Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (9/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/1)-(9/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/1)-(9/3/6/1)-(9/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (3/10/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/1/4)-(3/10/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/1/4)-(3/10/6/1/4)-(3/10/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/1/4/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/1/4/9/5)-(3/1/4/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3)-(2/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/9)-(5/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/9)-(5/2/8/9)-(5/2/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (3/5/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (5/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASE BABY Jul14 Jun11 May26 Apr15 Jan19 (rodriguez ru)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.00 25% 3.10    
2  BUBBY PAPERMAKER Jul24 Jul12 Jun21 Jun12 Apr11 (whylie her)HENRY JR 118 20.00    
3  STAFF SERGEANT Jul23 Jul14 Jul01 Feb27 Feb15 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RECUSED Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 Jul08   (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 15.00    
5  GET KHOZY Jun02 Apr06 Mar09 Feb17 Jan19 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 51% 1.00    
6  POWER OF NATURE Jul22 Jun17       (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50    
SCR  CAUTELOSO May27 Apr20       (castil)GONZALEZ JR 118 20.00    
8  WINSOR MANOR Jul29 Jul14 Oct08 Aug28 Aug12 (leeson d)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DOOQ May30 May17       (pino mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
 
MTH-2   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRIE EMPRESS Jul24 Jun21 May28 Apr12 Mar27 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.50    
2  SAVE THE FLAG Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 May29 Mar15 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00    
3  THE HAUNTED ROOM Jul05 Apr30 Mar19 Feb24 Feb11 (pradenas ser)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MILWAUKEE BAY Jul05 Jun19 Jun07 May01 Mar08 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 6% 14.80    
SCR  TURN ON THE CHARM Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 May27 Mar29 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 3.00    
6  ALEXA'S DREAM Jul13 May28 Mar26 Mar08 Feb22 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 2.00 64% 0.60    
7  EXCULPATE Jul01 Jun02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 120 4.50    
 
MTH-3   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RED BUTTON Jul27 Jun28 Jun09 May20 Apr28 (gomez po)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUVIES IN TIME Jul20 Jun16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
3  FLIP MY ID Jul19 Jun09 Apr21 Mar11 Dec28 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Aug06 Jun23 May26 Apr15 Feb08 (magee kieron)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00    
5  TWIRLING WIND Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 May23 May08 (perez t)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
6  SUMMER AT THE SPA Jul29 Jul11 Jun12 May31 May14 (lake a)LUZZI J 120 4.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  MAARTY'S DILEMMA Jul08 Jun07 Apr17 Mar29 Mar08 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
8  JET FORCE Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 May25 May04 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 10.00    
9  MISPELLED MOOON Jun30 Jun03 Oct28 Sep25 Aug28 (dobles el)VARGAS A 122 4.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  SNOW FORECAST Jul12 Mar27 Feb27 Feb15 Jan17 (lake a)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00    
 
MTH-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE THE TRUTH Jul23         (kromann ll)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of COUNTESS GERALDINE by LOVE OF MONEY)
SCR  AVERAGE JOE Jul23         (pena)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of SAUCY BROAD by BELONG TO ME)
3  ELECTRIC EEL Jul23         (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of SHE'S HOT WIRED by CABLE BOY)
4  LEPRECHAUN         (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of BAY OF GOLD by SEEKING THE GOLD)
5  DARK VICTORY Jul23 Jul01 Jun03     (spina char)RIVERA R 112 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of BUSTIN OUT by BUSTIN STONES)
6  JASPER'S PRIDE Jul23         (spina ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of CHEROKEE CHAMPION by MAX'S PAL)
7  BOOK'EM DANNO         (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  T V MAN         (frangella ja)BATISTA A 117 15.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
9  ZAVA Jul23         (hills tim)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of AMERICAN LASS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
10  LEGENDARY THUNDER Jul23         (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of MURPHY STYLE by TOMORROWS CAT)
11  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Jul23         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of LITTLE RED EXPRESS by MONARCHOS)
 
