Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Oaklawn Park
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
OP-1   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/8)-(4/7/9/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
OP-2   WIN (4/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/6)-(4/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/6)-(4/7/9/6)-(4/7/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/9/6)-(1/8/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/6)-(1/8/2/5)-(5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
OP-3   WIN (1/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/5)-(1/8/2/4/5)-(1/8/2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/2/5)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/5)-(5/6/1)-(3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
OP-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/4/8)-(5/6/1/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(3/5)-(10/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(10/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(10/8/7)-(2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
OP-6   WIN (10/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/7)-(10/8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/8/7)-(10/8/7/1)-(10/8/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/8/7)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/8/7)-(2/3)-(3/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/4/9)-(3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
OP-8   WIN (3/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/9)-(3/4/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/9)-(3/4/9/6/5)-(3/4/9/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/9)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
OP-9   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/6/11)-(3/1/7/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
OP-1   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN HONGKONG Dec17 Nov19 Oct09 Aug24 Aug03 (broberg karl)ZIMMERMAN R 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  BRAVO BRAVO Jan29 Jan15 Nov06 Oct28 Oct08 (vance d)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00    
3  HEZA WILD RIDE Jan22 Dec10 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 (villafranco )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00    
4  RELEASED Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct16 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 ★    
5  MORNING SNOW Feb04 Jan08 Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 (pish danny)ERAMIA E 120 10.00    
6  CABOT Jan20 Nov12 Oct14 Sep16 Aug16 (hewitt micha)JORDAN R 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  HOME BASE Jan20 Dec09 Aug02 Jun30 Jun04 (diodoro )SANTANA JR 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  TRUMPENCE Jan22 Jan06 Nov08 Sep28 Aug26 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 1.80 8% 12.10    
 
OP-2   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAG TO FLAG Jan29 Aug10 Jul16     (haran john)MEDELLIN ERICK 112 30.00    
2  MARTIQUE MISS Feb12 Jan21 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 20.00    
3  STAR POSE Jan27 Jan13 Oct26 Sep28 Aug07 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 3.00    
4  HAIL COLUMBIA Jan01 Nov26 Mar26 Jan14   (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BAYSHORE FOXES Feb01 Nov23 Oct29 Oct08   (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 11% 8.50    
6  ESSENTIAL BELLA Jan06 Dec16 Jul11 Jun26 Jun09 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 123 8.00 9% 9.90    
7  VEGAS BLUE Feb05 Mar19 Feb18     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
8  MRS. NUSHI Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 Nov18 Oct20 (garcia genaro)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00    
9  NO DRAMA MOMMA Feb05 Jan01 Nov20 Feb26   (hartman chris)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 4.50 11% 7.80    
10  AIN'TNOSWEETIE Jan29 Jan01 Dec16 Nov22 Oct14 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 123 12.00    
 
OP-3   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIDETOWN Jan20 Feb21 Jan14     (prather j)TORRES A 125 4.00 41% 1.40    
2  MYSTERY MAN Jan28 Oct02 Aug28 Jul18 Jun19 (martin timot)JORDAN R 117 15.00 11% 8.40    
3  SPEND BENJAMINS Feb05 Dec31 Nov16 Oct20 Sep24 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 117 4.50    
4  BLACK STORM Feb05 Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 (diodoro robertino)BAZE C 121 6.00 ★    
5  CHAPEL BARN Feb05 Jan15 Dec18 Nov08 Oct12 (altamirano e)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  COLONEL BOWMAN Nov06 Oct10 Aug21 Jun05 Apr15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50    
7  FREUDIAN FATE Jan01 Dec18 Nov07 Oct07 Sep16 (dixon tim)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
8  LOVE MY JIMMY Jan15 Dec10 Nov18 Sep22 Sep04 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
OP-4   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHURIAN Jan07 Nov19 Nov03 Oct12 Sep15 (rosin cot)TORRES A 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
2  TITLE SHOT Jan21 Jan01 Nov10 Oct17 Sep14 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 10.00    
3  COAL TRUTH Jan07 Dec10 Nov21 Oct20 Sep23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
4  SMILEFORME Dec04 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (jacobson david)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.50 ★    
5  DRENA'S STAR Jan22 Dec10 Nov09 Sep23 Jun10 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
6  TOWN CHAMP Jan22 Dec16 Nov08 Oct20 Sep16 (hewitt mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  CARL G Jan20 Dec16 Dec03 Nov21 Nov02 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 20.00    
8  GRAPNEL Jan21 Jan07 Nov11 Oct05 Aug11 (brennan terr)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00 ★    
9  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jan13 Dec09 Nov19 Oct28 Sep22 (hornsby tammy)BEJARANO R null      
 
OP-5   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHT STRAIGHT Feb10 Jan08 Nov16 Nov03 Sep21 (barkley jason)BAZE C 120 15.00    
2  INFILTRATOR         (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 8.00 ★    
3  BET HE'S READY Nov23 Oct22 Mar16 Feb17 Jan17 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 57% 0.80    
4  TEXAS PHAROAH         (keithan rach)MEDELLIN ERICK 120 20.00    
5  LIFE ON THE NILE Jan13 Apr16 Mar19 Feb26 Jan29 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 125 2.50 12% 7.30    
6  CYCLONE Jan27 Jan13 Dec18 Nov23 Nov06 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 125 6.00 ★    
7  CONTRABANDISTA Feb03 May20 Apr08 Mar19 Feb11 (morse ran)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 15.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED Jan06 Dec11 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 (mason ingrid)WALES T 120 15.00    
SCR  GUIDED ARROW Jan14 Dec03 Nov23 Oct12 Aug24 (barkley jaso)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 4.00 10% 9.10    
10  UNSTABLE PRINCE Jan07 Dec17 Feb12 Jan29 Jan02 (martin willia)CABRERA DAVID 125 15.00    
 
