Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - March 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (8/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4)-(8/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/4)-(8/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/4)-(8/1/7/4)-(4/9/11/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/4)-(4/9/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/4)-(4/9/11/7)-(4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/9/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/11/7)-(4/9/11/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/11/7)-(4/9/11/10/7)-(4/9/11/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/11/7)-(4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/11/7)-(4/7/2)-(5/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/8/9/2)-(4/7/8/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(5/7/3)-(2/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(2/7/5)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(3/2/4)-(8/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/1/5)-(8/3/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S GOT STYLE Mar07         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
PROM KNIGHT         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of SPRING DANCE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
EASTER BET Mar07         (zalalas )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
  (by AWESOME BET out of HEAD FOR THE HILLS by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
RESTRIKE         (garber o)DAVIS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
MAGIC RUSH         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LUCKY LINUS         (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of MY LUCKY STAR by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
DREAMINGABOUTTIME Feb15 Jan08 Dec18 Oct28 Oct11 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
GREAT KISSER Mar07 Jan25       (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FOREVERINMYHEART by CRAFTY DUDE)
 
PEN-2   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNAMATED MOON Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Sep20 Aug30 (smith thomas )ROJAS MARTINA 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
POCOPSON STATION Feb21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 (ippolito mark)BAKER J 124 50.00    
ACT OF VALOR Mar07 Dec28 Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 (murtough )VARGAS L 124 20.00    
SCREEN STAR Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Apr28 Mar03 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIRE DOWN BELOW Aug30 Mar11 Jan27 Dec27 Dec13 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00    
MY BLUE EYES Mar07 Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Nov15 (martinez a)CORA D 124 2.00    
AGAINST THE ODDS Mar08 Feb01 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
NEWS BOX Mar06 Jan15 Dec30 Nov29 Nov04 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-3   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LIGHTFEET Jun01 Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
MAGIC BEAUTY Feb29 Jan26 Dec28 Nov09 Oct23 (kulp l)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
MIDNIGHT WONDER Feb07 Dec20 Nov23 Oct18 Sep03 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
ASHLEE'S RING Feb08 Jan25 Jan06 Dec22 Nov17 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  GINGERS WISH Mar11 Feb20 Jan08 Dec18 Dec06 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00    
ET'S MOON MAIDEN Feb28 Feb19 Jan10 Dec19 Nov13 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
CUT FROM CLASS Feb08 Jan26 Dec22 Nov19 Oct29 (keil steven)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TEXAS TANGIE Mar06 Feb07 Jan11 Nov17 Feb07 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 8.00    
COCOA'S VIVIAN Dec18 Nov21 Oct18     (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
10  CHARM ALARM Mar07 Feb08 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
11  BAHITI Mar01 Feb07 Jan25     (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-4   03/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLENES ECLIPTICAL         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COUNTRY WOLF by CITY WOLF)
CITY MINUTE         (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of E BUILT THIS CITY by CITY ZIP)
BANKERS ROSE GOLD Mar06 Feb09       (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of RUEDELAROSE by STREET SENSE)
STORMIN HEIST Dec29         (sinnefia )VARGAS L 123 4.50 39% 1.50    
  (by BANK HEIST out of STORMIN SISTAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
COWGIRL NATION         (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DALLAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
LITTLE LAMB CHOP Feb21 Dec13       (beattie )DAVIS A 123 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
COMBAT HOOFS Feb21         (beattie m)BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of FOUR INCH HEELS by AFLEET ALEX)
DETERMINED CANDY         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FUN IN THE DESERT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GODDESS OF FORTUNE         (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of PRINCESS MIRREN by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
PEN-5   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 Dec22 Oct20 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
JACK'S LILLY Feb29 Feb02 Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50    
BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Feb29 Feb08 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 (moore michael)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SIMPLE SOUVENIR Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 Dec16 Nov04 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
TILTED TIARA Feb29 Feb02 Jan18 Dec29 Dec13 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Feb02 Nov22 Nov08 Oct05 Sep13 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Feb02 Dec14 Nov30 Nov03 Sep22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-6   03/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUL STORY Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
MUSKOKA GIANT Mar06 Feb16 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  NIEUWENDYK Feb26 Jan31 Jan12 Dec20 Dec01 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50    
DON'T QUESTION ME Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Dec21 Nov16 (albright)DAVIS A 120 3.50    
LONG TOM Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan10 Dec21 (salinas j)VARGAS L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DORSODURO Mar01 Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 (rideout rona)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.00    
COUSIN BOB Jan10 Dec08 Oct25 Sep07 Aug25 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00 19% 4.40    
I'M NOT A BABY Jan31 Dec15 Nov16 Oct25 Sep06 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
 
PEN-7   03/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXTPECTATION Feb21 Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 Dec13 (morzan javier )TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
COOL COMEDIAN Feb29 Jan19 Dec27 Nov29 Nov08 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
SOUPER ROYAL MOON Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 Nov10 Sep10 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
FEDERAL CASE Feb21 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 (kravets )DAVIS A 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
CARTE BLANCHE Feb21 Jan24 Dec20 Nov16 Nov02 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS Feb17 Feb10 Jan05 Dec22 Dec02 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00    
TOP OF THE MINT Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 (jones )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 6.00    
 
PEN-8   03/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY LAD Mar07 Mar23 Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.50    
THE CAIRO KID Feb16 Dec17 Aug18 Aug04 May12 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 119 5.00    
I SEE THE STARS Nov24 Nov02 Sep20 Jul20 Jun30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
GET DOWN BROWN Mar06 Feb02 Dec15 Sep13 Aug24 (stites f)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
COAST TO COAST Feb16 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL NATURE Mar06 Feb01 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00    
SAPONARA Mar05 Feb12 Jan24 Jan05 Nov21 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 119 4.00    
SILENT TIGER Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Dec28 Nov22 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
SANTO Mar06 Feb01 Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.