Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(3/2/4)-(4/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(4/3/6)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(1/5)-(2/10/12) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(2/10/12)-(2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/10/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/12)-(2/10/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/10/12)-(2/10/12)-(2/10/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/10/12)-(2/3)-(9/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(9/8/5/2)-(10/3/2/1/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-7   WIN (9/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2)-(9/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/5/2)-(10/3/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (10/3/2/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/1/4)-(10/3/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/1/4)-(10/3/2/1/4)-(10/3/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Sep07 Jul27 Jul07 Mar15 Feb15 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 10.00    
2  BETTER HALF Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 May11 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  BUCKEYE BELLE Aug26 Aug09 Jul05     (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
4  PRICELESS PICTURE Sep07 Aug26 Jul27 Jun30 Jun08 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00    
5  SWEETER THAN HONEY Sep01 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 30.00    
SCR  GO GIRL Sep14 Aug24 Jun30 Jun22 May31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
7  YOU NAME IT Jul22 Jun30 Jun07 Dec12 Nov28 (gorham m)OUZTS W 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Aug29 Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 Jun14 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50    
2  TWIRLING RUTH Sep09 Aug29 Aug12 Jul21 Dec15 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  PINKY TUSCADERO Aug10 Jul05 Jun10 May31 Apr28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  AWESOME LAWSON Aug31 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 Jun08 (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY ANGELICA Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jun29 (pinzon maria)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
6  JOYFUL NOISE Jul17 Jul04 Jun12 May13 Apr28 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 6.00    
 
BTP-3   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NATIONAL DIAMOND         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of THREE DIAMONDS by WILBURN)
2  DANZANITEAWAY Aug30         (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 4.00    
  (by DANZA out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
3  SHE IS DYNAMIC Sep08         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  TWISTED JUSTICE Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jun29 Jun15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
5  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Sep08 Aug30       (cline rob)CORREA L 121 4.50    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
6  MOBIL DREAM STAR         (wilson davi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00 7% 12.60    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
 
BTP-4   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACARINO Jul26 Jul09 May31 Apr16 Mar05 (melancon paul)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
2  VAMONOS Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 Jun12 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 114 6.00    
SCR  MONOLITO Aug09 Oct05 Jul18 May10 Mar07 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
4  SUPER BROTHER Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul27 Jul13 (skeens je)CORREA L 120 5.00    
5  FAST FELIX Sep06 Aug05 Jun30 May24 Sep07 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 2.50 12% 7.60    
6  SANTINO'S FANTASY Sep07 Aug16 Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 (perez manny)COLON H 117 10.00    
7  OVER CALENDARED Aug23 Aug09 Aug01 Jul12 Jun14 (her)GIRON ALEJANDRO 120 8.00    
 
BTP-5   09/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Miss Southern Ohio Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAR RULES Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 May20 (huffman g)MCKEE J 122 2.50 ★    
  (by MOBIL out of STAR OF ATTICUS by ATTICUS)
2  AUNT BEE Aug12 Mar14 Mar02 Jan18 Dec30 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 122 6.00 52% 0.90    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SILKY SAMI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Aug21 Jul27 May22 Apr27 Apr15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 8.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COPPER ROSE by UNBRIDLED)
4  LATE DATE Sep01 Aug09 Aug01 Jul20 Jun22 (lopez carlo)MIRANDA ROGELIO 116 20.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  SARAH JANE Sep11 Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul14 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of HEBREW SONG by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  FACTISIMFLASHY Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of LIGHTNING LUCY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BOSSY LADY Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 May17 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
8  DEW IT WITH STYLE Sep04 Aug10 Aug01 Jul19 Jul03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 5.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of DEW IT RIGHT by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 May26 Nov12 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
10  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug24 Aug01 Jul05 Aug31 Aug15 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 114 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOFTY LIZZY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  EARLY BLOOMER Sep06 Aug03 Jul19 May12 Dec30 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
12  GOODNESS SAKES Aug18 Aug06 May11 Apr27 Oct10 (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
13  KETTLE KISS Sep04 Aug10 Jun30 May31 May06 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 114 4.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of ABIDING LOVE by OLMODAVOR)
 
BTP-6   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOT MARIE Aug31 Aug01 Jun14 May03 Apr15 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 117 4.50    
2  YOGA QUEEN Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Sep11 Feb23 (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  HARTFUL HOPE Sep07 Aug10 Jul13 Jun18 May22 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  BLACK FOREST Aug13 Jun29 Jun01 Apr07 Jan22 (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 1.80    
5  CHAI TEA Sep04 Aug10 Jun21 Jun04 May19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
6  INNER HARBOR Sep07 Aug01 Jul07 Jun01   (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 6.00    
 
BTP-7   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Loyalty Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Sep05 Aug17       (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
2  ROLL ON BIG O Sep05 Aug15 Jul26     (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ECHT by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  VILLIAN Aug12 Jul22 Jul06 Jun05   (hamm timothy)OUZTS W 118 4.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
4  SOCIAL HISTORY Aug26 Aug02       (danner do)CORREA L 116 4.50    
  (by DANZA out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
5  MAY MAYHEM Jul27 Jul13 Jun20     (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 10.00 6% 15.70    
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
6  MR. REDLEGS Jul22 Jun30 Jun16     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 8.00    
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
7  RADIO SILENT Aug15 Jul26 Jun30     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 10.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
8  SHADOWY Sep05 Aug12 Aug02 Jul22 Jun03 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
9  TOUGH CAT Aug15 Jun30       (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of BARN CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
BTP-8   09/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWHATEVERITTAKES Jul12 Mar31       (reed r)FELIX E 121 6.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
1A  NO WAY IT'S TODAY (GB) Jun14         (reed r)FELIX E 121 6.00 6% 15.00    
  (by SHOWCASING out of WAY TO MY HEART by GALILEO (ARG))
2  RITZY CAT         (arnold george)GILLIGAN JACK 121 5.00 7% 13.20    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of IN DY RITZ by A.P. INDY)
3  SPUN OATS Sep09 Jun29 Jun08 May22 Mar24 (drury thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MORE OATS PLEASE by SMART STRIKE)
4  ORCHARD ROAD Sep06 Aug01 Jul09 Jun20 May15 (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of LIWA OASIS by MIDAS TOUCH (GB))
5  TEXAS PRINCESS Sep03 Jul23 Jun29 Jun04 Mar30 (cristel m)CORREA L 121 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of ROYAL ANGEL by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  LA COPA Sep14         (macias adol)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BOJOUR by BOB AND JOHN)
7  BRIC A BRAC Aug16 Jul12 Jun08 May18   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SENADA by PULPIT)
8  QUEEN OF ATLANTIS Aug11 Jun30 Jun07 Jul19 Jun28 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 12.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  RUE Aug29         (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SPELLBOUND by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
10  Q BOND Sep06 Jul29 Feb19 Jan14   (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAD PRINCESS by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.