Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - December 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (8/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/3)-(8/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3)-(7/4/1/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2/3)-(3/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2/3)-(3/6/8)-(5/7/3/2) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-3   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/8)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(5/6/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (5/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/9)-(4/1/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/9)-(4/1/6/9)-(4/1/6/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/9)-(5/3/7)-(10/4/5/1) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(10/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (10/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/1)-(10/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/1)-(10/4/5/1)-(10/4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   12/12/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIACOMO CASANOVA         (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MY DARLING LILY by STREET SENSE)
2  WELCOMETOTHESSHOW         (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of MORE SWEET SECRETS by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
3  THE GROOM'S JUL         (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SHIMMERING JUL by OMEGA CODE)
4  YOU BET A FORTUNE         (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SKY FORTUNE by SKY MESA)
5  FIERY SIDE         (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 10.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of DELIGHTFUL MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
6  SOMESUGARNSPICE Dec06 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 Aug10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 115 1.60    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
7  BABY DOG         (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 6.00    
  (by CAL NATION out of BLUEMOONOFSARATOGA by GONE ASTRAY)
8  DEVILS WAR CRY         (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of DEVIL'S FLAIR by TEUFLESBERG)
9  Y'ZIN UP         (bernardini jay )LEON A 118 8.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PSALM TWENTY THREE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MNR-2   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ATTITUDE Nov22 Oct29 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 (robillard jos)NELSON TYRONE 120 4.00 12% 7.40    
2  CHOCO ROCO Dec03 Nov26 Nov15 Oct30 Oct15 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 120 12.00 11% 8.50    
3  RECKLESS AFFAIR Nov19 Oct24 Sep20 Sep03 Aug09 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 6% 17.00    
4  UNBRIDLED VICTOR Nov26 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 Sep26 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
5  LUVTHEONEURWITH Aug15 Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Jun06 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
6  I RUN Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct08 Sep09 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 118 8.00    
7  BIKO Nov26 Jun18 May29 May22 May07 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  RED DEVOLUTION Dec05 Nov09 Oct25 Sep30 Sep13 (albright )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 5.00    
9  ROLL ME OVER Nov01 Oct20 Sep17 May06 Apr21 (cuttino mar)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00    
10  CIRCLE INDY Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Sep05 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
 
MNR-3   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE LUCERITO Nov22 Oct30 Oct05 Aug26 Jul31 (fernandez kelly)REYES FRANK 120 30.00    
2  THE REIGN SONG Dec06 Nov29 Nov06 Oct24 Oct17 (silva pabl)LEON A 121 2.50    
3  GIRO KATE Dec05 Nov08 Oct17 Oct09 Sep25 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  OLIVIA'S JOY Dec03 Nov07 Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
5  MAMALONA Nov19 Aug13 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (silva jua)GONZALEZ J 110 15.00    
6  BRODY'S JESSICA Nov29 Nov19 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
7  SOFIA STRONG Nov26 Nov12 Oct25 Sep14 Aug21 (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
8  PALACE MAGIC Dec05 Nov18 Oct31 Sep26 Sep19 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
MNR-4   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN ELENITA Dec06 Nov22 Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 6.00    
2  OPTIMIZME Nov27 Nov19 Nov07 Oct07 Sep21 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BAYS CASTLE Nov18 Oct18 Jul06 Jun10 May20 (joy ke)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
4  LIPARI Nov19 Oct30 Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 118 15.00    
5  DONNA LIRICA Nov20 Oct31 Sep14 Aug06 Jun20 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 120 1.20 33% 2.10    
6  LIL SWEETHEART Nov19 Feb09 Oct05 Sep28 Sep20 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
7  HIGH FASHION LADY Dec02 Nov16 Oct31 Oct01 Aug11 (morzan e)YARANGA Y 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  BRIANA HARPER Dec04 Oct14 Aug26 Aug08 Jul25 (zawitz )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 8.00    
SCR  SENA THE DUCHESS Dec06 Aug30 Aug15 Feb24 Jan22 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 120 30.00    
10  ISLAND BEAUTY Nov19 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep03 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 20.00    
 
