Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/1/7)-(3/2/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3/6)-(4/5/3/9/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2)-(1/3/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/5/3/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(4/5/3/9/2)-(5/4/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-4   WIN (4/5/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/9/2)-(4/5/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/9/2)-(4/5/3/9/2)-(4/5/3/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/3/9/2)-(5/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/9/2)-(5/4/2)-(2/10/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/10/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/10/3)-(6/3/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/3)-(2/10/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/10/3)-(2/10/3/7)-(2/10/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/10/3)-(6/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/3)-(6/3/8/5)-(8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/5)-(6/3/8/5/4)-(6/3/8/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/8/5)-(8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/5)-(8/1)-(2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/1)-(2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/8/7/4)-(2/1/8/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR FINALITY Jan10 Dec20       (leaney patricia)MAWING A 121 2.50 ★    
2  TOP HAT TIGRESS Jan03 Dec26 Dec09 Nov18 Sep03 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  UNA PALABRA Dec15         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  WE WANT ANOTHER Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Jul18 Jul10 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 15.00 8% 11.20    
5  LUTE'S DIAMOND Dec20 Nov29 Jul10 Jun25   (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 12.00    
SCR  FRIENDLY SHUFFLE Dec05 Nov07 Oct24     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
7  GEEJAYTEE         (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 121 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($22.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD ARCH Jan04 Dec16 Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 (silva jose )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 6.00 47% 1.10    
2  CIVIL SUIT Jan07 Sep30 Sep02 Jul31   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
3  BIG HEAT Aug20 Jul11 Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 3.50 15% 5.60    
4  HINDU MISS CHEF Dec20 Nov23 Sep10 Aug20 Jun25 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00    
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Jan12 Nov27 Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50 ★    
6  FIRST PROMISE Dec14 Nov21 Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 10% 8.60    
7  BOOZE RUNNER Dec21 Feb18 Jan28     (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY'S ANNIE Jan09 May03 Apr21     (sepich f)MAWING A 124 15.00    
2  GRANDIOSE SUMMER Jan11 Nov22 Sep01 Aug17 Jul10 (silva rodri)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  TED'S CANDY GIRL Jan11 Dec19 Nov28     (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  MIZHIPZLETUS Dec22 Nov29 Nov07 Sep03 Aug07 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jan11 Nov22 Nov09     (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
6  DADDY'SFAVORITESON Nov22 Nov09 Aug27 Jul01 Jun03 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
7  MAMALONA Dec03 Nov13       (soto anto)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
8  FACE OF GRACE Jan09 Nov22 Sep17 Aug13 Jul30 (scott larry )SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
9  LITTLE LILY LU Dec22 Apr21 Apr11     (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
TUP-5   01/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRE Jan12 Dec20 Oct28 Oct14 Sep19 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
2  OF GOOD REPORT Jan12 Dec26 Dec11 Nov24 Oct10 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 14% 5.90    
3  FRANKS FIX IT Jan05 Nov28 Nov05 Sep04 Aug07 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
4  MOVE OVER (GB) Dec20 Dec08 Nov21 Sep09 Aug07 (silva pab)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  MIKE OPERATOR Jan05 Nov23 Aug28 Aug05 Jul09 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  GIANT PAYDAY Jan09 Dec27 Dec01 Nov21 Nov08 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
7  POLITICAL RIOT Jan02 Dec21 Dec01 Oct04 Sep27 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 ★    
8  START A RUNNIN Jan05 Dec10 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00    
 
TUP-6   01/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jan05 Dec10 Nov21 Nov05 Oct01 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
2  CHEF Jan10 Dec10 Nov19 Sep17 Aug22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
3  KICK IT Jan12 Jan02 Dec15 Nov15 Oct11 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  HELLO HANDSOME Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 Aug27 Jul18 (breashear b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
5  TALKIN MALICE Jan05 Dec20 Apr26 Apr18 Mar24 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
6  MANCUSO AT THE MIC Jan04 Dec01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
7  ITS BIG Dec10 Nov21 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 ★    
8  HAVEULOSTYOURMIND Jan05 Dec10 Nov21 Sep12 Aug15 (krasner cind)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00    
9  STRAUS'S PLACE Jan14 Jan03 Dec10 Oct29 Oct10 (salas elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
10  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jan02 Dec20 Nov26 Nov04 Sep03 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TELLER Jan17 Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-7   01/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKY LEE Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 Jul17 Jul03 (martinez a)MAWING A 124 10.00    
2  DR. TROUTMAN Dec22 Nov28 Nov07 Oct14 Sep16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
3  FIRE WHEN READY Jan09 Dec14 Nov26 Nov07 Sep03 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 22% 3.40    
4  SILVER DASH Dec20 Nov16 Sep15 Aug28 Aug17 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 ★    
5  HI HO CHEERIO Jan09 Dec13 Nov07 Sep17 Sep03 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
6  STAY HAPPY Jan09 Dec13 Nov23 Aug28 Jul03 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
7  FASCINATED Dec15 Oct02 May30 Apr24 Feb18 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
8  UNLEASH THE BEAST Dec13 Nov26 Nov07 Aug21 Jun23 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
 
TUP-8   01/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN TO REIGN Jan09 Dec17 Nov07 Sep12 Jul23 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  APPRECIABLE Jan14 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
3  MISS RENO Feb18         (bratcher ryan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
4  MISSCZECH Jan09 Dec17 Nov21 Oct09 Aug16 (eidschun )VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
5  CRIMINAL RECORD Jan03 Dec17 Nov19 Aug18 Jul17 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.50 ★    
6  DISCERNMENT Dec27 Nov30 Nov07 Sep12 Sep03 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 ★    
7  UNSINKABLE MOLLY B Sep18 Aug27 Aug14 Jul16 Jun19 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
8  RED NOON RISING Jan04 Dec15 Nov26 Nov07 Aug27 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Nov30 Sep03 Aug08 Jul09 May07 (whitehouse w)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 10.00    
 
TUP-9   01/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTREME V. I. P. Jan02 Dec20 Sep14 Jul31 Jul13 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 7% 14.10    
2  MAJOR ATTRACTION Dec27 Dec01 Nov08 Sep17 Aug31 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  HEIR (FR) Dec01 Mar28 Mar07 Jan28 Jan12 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
4  BRIX Dec20 Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 Sep11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
5  NORTHCUT Dec27 Dec01 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00    
6  NO SLO MO Jan07 Dec15 Oct26 Oct09 Sep03 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
7  CITY AT NIGHT Apr04 Feb27 Jan30 Jan17   (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 4.50 ★    
8  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Dec27 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 Sep13 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 18.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.