Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Thursday - December 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(3/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (3/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/2)-(3/9/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/2)-(3/9/2/5)-(3/9/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/2)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/3/6)-(2/4/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/7/6)-(4/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/8)-(8/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-9   WIN (8/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/1/3)-(8/4/2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   12/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUGE G Sep23 Aug12 Jul08     (santillana)PIMENTEL JR 124 50.00    
2  KINDNESS IS FREE Nov25 Nov03 Aug28 Jul17 May20 (silvestri richa)PANICI LUCA 121 30.00    
3  GREY PRINCESS Oct27 Sep17 Aug20 Aug04 Jun18 (delgado jorge)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  APEROL SPRITZ Dec08 Sep09 Aug19 Apr14 Feb26 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  STARSHIP SIGRUN Oct29 Sep17 Apr30 Jan08 Nov04 (perez lui)RIVERA JON 114 6.00    
6  BATTLING BUBBLES Nov12 Feb18 Feb05 Jan06 Jul19 (hiles a)PEREZ EDGAR 121 4.00 ★    
7  ZULLY BELLA Nov24 Sep16 Sep10 Aug13 May03 (hernandez jose)DONIS ALVARO 121 30.00    
8  OKAY FINE Nov17 Oct27 Aug28 Jul31 May13 (moubarak nader)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
GP-2   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 2 F PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PICASITA Nov12 Sep16 Jul08     (antonucci jena)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
2  MADONNINA         (delgado gustavo)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOVIN' ON UP Sep13 Aug20       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SKINNY COSMO Dec08 Oct20       (breen j)BRAVO J 118 8.00    
5  MAYBE MAGIC Nov25 Oct11 Jul23     (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★    
6  CHANNEL LOOP Dec08 Nov04       (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  THREEDOTS ANDADASH         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
8  MOMMA KIM Dec02 Jul02       (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
9  WONDER WAVE (IRE) Nov19 Oct19 Aug28 Jul16   (lynch brian )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
GP-3   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME HARDY Sep06 Jul15 May13 Apr19 Mar01 (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
2  KAREN'S HONOR Nov03 Jul29 Jun23 May26 Apr08 (jimenez jose)ZAYAS J 122 4.00    
3  HIDDEN ROAD Aug25 Aug04 Jun04 Apr08 Jan25 (lerman michael)JARAMILLO E 122 4.50    
4  JELLICLE KATZ Sep22 Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 May11 (santiago joel)PEREZ EDGAR 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
5  SILVIA V'S HEROES Dec09 Oct22 Sep03 Aug05 Jul14 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  MISS UCRANIA Dec03 Oct22 Sep09 Jul30 Jul15 (duco luis)RUIZ JORGE 118 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
GP-4   12/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATS UP BUTTERCUP Dec08 Nov17 Oct08 Sep29 Sep10 (pita daniel)REYES LEONEL 118 30.00    
2  BLUE EYED WARRIOR Oct28         (breen j)BRAVO J 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
3  DREAMY Nov05 Oct14 Sep03     (alvarado juan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 ★    
4  PLATINUM ROCKER Dec01 Nov10 Oct14 Sep16   (fawkes david)RIVERA JON 111 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  CAJUN ANTHEM Dec07 Nov05 Sep30     (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
6  ELLIE'S RUNNER Dec09         (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MO TWILIGHT Dec16 Aug03 Jul16     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 7% 13.30    
8  MY SWEETHEART DANI Dec01 Nov04 Oct14 Aug17 Jul22 (crooks jeffre)MORALES ANGEL 118 30.00    
9  SHE CAN SCAT Dec07 Oct29 Oct01 Aug10 Jul23 (winebaugh cheryl)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
GP-5   12/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAWKY Oct07 Sep09 Jul09 May28 Mar24 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 2.00    
2  QUEEN MACHA Nov18 Oct20 Sep10 Sep29 Aug19 (perez carlos )ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  MARY KATHERINE Nov19 Oct16 Jul13 Jun24 May18 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 120 30.00    
4  MINT EDITION Dec02 Oct18 Sep18 Jul22 Jun22 (wilkes r)PANICI LUCA 121 8.00    
5  MY LION (GB) Aug20         (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
6  APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Oct21 Sep30 Aug24 Aug04 Jul05 (alvarado d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
7  ROYAL DAME Oct22 Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 ★    
 