MNR-5   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST IMPRESSION Nov15 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KARMA GHIA Mar13 Jan12 Nov27 Oct24 Oct07 (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00    
3  VINEGAR VEGGIES Nov12 Oct17 Sep12 Aug16 Jul13 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 120 8.00    
4  ROLO BOLO Nov21 Oct03 Apr27 Mar31 Feb23 (lobo paulo )OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 5.00    
5  SENECA ROCKS Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul29 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 1.40 54% 0.80    
6  CASTLE REVIEW Nov15 Aug16 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 10% 8.50    
7  WHATCHAMACALL Oct31 Oct18 Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 (inirio carlos)DIAZ I 118 8.00    
8  HOV LANE Nov15 Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug29 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
9  CHICA CHULA Nov28 Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 Sep18 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 118 10.00    
 
MNR-6   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMAAZA Nov27 Nov13 Oct04 Sep11 Aug30 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 3.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  SWEET QUEEN BEE Dec06 Nov14 Oct18 Sep18 Aug29 (clouston ed)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 4.00    
3  BIG AMBITION Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep20 Aug09 (ortiz)MONSERRATE A 118 20.00    
4  CONTENT (IRE) Nov14 Nov03 Oct18 Oct04 Sep12 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 2.00 61% 0.70    
5  FLAT DISCOUNT Dec03 Nov18 Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
6  ACCOLADES GALORE Nov14 Oct18 Sep12 Aug30 Jul16 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
7  AWESOME SUNDAY Dec03 Nov14 Oct10 Sep23 Sep05 (zawitz joel)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00    
SCR  DOMITIA LUCILLA Nov24 May30 May02 Apr03 Feb28 (estvank)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 15.00    
9  IN TO THE NIGHT Nov14 Oct17 Sep24 Sep12 Aug29 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BLEST LIFE Nov27 Oct03 Sep16 Aug12 Jul21 (jenkins wal)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
 
MNR-7   12/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAC DADDY Oct31 Oct16 Sep25 Aug07   (shuler )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
2  DIXIE DRAWL Nov19 Oct27 Oct12 Sep08 Aug27 (ginter raymon)BRACHO A 123 2.00    
3  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Nov14 Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 Aug24 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Nov19 Nov06 Sep18 Sep05 Aug13 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  LIKEABLE Nov27 Oct28 Oct02 Sep22 Aug27 (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  CONRAD THE RED Dec06 Nov10 Jun21 May30 Mar22 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 12.00    
7  APPRAISAL Nov27 Oct31 Oct10 Oct01 Sep05 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MANSFIELD TIGER Nov13 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 (eggleston t)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
9  BASTIEN LE BROWN Sep20 Sep02 Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 (montano wilfrid)REYES FRANK 120 30.00    
 
MNR-8   12/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH HOLIDAY Dec04 Nov21 Oct18 Oct02 Sep10 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  AS DE ORO COCO Dec05 Aug27 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (bissell cheyan)JURADO EDDIE 120 30.00    
3  NINETIES COUNTRY Nov26 Aug14 Mar18 Jan21 Dec31 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
4  ROLL DEM BONES Dec05 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 Aug15 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 2.50 21% 3.90    
5  CALL ME LATER Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Oct03 (grace john)CCAMAQUE M 120 10.00 6% 16.30    
6  MOGALU Nov01 Aug24 Jul07 Jun16 Apr30 (deiter lyn)AVILES YAN 120 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY SMILE Dec06 Nov21 Nov16 Nov08 Oct30 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 20.00    
8  BANKX TURBO Nov15 Oct11 Sep17 Sep04 May28 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50    
SCR  EMJAY Nov19 Jul17 Jul05 Jun21 May23 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
10  CATFISH Aug29 Jul02 Jun06 May22 May16 (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.