Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (7/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-5   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-6   Win (7/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-7   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-8   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-9   Win (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH DAWN Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 1.80 39% 1.50    
DODROPIN Apr24 Mar29 Mar04 Feb09 Jun24 (toye joe)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 6.00    
BADGER GAL Jan15 Jan08 Nov06 Oct22 Sep17 (cryderman cand)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
QUEEN OF LOVE Apr11 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan18 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
YELLEN Apr24 Mar25 Feb25 Feb16 Feb06 (toye joe)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 17% 4.90    
MISS AGGIE BLING Mar29 Mar04 Feb19 Feb08 Jan18 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.00    
 
EMD-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN GRIT Apr25 Mar27 Mar12 Mar01 Dec31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 9% 10.10    
SUMMANUS Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (cooper kay)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
REGULATION DAZED Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 Jan29 Jan07 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 66% 0.50    
RAAJIN RIBBON Apr17 Sep11 Aug21 Aug14   (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 118 3.00 5% 18.80    
MOONLIGHTNWINE Dec09 Nov26 Oct30     (soranno jill)RADKE K 118 10.00    
SARGENT KLINE Apr11 Mar19 Jul10 Jun18 May15 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
 
EMD-3   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARKSABER Apr25 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 Feb05 (metz jeffrey)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
ARTHUR SPOONER Apr11 Nov23 Nov13 Nov07 Oct25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
FOREVER GOLD Mar01 Feb20 Feb04 Jan24 Jan05 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 2.50    
TRIBAL IMPACT Apr04 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 Jul29 (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 15% 5.90    
MINOSO Mar26 Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 Jan02 (medina luciano)OROZCO E 124 6.00    
HULA KING Apr11 Apr02 Mar11 Mar05 Feb19 (bullene michael)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
WEAR THE CROWN Apr11 Mar25 Feb04 Dec20 Dec08 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 5.00    
 
EMD-4   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HADLEES HONOR Apr17 Mar25 Feb14 Jan13 Dec09 (van debbie)MATIAS J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
THIRSTY KISS Mar12 Feb21 Feb01 Jan23 Dec27 (gibson vin)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 8% 12.00    
CHUMLY Jun24 Jun05 May15 Apr24 Mar13 (cryderman candice)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00    
DANNY ZUKO Apr04 Mar05 Feb19 Jan07 Dec13 (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 121 12.00    
SILENT DECLARATION Feb28 Feb11 Jan23 Dec19 Nov30 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 22% 3.50    
LAGO DE ORO Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 Jun03 (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
ATTORNEY LOUIS Apr17 Apr08 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
EMD-5   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE PETE Aug28 Aug21       (bullock steve)OROZCO E 122 6.00    
REIGN OF SPEED Jan05 Nov07 Oct15 Sep16 Aug20 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 30% 2.40    
OWHATARUSH         (wisdom anne)MATIAS J 122 15.00    
THEUNTOUCHABLEONE Apr16 Dec03 Oct22 Jul24 Jun19 (wright blaine)RADKE K 122 3.00    
WITHEE Sep10 Aug28 Aug13     (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
ITS KRAKEN TIME Sep18 Sep10 Aug21     (wisdom anne)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8% 11.40    
TIME 'ER TOO Sep18 Aug28 Aug14     (cooper kay)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00    
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Apr23 Apr14 Mar31 Feb18   (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
SECRET SAGA Jun24         (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
10  MY MAN STAN Mar25 Mar05       (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
 
EMD-6   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEMAKESCENTS Apr23 Mar12 Feb11 Jan27 Dec09 (metz jeffrey)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50    
LUCINDA RELLA Aug28 Jul10 Jun18     (harwood m)RADKE K 120 8.00    
DONTFORGETHESUGAR Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 (cryderman s)MATIAS J 120 12.00    
MY MOONDANCER Apr01 Mar20 Mar11 Feb25 Jan14 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 123 5.00 25% 2.90    
MUNNINGS TALE Mar20 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 Dec14 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 4.00 7% 12.90    
CAMDEN HIGH Apr01 Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan10 (pierce l)ENRIQUEZ D 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
DANIELLE'S SECRET Apr08 Feb19 Jan29 Jan14 Dec04 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 117 6.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  BIG MAMA THORNTON Mar12 Dec11 May27 Jan16   ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-7   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LAD Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb20 Feb03 (medina pa)CRUZ M 121 3.00    
FIREWALKER Sep18 Aug19 Jul23 Jul03 Jun10 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 6.00    
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY Jun04         (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
MIDNIGHT MOJO Jan09 Nov28 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 10.00    
MARCH ON LINCH Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jul31 Jul09 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 121 15.00    
POVERTY BAY Mar26 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 Jan11 (toye joe)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
TAX CODE Sep03 Jun18 Mar05     (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 4.00    
 
EMD-8   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 8:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEWAY Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23   (navarro jose)OROZCO E 118 6.00    
SCR  MS FLASHY HARBOR Apr17 Mar26 Feb26 Feb06 Jan10 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 118 5.00    
STICKINITTOTHEMAN Sep02 Jul31 Jul10 Jun25   (lucarelli )AMADOR RUIZ 118 10.00 10% 9.20    
ALOHA BREEZE Dec21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun25   (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Apr16 Mar24 Feb11 Jan21 Jan08 (cryderman candice)NEGRON LUIS 118 8.00    
SHELBY GOLD Apr08 Mar19 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00    
ANNETTE MARIE Sep18 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 (cryderman s)RADKE K 118 4.00    
STEPUP Aug19         (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
EMD-9   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3 F PT- 9:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTA GIRL         (martinez david)OROZCO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
YOUNG LIFE LAURA         (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GUNNHILD Sep17 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 120 4.50    
ZEVA DEE Jul02         (gibson vince)CRUZ M 120 6.00    
SHESALILRUNAWAY Aug19 Jul02       (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 10.00    
ABOVE THE STARS Mar12 Jan16 Dec26     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 1.20 66% 0.50    
OUR GIRL ASHLEY         (cryderman cand)SARMIENTO RIGO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSY CANDY Apr23 Mar19 Feb19     (evans ju)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.