Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNA'S COURT Oct29 Aug29 Aug08 Jul16 Jul02 (singh s)SINGH R 121 12.00    
PERFECT PERIGEE Sep26 Aug29 Aug02 Jul02 Jun11 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Oct12 Aug18 Jul14 Jun25 May28 (ney john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
WICKED ALEX Sep05 Aug20 Jun21 May31 May10 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
THUNK Nov03 Sep05 Jun08 Apr29 Apr06 (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
CRUSADER EXPRESS Nov16 Apr16 Mar16 Mar03 Feb20 (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 121 6.00    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Nov24 Sep05 Aug04 Jul01 May01 (modica oscar)PARKER L 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
CHARLI MICHAEL Nov04 Oct07 Jul29 Jun05 May15 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00    
 
FG-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY PRINCE Aug18         (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 6.00    
GIANNIS Aug28         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
WINNING DANCE Nov19         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
MIDNIGHT DREAMING Nov11 Sep22 Jul30 Jun26 Jun08 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50    
SCR  CROSSING IRIS         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 10% 8.70    
JARED THE WARRIOR Sep24         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
FG-3   12/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Oct16 Sep25 Jan01     (rodrigue)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 10.00    
POPULIST Nov18 Sep10 Aug17 Jun21 Jun06 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Nov21 Sep29 Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50    
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY Aug19 Jul15 Jun08 May15 Mar06 (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
HUG THE MUNNY Nov18 Sep17 Aug28 Aug16 Jun21 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
OPTIMAL COURAGE Nov19 Nov02 Oct14 Aug31 Aug17 (silva miguel)PARKER L 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
POMEROY HAZE Nov02 Oct21 Oct05 Sep23 Aug19 (gustafson au)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 15% 5.60    
 
FG-4   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIZZLECITY Sep10 Aug08 Jun26 May31 May14 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 17% 5.00    
MARINA'S GOLD Oct24 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
CANDY'S PARADE Jul21 Jun09 May18 Mar27 Mar06 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
MORE ROMANCE Oct22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug03 Jul14 (scherer ga)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
TWELVE STARS Nov12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep04 Jan24 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 33% 2.00    
JIBE Sep12 Aug26 Jul31 Jul22 Jul09 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 4.00 10% 9.10    
XCARET Nov12 Sep26 Aug08 Jun20 May29 (guillory j)PARKER L 118 4.50    
 
FG-5   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHOZY TAP Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 Jul09 Jun25 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 52% 0.90    
KEEP LEFT Nov12 Oct15 Oct01     (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50    
CORONA DEL MAR Oct22 Sep26 Aug29 Aug15 Jul09 (br)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00    
ROLL GYPSY ROLL Sep09 Aug07 Jun24     (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00    
STOP THE MADNESS Aug29 Jul30       (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
SWEET SLEW Nov11 Sep23       (hartman chris)LANERIE J 120 4.00 9% 10.60    
MY LADY LUNA Sep18         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 8% 12.10    
CHAMPLEVE Oct29 Sep26       (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 9% 10.70    
 
FG-6   12/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($51K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLO CREEDO Sep27 Sep13       (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
RELEASE MCCRAKEN Nov17 Oct21 Sep17 Aug06   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
DISTORTED PRO Nov03 Oct02       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 2.50 16% 5.20    
GALLANT BUCK Oct08 Aug27 Aug03     (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
SCR  RUNTODAY Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Jul31 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
TODDCHERO Nov12 Oct28 Sep25 Sep08 Jul09 (gelner jay)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 3.50 11% 8.40    
TOP NOTE Nov17 Oct20 Sep26 Jul30   (claire alexis)LANERIE J 117 10.00    
 
FG-7   12/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU CHROME Oct15 Sep10       (leonard ki)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
Z Z'S PRINCE Oct07         (zeringue )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
MORE THAN FIVE Oct23         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
DUAL MONARCHY         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 10.00    
ICE TIME         (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
GORDY'S LABEL Oct30         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
TAPIT SHOES Oct30         (cox h)LANERIE J 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
NATURAL RED Nov18 Oct14       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
GEM COLLECTION Nov24 Oct29       (do)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
10  BLANTON Nov06         (ortiz a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
SCR  FIGHT'N READY Oct30         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
 
FG-8   12/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONAMARGARITADAY Nov04 Oct12 Jul29 Jun20 May28 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 8.00 24% 3.20    
NEW BOSS Oct29 Jul13       (calhoun william)COHEN DAVID 118 10.00    
PERFECT HAPPINESS Nov10 May29 Apr30 Mar20 Jan22 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
PORTILLA Nov06 Sep23 Aug07 Jun26   (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 9% 10.80    
OEUVRE Oct22 Oct02 Sep13 Jul27 Jun24 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MINUTE WALTZ Nov10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep05 Jun26 (bauer philip )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
TOUCH OF CLASS (GER) Oct22 Sep13 Aug07 Jul13   (flint s)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
CASHABLE Oct16 Aug15 Jul13 Jun23 May12 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
ELLE'S TOWN Oct19 Aug21 Jul17 Jun19 Jun10 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  ULIKEAPPLES Oct07 Sep17 Aug13 Jun17 Jun03 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 116 15.00    
 
FG-9   12/03/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISHPACHAH Oct26 Mar26 Mar10 Feb03 Jan13 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
IRON BANNER Nov04 Oct05 Jul29 Jun11 May26 (brinkman brett)PARKER L 118 12.00    
SHELLI'S ANGEL Nov18 Mar18 Feb26 Feb13 Jan28 (ladner cha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
SERAPE Nov25 Nov04 Aug25 Jun04 Mar26 (brinkman )HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
LADY CHURCHILL Nov19 Jul29 Jul14 Jun10 May14 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
MEDLEY Nov18 Feb05 Jan13     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
OURS AND THEIRS Aug25 Jul17 Jun05 Mar25 Mar12 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISS KENNEDY Nov18 Oct13 Aug01 Jun21 May30 (duke steven)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00    
VALE MALE Oct13 Sep13 Jul17 Jun19 May15 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 12.00    
10  MY FRIEND MR. JIM Sep19 Aug30 Jun21 May30 May01 (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.