Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - November 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (4/3)-(7/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6)-(7/8/6) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(2/1/4)-(2/7/8) 27 $2.00 $54.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/8)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(4/1)-(3/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-8   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Nov12 Oct30 Sep24 Aug29 Aug14 (crago terry)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.00    
SCR  BISCOTTINI Nov09 Oct02 Sep11 Aug27 Aug14 (poole jam)HERNANDEZ H 120 5.00    
3  MONGOLIAN MISSION Oct25 Oct11 Sep11 Aug22 Aug02 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
4  WEDDING CHAPEL Nov12 Nov01 Oct09 Sep03 Aug23 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 120 5.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  ORBITING THE SKY Nov07 Oct16 Oct09 Sep25 Sep05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
6  FIANNA HILLS Oct31 Oct23 Sep03 Aug07 Jul26 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
7  LITTLE LUCERITO Oct30 Oct05 Aug26 Jul31 Jun21 (fernandez a)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
 
MNR-2   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ECHOLITE Oct30 Sep14 Oct26 Oct01   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
SCR  NO NO NO NEVER (IRE) Nov08 May16       (reed r)PAUCAR E 118 3.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LLEW LAW by VERGLAS (IRE))
3  TEST YOUR FAITH Oct23 Oct11 Sep12 Sep06 Aug29 (wade justin)VEGA L 123 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
4  MELINOE Nov04 Oct24 Oct08 Aug28 Jul18 (meyers)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PERSEPHONE'S DAWN by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 Sep19 Apr06 (santillo thom)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
6  MS EXCUSE Nov08 Oct08 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 (cascallares nest)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ANGEL SPIRIT by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
7  THE MONSTER IRUS Oct30 Oct03 Sep20 Aug11 Aug02 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
8  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Nov08 Oct24 Oct12 Aug23 Jul20 (fiesman l)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 27% 2.70    
  (by SKY MESA out of ZIPSO FACTO by CITY ZIP)
 
MNR-3   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORILLA GIRL Nov08 Oct15 Oct02 Sep04 Jun24 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  AYY LADIES Nov07 Sep25 Sep07 Aug19 Apr30 (west m)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  C C'S WORLD Nov08 Oct07 Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 120 5.00    
4  BABKA Nov08 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul28 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00 8% 11.90    
5  IRON WILMA Oct25 Oct02 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (fiesman l)MAILHOT P 120 30.00    
SCR  UCAPTURED AERO Nov05 Oct10 Sep20 Apr23 Feb20 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 4.50    
7  MYRA FLEENER Nov15 Nov08 Oct29 Oct02 Sep19 (lopez jose )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
 
MNR-4   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ATTITUDE Oct29 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 (robillard jos)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50    
2  ROSE'S PEPINO Oct25 Aug31 Aug01 Jul24 Jun20 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  EL DUQUE Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 Aug28 (reffner b)CCAMAQUE M 120 15.00    
4  CLEVELAND POWER Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 Jun26 May21 (dixon geoff)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 30.00    
5  ONE MORE CHAPTER Nov08 Sep05       (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 5.00    
SCR  THE FIVE B'S Nov14 Nov06 Oct16 Sep18 Sep04 (viands gregory)VEGA L 118 12.00    
7  PONTI PRIDE Oct29 Sep19 Aug17 Jun17 May22 (west m)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
8  I RUN Nov07 Oct21 Oct08 Sep09 Aug26 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 12% 7.10    
 
MNR-5   11/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR BRITCHES Nov12 Oct25 Oct17 Oct02 Sep19 (witherow j)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 43% 1.30    
2  SWEETER THAN HONEY Nov06 Sep28 Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 (melancon pa)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00    
3  ESTA CALIENTE Nov12 Oct30 Oct17 Sep24 Sep10 (sanders melind)GILBERT KYLE 123 30.00    
4  BEE WINGS Nov12 Oct25 Oct16 Sep24 Sep11 (noland )BRAVO MISAEL 116 12.00 20% 4.10    
5  MEAN ELENITA Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 (si)DA FAUSTO 118 0.50    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Nov11 Aug12 Jul22 Mar18 Mar04 (mcgill sy)HERNANDEZ H 123 2.50    
 
MNR-6   11/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUND MY BALL         (si)DA FAUSTO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
2  ATLANTIC VAQUERO Nov09 Oct18 Aug18 Aug10 Jul29 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 118 4.50    
3  HERE COMES ELI Nov01 Oct16       (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Nov01 Sep25 Sep11 Jun10 May18 (meyers shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 8.00    
SCR  ENOUGH ICE Nov27 Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 Sep14 (pease harry)YARANGA Y 120 50.00    
6  THIRSTY Oct30 Oct18 Sep17 Aug25 Jan29 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Nov06 Oct04 Sep02 Aug13 Jul27 (jones m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 1.00    
 
MNR-7   11/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT TIGER Oct30 Oct17 Sep24 Sep06 Dec06 (fairman sha)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 18% 4.50    
2  GATES OF HEAVEN Oct30 Sep27 Jul05 Jun19 May22 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 3.50    
3  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Sep26 Sep04 Jul30 Jul19 Jun21 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
4  PALACE PRINCE Nov13 Oct17 Sep18 Aug23 Aug09 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.50 27% 2.80    
5  BAZOO Nov04 Oct04 Aug31 Aug05 Jul05 (patters)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00    
SCR  KALINBA Nov05 Oct15 Oct03 Sep20 Aug25 (cascallar)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00    
SCR  VINNIE VAN GO Oct16 Sep12 Sep04 Jul31 Jul16 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.00    
 
MNR-8   11/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEBEACH Nov05 Oct18 Nov05 Oct19 Jul23 (echenique santia)CCAMAQUE M 123 10.00    
2  PHILBIN ROAD         (si)DA FAUSTO 123 5.00    
3  ELUSIVE QUESTION Sep24 Apr25 Apr10     (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  WALTER WHITE Oct18 Sep02       (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  LORD GRANDE Oct21         (cuttino marion)GILBERT KYLE 123 15.00    
6  PAPA DEL CIELO Oct25 Sep19 Sep05 Aug23 Aug13 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50    
7  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 Jul27 Jun30 (shanle)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Oct25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug19 Aug05 (shanley)BRAVO MISAEL 116 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.