Handicappers' Racing Form

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Delaware Park
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DEL-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DEL-2   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DEL-3   Win (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DEL-4   Win (2/1/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DEL-5   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
DEL-6   Win (10/9/4/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
DEL-7   Win (4/9/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
DEL-8   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
DEL-1   10/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTY CAKES Sep15 Aug29 Jul27 Jul14 Mar30 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 1.80 62% 0.60    
INDY AGAIN Sep14 Jul26 Jul06 May25 Apr13 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 2.50 9% 10.70    
ALEXA'S DREAM Sep03 Aug12 Jul13 May28 Mar26 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
SIX THE HARD WAY Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jul29 (sanchez-salomon r)MENA E 117 8.00    
DOCTOR ABBIE Sep25 Sep12 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 117 6.00 7% 14.20    
WILL OR WON'T Sep14 Aug23 Jul28 Jul03 Jun13 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
 
DEL-2   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPAGNE JUAN Feb11         (clement chri)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
THREE FOLD Sep09 Aug02 Jan14 Dec24 Dec03 (smith robert)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
FOUR DAYS EARLY Sep04 Aug02       (aristone t)CASTILLO A 120 6.00    
MASTER MOJO Sep11         (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
AMANI'S TIGER Sep09 Aug13 Jul13 Jun09   (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
LIFE ON THE NILE Sep03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May21 (ward dan)RIVERA R 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
WORKING MAN         (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
 
DEL-3   10/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KASHAN Sep09 Aug25 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 (grullon riquelvi)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
LITTLE RED BUTTON Sep09 Aug12 Jul27 Jun28 Jun09 (gomez pompeyo)SOSA LAUREANO 116 8.00    
PROTOMAGIC Sep13 Aug19 Jul27 Jul14 Jun28 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 121 3.50    
QUEEN'S DREAM Sep22 Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May25 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
LET'S BE HONEST Aug16 Jul22 Jul13 Jun14 May24 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
RED PEPPER GRILL Sep09 Jul22 Jun27 May24 Nov16 (gorham e)MENA E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
THEA'S THEME Oct05 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 (ramirez a)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 6.00    
LIKING IT TWISTED Sep21 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 125 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
DEL-4   10/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD MEDICATION Dec09 Nov23 Nov02 Oct09 Aug21 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
CITY HUMOR Sep22 Sep02 Aug10 Jun17 Jun09 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 33% 2.10    
VEGAS PLAYBOY Sep29 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 Jul15 (sacco gregor)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
EXCALIBRATE Sep03 Jul23 Jul01 Mar11 Feb11 (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 121 8.00    
VENTILATOR Sep16 Aug19 Jul05 Jun18 Apr17 (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 7% 12.70    
NIEUWENDYK Aug31 Jun04 May14 Apr21 Mar24 (begg james )VARGAS A 121 2.50    
LOVE ME OR DON'T Sep30 Aug31 Aug15     (saville nia)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00    
SOCIAL JOE Oct04 Sep14 Aug26 Jul07 Jun22 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 124 12.00    
THE GOLDEN ONE Sep02 Aug13 Aug03 Jul21 Jul01 (chichakly amir)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
10  MO EH HENNESSY Sep29 Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (simone v)HIRALDO JOHN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-5   10/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEATIFUL KARLA Sep02 Aug19 Jul14 May18 Mar01 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 8.00    
TITA MIMOSA (IRE) Feb11         (rodriguez da)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
PENNY POLKA Sep08 Aug16 Jul28     (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 5.00    
TOOT YOUR HORN Sep22 Aug27 Jul07     (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
SMOOCHINWITHCINDY Aug26 Aug11       (robb j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
DELTA CHARM Aug17 Aug04 Jul19 Jun22 Jun03 (smith g)CENTENO E 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
FANCY WARRIOR Sep30 Sep06 Aug31 Jul06 Jun24 (hayford jennifer)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
 
DEL-6   10/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP AND SCOTCH Sep29 Sep20 Aug13 Jul22 Jun11 (ramirez a)MENA E 117 15.00    
SCR  NOBLE CONQUEST Oct12 Sep07 Aug11 Jul13 Jun09 (allen ferris)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Sep22 Sep01 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (santaella-cal)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 20.00    
MR. SARCASTIC Sep14 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (iannotti th)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 15.00 15% 5.80    
THE ANGRY MAN Oct04 Sep02 Aug23 Jul12 Jul03 (gallimore trevo)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  KING'S HONOR (IRE) Sep15 Sep02 Jun18 May19 Nov07 (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 122 3.00    
DRAMATIZED Sep02 Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 May22 (polachek janet)CORREA JULIO 118 20.00    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun17 May14 (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 118 20.00    
ULTIMATE IRONY Sep22 Aug26 Jun24 Jun04 Apr29 (rodriguez da)SANCHEZ J 120 12.00 25% 3.00    
10  GUILLAUME Sep29 Sep02 Aug19 Jun09 May12 (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00 33% 2.10    
11  KHOZY MY BOY Sep27 Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 May15 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun15 (hayford jennif)ARROYO S 120 4.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Sep21 Aug19 Aug04 Jul29 Jul15 (lawrence ja)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
14  VOLTAMOUR Sep07 Aug10 Jul15 Dec05 Nov13 (mcgoey mon)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 12.00    
 
DEL-7   10/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Rocky Run Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKIE'S EMPIRE Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 Jun17   (crowell su)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RANDAZZO Sep09 Aug12       (stidham michael)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
BOLT OF AURUM Sep10         (duarte j)ARROYO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CATIRE VIZCAYA Aug26 Jul20       (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
THEDINGOATEYOBABY Sep10 Aug12       (russell brittany)RENDON JAIRO 119 10.00    
AMERICAN WAR HERO Sep30         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
REAL SENSATION Aug25 Aug06 Jul16     (sacco grego)HERNANDEZ A 119 15.00    
CRAZY MASON Aug26 Jul20 Jun17     (sacco d)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
COPPER TAX Sep27 Sep01 Jun28 Jun10   (capuano gary)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
10  WILLY D'S Sep08         (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
11  DEPOSITION Sep23         (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 117 20.00    
 
DEL-8   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOOTDAREITIS Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 Jul07 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 121 15.00    
RIVER FULL Sep13 Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 Jun23 (capuano a)ALICEA JEREMY 113 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  ONEHANDSOMEDUDE Sep29 Jul07 Oct05 Sep09 Aug18 (simoff and)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
STELLWAGEN BANKER Sep27 Sep16 Sep01 Jul27 Jul13 (salinas giovanni)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00 8% 11.00    
SUMMER ASH Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 4.00 54% 0.80    
CONNECTING Oct04 Sep26 Jun20 Jun10 Apr10 (castillo michelle)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00    
CAPE COD SUMMER Oct06 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Sep29 Sep16 Sep08 Aug30 Jul07 (deiter kelly )ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 15.00    
SCR  TAPIO (IRE) Sep25 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jun11 (stidham mich)SANCHEZ J 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.