OP-6   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY BOY ROCKET Feb12 Dec17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 (broberg k)TORRES A 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  NEW DICE Feb10 Jan22 Oct30 Sep07 Aug27 (litfin nevada)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
3  SKYLINE Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 Nov15 Oct11 (haran joh)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
4  LORD GRANTHAM Jan29 Dec31 Nov26 Nov02 Sep24 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 117 6.00    
5  GALACTIC EMPIRE Jan29 Jan01 May29 May20 May08 (martin timot)JORDAN R 122 30.00    
6  PRACTICAL MAN Jan22 Jan01 Oct27 Oct03 Sep14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 122 20.00    
7  MARK THE MOOSE Feb10 Jan29 Jan01 Nov27 Nov10 (litfin nevada)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00 6% 17.00    
8  IMMORAL Jan27 Jan13 Apr29 Apr02 Jan14 (puhich mike)BAZE C 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
9  THE FIVE B'S Feb03 Dec29 Dec01 Nov16 Oct21 (deville carl)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 15.00    
10  LAPIS LAZULI Jan22 Jan01 Nov04 Aug25 Aug03 (amoss m)BEJARANO R 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  EYES OF GLORY Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 Oct28 Oct09 (correas i)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 ★    
 
OP-7   02/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLORHIGHWATER Jan27 Dec11 Nov03 Sep25 Aug25 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.50 ★    
2  INTREPID HEART Jan21 Dec26 Nov12 Sep28 Aug13 (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
3  THUNDERSHOOK Jan20 Sep09 Aug20 Jul19 Jun05 (mcknight )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  FLATOUT WINNER Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 (litfin nevada)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00 5% 18.90    
5  THOUGHT Dec30 Nov10 Oct06 Aug27 Jul24 (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 124 12.00    
6  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Feb05 Jan08 Nov20 Sep25 Aug19 (hartman chris)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00 ★    
7  DISC JOCKEY Jan29 Dec17 Nov08 Oct14 Sep23 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00    
8  LORD DRAGON Jan20 Jan08 Nov06 Sep11 Aug18 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 124 12.00    
SCR  TAPAGE Jan25 Dec27 Dec03 Oct26 Aug06 (tracy greg)JORDAN R 118 20.00    
SCR  WHAT A COUNTRY Feb05 Nov16 Sep25 Jul17 Jun30 (shirer a)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
 
OP-8   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT RIGHT Dec17 May06 Apr29 Mar27 Mar13 (deville c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
2  SERIOUSLY SASSY Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 Sep25 May07 (singh s)SINGH R 121 12.00    
3  PATTERN BET Feb03 Dec09 Apr29 Apr09 Mar06 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  ONE WAY OR ANOTHER Dec17 Nov09 Jun24 Apr09 Mar18 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 1.60 26% 2.80    
5  MOCHA KISS Jan27 Dec17 Nov21 May06 Apr29 (stuart shea)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 30.00 ★    
6  BLOW SUM SMOKE Jan27 Dec11 Nov14 Sep02 Jul22 (garcia genaro)CABRERA DAVID 123 15.00 ★    
7  RUN FEARLESS Feb03 Jan22 Dec17 Sep02 May30 (fires wil)TORRES A 125 15.00    
8  OOCHIE Sep18 Apr29 Mar27 Feb21   (borel renay)BOREL H 121 10.00    
9  CHOCTAW CHARLIE Dec17 May06 Apr24 Apr07 Mar19 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
10  WAR MUSIC Jan27 Dec17 Nov26 Nov11 Oct08 (riecken bruc)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 20.00    
 
OP-9   02/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPOVERISHED Feb12 Jan21 Jan01     (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  FIVE O FOX Feb03 Dec18       (peitz c)WALES T 125 15.00    
3  STILL ON THE BOOKS Jan14 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct22 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
4  UPTOWN SOCIAL Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Jun26 (hornsby tammy)BOREL H 120 20.00    
5  EL MONGO Feb04 Jan20 Dec11 Sep25   (villafra)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
6  AUX ARCS May08 Apr16 Apr03 Mar25   (witt erni)TORRES A 120 4.00 ★    
7  JOE BILL Feb04 Jan06 Dec11 Dec01 Nov05 (smith p)FUENTES ERICK 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  HACKER Feb04 Jan13 Dec09 Jan22   (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
9  RIDGEPOINT ROAD Dec11 Nov19 Oct30     (diodoro roberti)ZIMMERMAN R 115 4.50    
10  KRUSIN ROCKET Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Feb13   (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
11  NATORADE         (quinonez natha)QUINONEZ S 115 30.00 ★    
12  KISSOFTHENILE Feb04 Dec16 Nov25 Nov12 Oct22 (villafranco m)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.