Dec17 Dec08 Oct28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
6  HARBOR THUNDER Mar06 Feb13 Aug12 Jun10 May05 (belvoir vann)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
7  PAINTED SMOKE Mar06 Feb21 Feb13 Dec12 Nov07 (diaz lui)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
8  WHISKEY VISION Mar18 Feb27 Feb13 Oct06 Sep17 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRAVE MAGIC Mar09 Jan27 Jan05 Mar16 Nov05 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00    
10  B R KIDD ROCK Mar06 Feb20 Feb05 Jan19 Dec20 (dennison h)RADKE K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   03/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOL DEL SUR Mar13 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 Nov19 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.50    
SCR  EXXEL Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan05 Dec16 (lund valorie)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00    
3  THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) Sep04 Apr17 Mar07 Dec01 Oct10 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 5.00 11% 7.70    
4  FIRST CALL Sep10 Aug20 Jul09 Apr22 Mar21 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
5  HEY NOW Sep11 Aug20 Jul22 Jul02 Apr26 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
6  RECKONING DAY Feb13 Jan26 Nov13 Oct21 Sep02 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
7  EL ALTO HOMBRE Feb20 Jan15 Dec03 Nov18 Oct09 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 15.00    
8  WINDRIBBON Nov17 Oct22 Oct07 Sep10 Aug11 (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  COASTAL KID Mar20 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 May27 (silva-mar)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
 
TUP-9   03/27/2024 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOCKOUT GUY Mar14 Feb26 Dec11 Nov27 Nov12 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIR PISTOLERO Dec31         (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  ADMIRAL HALSEY Feb20 Jan31 Aug26 Apr02 Feb20 (evans justi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.00    
4  VINNIEBOB Feb27 Feb09 Jan28 Jan19 Dec26 (story chad)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
5  CALCULATED SPIN Mar14 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Dec31 (davis bob)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
6  ICE STORM Mar18 Feb27 Jan31 Aug11 Jul22 (moreno )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
7  PURE CANE SUGAR Feb28 Jan25 Dec07 Nov16 May06 (toye joe)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00    
8  DIVERSIFUL Mar14 Sep16 Aug27 Jul22 Oct30 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
9  CHIEFS BLANKET Feb29 Feb19 Feb05 Dec15 Sep29 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.