GP-6   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAD LAD Oct11 Aug24 Jul29     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Nov18 Oct23 Sep10     (margotta anth)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WASAMATTAFOYOU Dec07         (infante mi)PIMENTEL JR 118 30.00    
4  SECRET LOVER Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 (sano antonio)BRAVO J 118 2.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  KHOOLZAN Nov11 Oct14 Sep02 Jul22   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 1.00    
6  TEAM TRAVIS Dec10         (dobles eliza)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
7  KHOPESH Dec10         (mcdonald mic)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
 
GP-7   12/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOLKERT Nov09 Oct05 Jul29 Jun23 May26 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
2  AMOR LEJANO (ARG) Nov17 Jun04 May06 Nov06 Oct07 (duco luis)RIVERA JON 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FRIAR TUCK Oct20 Sep29 May20 Oct29 Sep24 (cibelli jane)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
4  FROSTED FAITH Dec16 Jun03 Mar30 Mar10 Feb09 (margotta antho)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 70% 0.40    
5  CHEERFUL CHARLIE Nov04 May27 Feb22 Jan07 Dec18 (levy)THOMAS GARFIELD 118 30.00    
6  EXPROMPT (FR) Nov24 Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 (campbell jo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOUPER SUCCESS Sep18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun15 Jun01 (abreu fern)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 ★    
SCR  CANTARO Oct28 Oct06 Sep22 Sep01   (garoffalo jo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
 
GP-8   12/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MATUSCHEK Oct28 Oct05 Sep15 Aug26 Jul27 (alvarado diane)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
2  K. C. CHIEF Dec28 Dec01 Nov05 Sep30 Aug27 (loza jr)RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00    
3  ENGLISH PAINTER Nov10 Aug13 May06 Apr08 Mar12 (barboza jr)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  SWING LOW Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00    
SCR  TAPIT BRIO Dec08 Sep08 Aug02 Jul14 Jun03 (kurtinecz )PIMENTEL JR 121 30.00    
6  SPACE LAUNCH Sep14 Jul27 Jul01 May27 Nov19 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 121 1.80 55% 0.80    
7  RED FLAG ALERT Dec08 Nov10 Oct15 Aug16 Feb02 (winebaugh chery)PEREZ EDGAR 123 8.00 9% 9.90    
8  BRINGER OF RAIN Nov25 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Aug19 (tharrenos wi)ZAYAS J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BIG VENEZUELA Oct06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 May28 (valery paul)PANICI LUCA 123 30.00    
10  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Dec08 Oct28 Oct04 Jun24 May27 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
 
GP-9   12/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INHERENT PROMISE Dec10 Oct13 Aug25     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of YEAR OF PROMISE by GIO PONTI)
2  BREAK OUT Nov25 Oct22 Sep10     (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of AFTERNOON TANGO by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
3  EL REZEEN         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of KARAMA by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  ALWAYS BE SMART Nov04         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by TAPIT out of APOLOGIZE by JUMRON (GB))
5  DANGEROUS DRIVER Oct27 Sep22 Sep02 Aug19 Jul09 (jimenez l)PEREZ EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of GIGAHERTZ by SOCIETY ROAD)
6  STREAMSONG         (clement christ)MURPHY OISIN 118 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SPRING RING by SUPER SAVER)
7  TRIKARI Oct28         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DYNAMIC HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  MYTHIC PERFORMANCE Nov18         (lynch brian )ZAYAS J 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of CAT MYTH by HENNESSY)
9  TEAM CAPTAIN Oct26         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of VENUS VALENTINE by CONGRATS)
10  SALACIOUS Dec09 Nov11       (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.