Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/13/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EDITOR'S CHOICE Sep30 Jul31 Jul15 Jun18   (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 119 20.00    
SCR  BRAD'S BET Jun18         (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
2  UNCLE MARTY Sep29 Sep05 Aug04     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★    
3  BOURBON CHASE Oct09         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Oct16         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
5  OCTOBER BLISS         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 ★    
6  NEURAL NETWORK         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
7  WANNA WINNA Sep29         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00    
 
AQU-2   11/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALLARAND Oct13 Jul15       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
2  MY FIRST LOVE Nov01 Oct10 Sep05 Aug07 Jul22 (farro patric)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 ★    
3  TACTICAL RANGE Oct13 Aug04 Jun23 May14 Apr02 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00 10% 9.20    
4  STORMI CAT LADY Oct13 Aug04 Jun17 May13 Apr22 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00    
5  TRADE SECRET Oct20 Sep10 Jul31     (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  VOICE OF SPRING Oct13 Aug04 Jul29 Jul02 May21 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
7  FUNWHILEITLASTED Oct13 Sep23 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  PONCHO SONG Sep15 Aug11 Jun25 Jun03 Apr30 (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
 
AQU-3   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT VIXEN Oct15 Feb06 Jan01     (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 ★    
2  FIGHT ON LUCY Sep22 Jul09 Jun10 May07 Apr09 (kel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
3  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Jul03 Jun12 Apr07 Mar19 Feb06 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 ★    
4  DESERT DALLIANCE Oct12 Mar13 Jan30     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00 5% 18.90    
5  TO A T Oct20 Sep22 Aug21 Aug07 Jul09 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
6  SPEAKS FOR ITSELF Apr14         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.60 61% 0.60    
7  MUSICAL ROMANCE (GB) Sep30         (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 120 15.00    
8  CHASING CARA Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jul09 May19 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
 
AQU-4   11/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Nov05 Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 Jun17 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
2  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Oct29 Oct02 Mar18 Feb20   (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 ★    
3  MAJOR SPIN Oct22 Sep15 Aug10 Jul08 May30 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50    
SCR  HANG TIGHT Oct16 Aug19 Jul25 Jul06 Feb06 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
5  MO REWARDS Oct21 Sep23 Aug17 Jul16   (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  SIR JOHN Oct07 Aug27 Aug06     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 ★    
7  TWO DOWN Oct30 Oct01 Aug13 Jul17 May28 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00    
8  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Oct08 Aug19 Apr09 Mar05 Jan13 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-5   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM SHOOTER Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 May27 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 ★    
2  TACO BEAN Oct16 Sep18 Jul24 Jun05 Apr24 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
3  TRA LAD Oct11 Sep16       (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  ON THE HILL Aug27 Jul29 Jul03 May19 Apr02 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
5  BASIS RISK Oct22 Aug31 Apr30     (coffey marial)OLVER MADISON 108 10.00    
SCR  DISCO DEANO Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Aug08 Jul17 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  CUMBERLAND BLUES Oct07 Aug31       (falcone r)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
8  BOLD JOURNEY Oct01 Aug27 Jul31 Apr01 Mar05 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-6   11/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAIL TO Oct15 Sep02 Aug05 Jul10 May20 (albertrani tho)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
2  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Oct15 Sep06 Jul22 Jun16   (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
3  SALIMAH (IRE) Sep30 Aug27 Jan22     (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 5% 18.60    
4  CANDY LIGHT Oct13 Sep06 Jul14 May20 Mar19 (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  EMINENT VICTOR Oct15 Aug20 Jul22 Jun25   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  SHE'S A MIA Oct20 Oct08 Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
7  MYRISKYAFFAIR Oct23 Sep25 Jul14 Jun09 May19 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
8  VERONICA GREENE Sep18 Jul23 Jun09 Apr15   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
9  TASWEYA Oct20 Aug06 Jul02 Jun06 Feb22 (pino mich)VARGAS A 118 30.00    
10  PARNAC (FR) Oct29 Sep30 Aug27 Jul08   (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  TIZZY IN THE SKY Oct28 Sep23 Aug25 Jul01   (camejo m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 0.80 30% 2.40    
SCR  MISSY GREER Oct02 Aug25 Jul30 May20 Mar23 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
 
AQU-7   11/13/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDTOWN ROSE Oct24 Sep06 Aug20 Aug01 Jul13 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
2  MOMMASGOTTARUN Oct06 Aug17 Jul17 Jun11 May12 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
3  ROSSA VELOCE Oct15 Sep01 Jul15 May27 Apr22 (atras rob)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  BABA Oct20 Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00 ★    
5  RUVIES IN TIME Sep25 Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 Mar18 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
6  JANE GREY Oct02 Sep05 Jul23 Jun10   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
7  FIRING CAROL Oct20 Sep22 Aug21 Jan20   (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 122 20.00    
8  BEGUINE Oct07 May20 Apr02 Mar05 Jan23 (allard edward)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   11/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIFTING SANDS (GB) Sep10 Aug06 Jul03 May05   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
2  SHADOW SPHINX Oct27 Sep14 Sep01 Aug13 Jul24 (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00    
3  BIG EVEREST (GB) Sep29 Aug04 Jul09 Jun02   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
SCR  WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST Oct03 Sep07 Jul15 Jun18 May22 (albertrani tho)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
5  HOMER SCREEN (BRZ) Sep17 Jul31 Jun19 May29   (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Sep29 Sep05 Aug06 Feb04   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
7  PAO ALTO (FR) Oct09 Sep10       (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
8  DECORATED INVADER Oct23 Sep24       (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 Jul09 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  DYNADRIVE Oct09 Sep05 Aug06 Jul01 Mar11 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
11  AIRMAN Sep23 Jul30 Mar12     (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 30.00    
SCR  DOUBLE CROWN Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 (cash l)ACOSTA D 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  PLOT THE DOTS Nov04 Oct13 Sep24 Sep10 Aug26 (cash l)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
 
AQU-9   11/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINFUL DANCER Oct14 Oct07 Aug31 Jul28 Jul03 (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 124 4.00 55% 0.80    
2  MAKART Oct14 Aug05 Jul22 Jun18 May15 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  HERONEANDONLY Oct07 Sep13 Aug26 Jul30   (goo)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 10.00    
4  KIMBO DANCER Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Jul30 Jul09 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
5  RED JET Jun17 Jun02 May21 Apr29 Apr16 (younghans wil)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
6  DANCING WITH RICO Oct26 May16 Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
7  CALLALOO         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00    
8  ESCAPE MISSION         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 ★    
9  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Sep13 Aug30 May28 Apr06   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
10  CHIEF ENGINEER Oct22 Sep11 Jul30 Jul08 Jun26 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 122 12.00    
11  EIGHT AND SAND Oct07 Sep17 Aug10     (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
12  MAYTHISBETHEONE Apr22 Mar19       (hennig ma)VARGAS A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.