MTH-5   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Feb03 Dec23 Oct16 Sep30   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 ★    
2  LOGAN'S RUNNER Jul26 Jul11 Jun24 Mar08 Dec29 (castillo mic)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 15.00    
3  BALLINDINE Jun03 Apr16 Mar31 Mar04 Jan11 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 109 5.00 67% 0.50    
4  SPARTAN BOY Jul12 Jun28 Jun05     (aristone phi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 ★    
5  BALI RIDDIM Jul10 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 Nov10 (fung chris)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOCTOR MAGIC Jul26 Jun13 May25 May16 Apr11 (whylie her)HENRY JR 118 20.00    
7  FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK Jul23 Jul01 May19 Jun17   (klesaris r)RIVERA R 118 3.00    
8  LIOTTA Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Feb18 Jan29 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00    
9  SNIP THE ROSES Jul21 Jun23 May26 May05 Mar31 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN OF GOLD Jul28 Dec16 Oct21 Sep23 Aug20 (ward dan)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
2  BET OF THE CENTURY Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 May15 Apr24 (perez a)RUIZ ELISEO 113 2.00 35% 1.90    
3  COMODA Jul28 Jul16 Jun18 Sep11 Jul31 (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  DUNE JUMPER Aug05 Jul18 Jun20 May22 May02 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 121 10.00    
5  ANGELIC GAL Jul28 May05 Mar11 Feb05 Jan18 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 5.00 18% 4.50    
6  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Jul12 Jun18 Apr18 Apr05 Mar22 (brown howard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50    
7  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jul28 Jul09 Jun25 Mar03 Feb08 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  THROWBACK Jul08 Jun09 Apr07 Jan20   (camejo m)COTTO L 117 5.00    
 
MTH-7   08/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS BONNIE T Dec29 Dec02 Sep30 Aug19 Jul22 (antonacci)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
2  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) Jul02 Jun03 Oct29 Aug25 Jul14 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  FROSTY O TOOLE Jun09 Apr08 Mar08 Feb04 Jan15 (pletcher a)JUAREZ NIK 115 8.00    
4  SWEET SURPRISE Jun23 Jan21 Dec16 Nov27 Oct31 (hill)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 20.00    
5  UNCORKED (AUS) Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 May28 May27 (russell britta)RENDON JAIRO 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  SAIL BY Jul27 May18 Oct14 Sep18 Aug20 (antonacci phil)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
7  CREATIVE CAIRO Nov12 Oct20 Sep22 Aug25 Jul31 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
8  BLUE TIMES Jun03 Mar26 Feb12 Dec04 Sep25 (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 7% 12.70    
9  WHITE LILACS Jul22 Jun12 May23 Oct22 Sep21 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 5.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  FOOL YOURSELF Jan21 Nov13 Oct22 Aug27 Aug06 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Jul22 Jun18 Apr30 Feb02 Jan08 (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 115 6.00    
SCR  PRINCESS SOPHIE Jul24 Jun21 May29 Apr12 Feb22 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-8   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIROLAMO'S ATTACK Jul04 Jun17 May22 Apr30 Nov25 (mosco robert)MOYA F 124 15.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  SOUPER FLY OVER Jul28 Jun27 Jun20 Jun03 May09 (collazo l)VARGAS A 122 5.00    
3  DIZZY GILLESPIE Jul28 Jul14 Jul08 May29 May24 (flores-co)RODRIGUEZ A 124 8.00    
4  SMALL REASON Jul28 Jul14 Jun10 May13 Apr21 (sweeze)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  BOX OF CHOCOLATES Jul29 Jun25 Jun09 May17 Apr01 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
6  MAJESTIC TIGER Jul29 May26 May06 Apr01 Mar10 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00    
7  BIG CITY BOB Jul30 Jul14 Jun28 Jun13 May29 (penaloza mig)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 5.00    
8  BAILEY Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 May22 Apr18 (kirby t)RENDON JAIRO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
MTH-9   08/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYGO (GER) Jul22 Jul07 Apr29 Mar31 May12 (dobles el)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
2  FULL DISCLOSURE Jul07 Jun18 May27 Apr29 Mar18 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
3  BIZ BIZ BUZZ Jul02 Jun11 Feb19 Dec23 Nov05 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  LIKE WHAT I SEE Jul09 Jun23 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAMBA ON THREE Jul07 May28 Apr08 Mar04 Jan19 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  COMMANDING GENERAL Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 Jun03 (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  AGGRANDIZE Jun27 Jun13 Jun06 Apr26 Apr11 (caban e)RUIZ ELISEO 115 15.00    
8  JUST JEREMY Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Dec13 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
9  POGI Jun16 May21 Oct15 Sep18 Sep04 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
SCR  MT SURIBACHI Jul07 May28 Nov06 Oct08 Oct03 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00    
SCR  MARLEY LUCK Jul08 May27 Apr16 Mar25 Feb22 (dobles el)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00    
 
MTH-10   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING WATER Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 May18 (ramirez si)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
2  PRINCE FILIP Jul20 Jul03 Jun21 Jun07 May06 (diaz jorge)RIVERA R 119 3.50 6% 15.60    
3  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jul30 Jul14 Jul01 Jun10 May21 (penaloza migue)COTTO L 120 12.00    
4  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jul29 Jun05 May17 Feb22 Feb07 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 120 6.00    
5  MR. EXTENSION May29 May14 Mar17 Feb20 Jan31 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
6  TANKINATOR Jul11 Jun13 May29 Apr26 Apr12 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 8% 11.20    
7  LOVERBOY LOU Jul30 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00 29% 2.50    
8  CAMPTOWN RACES Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May29 (torres pa)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.