Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(9/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(9/7/3/4)-(1/3/2/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-2   WIN (9/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/4)-(9/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/4)-(9/7/3/4)-(9/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/3/4)-(1/3/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/4)-(1/3/2/8/10)-(3/2/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-3   WIN (1/3/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8/10)-(1/3/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8/10)-(1/3/2/8/10)-(1/3/2/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8/10)-(3/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/8/10)-(3/2/6/7)-(6/5/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-4   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(6/5/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(6/5/8/1)-(7/6/13/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (6/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/1)-(7/6/13/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/1)-(7/6/13/1/8)-(9/4/2/6/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-6   WIN (7/6/13/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/13/1/8)-(7/6/13/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/13/1/8)-(7/6/13/1/8)-(7/6/13/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/13/1/8)-(9/4/2/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/6/13/1/8)-(9/4/2/6/5)-(5/1/8/7/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
CD-7   WIN (9/4/2/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/2/6/5)-(9/4/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/2/6/5)-(9/4/2/6/5)-(9/4/2/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/2/6/5)-(5/1/8/7/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2/6/5)-(5/1/8/7/3)-(8/6/9/4/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CD-8   WIN (5/1/8/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/7/3)-(5/1/8/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/7/3)-(5/1/8/7/3)-(5/1/8/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/8/7/3)-(8/6/9/4/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CD-9   WIN (8/6/9/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/4/7)-(8/6/9/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/4/7)-(8/6/9/4/7)-(8/6/9/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALK STREET Mar13 Feb22 Jan26 Oct11 Aug21 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUSTIQUE Mar09 Feb20 Jan25     (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
3  SHE'S NO ANGEL Mar21 Nov22 Aug02 May27 Mar23 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 124 1.60    
4  WHAT'S HER NUMBER Apr16 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Nov28 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  CRANK IT UP Mar06 Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 Aug25 (catalano )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 3.00    
6  WHISKEY BREW         (demeritt)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 22% 3.60    
 
CD-2   05/09/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN KEEN Apr30         (pomier chase)GEROUX FLORENT 116 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ISLAND QUEEN by SUPER SAVER)
2  SHAKE AND RATTLE         (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of JANE SAYS by TALE OF EKATI)
3  ALL HONORS         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 4.50 6% 14.70    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TABARIN by EL PRADO (IRE))
4  FISTFULOFMONEY         (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of L. A. MAGIC by TIZDEJAVU)
SCR  KID TWIST         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of NEVER GONE by GONE WEST)
6  TREVALLY (MEX)         (casse mar)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by SPECTACULAR PRINCE out of THREATENING LADY by WHAT A THREAT)
7  CHALKY WHITE         (green j)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RACE by ASTERN)
8  LONGSTRIDER         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  HAPPY PRINCE         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HAPPY MOTORING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
CD-3   05/09/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  E LION Mar19         (wilson shane)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  INITIALIZE Mar21 Feb21 Nov29 Oct24   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  CASTLE RUN Nov16 Sep28       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SEASONED WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
4  ZAPPING STRIKE Apr23 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 Sep23 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STRIKING BEAUTY by CURLIN)
5  MILITARY CRUISER May04         (vaccarezza ni)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VASILISA by SKIPSHOT)
6  INK LIES Aug29         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 5.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SUPERQUINN by STREET HERO)
7  BORROWED TIME Apr13 Feb15 Jan02 Nov24 Oct19 (david car)TORRES A 118 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SECRETARIAL QUEEN by SECRETARIAT)
8  LOVE THAT SYMPHONY Apr17 Mar28 Jan25 Oct12   (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LOVE CO by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  FIREBLADE         (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
  (by CARACARO out of FEMMEN'FORTUNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  OUTOFPI Apr26 Mar12 Feb23 Jan25 Dec28 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of PAHIATUA by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  CORTINA (IRE) Apr10         (riefenberg eri)ASHTON GAVIN 124 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEATRIX POTTER by CADEAUX GENEREUX)
SCR  EDIFICE Sep28         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MADISON SQUARE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ATOMIC SNOW         (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of FROSTED SNOW by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  FRANKIE'S BOY         (miller jero)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DONAMOUR by LANGFUHR)
 
CD-4   05/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDDLE SOLVER Apr12 Feb13 Aug18     (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00    
2  NEXT LEVEL Mar16 Mar01 Sep21 Aug24 Jul06 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
3  DJANGO Apr10 Mar02 Dec28 Nov10 Oct16 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  EL MAGNIFICO Apr13 Feb21 Jan04 Oct31 Apr06 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
5  ONE MOR STORY Apr30 Apr10       (hill f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
6  HONEST AL Apr12 Aug04 Jul20     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
7  BRAVE BLEND Mar21 Mar02 Feb01 Jan05 Nov30 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   05/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROOKED BULLET Mar13 Feb20 Feb07 Jan16 Oct30 (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY Nov24 Oct16 Sep12 Aug24   (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
3  CONQUERING CAT Apr12 Mar06 Feb01 Jun30 Jun06 (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
4  PURSE THIEF Mar14 Feb26 Jan31 Oct17 Aug29 (foster eric)MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
5  ACKNOWLEDGE Mar22 Jan19 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
6  REVERSE MERGER Feb20 Dec29 Sep11 Aug19   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SONIC SKIDADDLE Feb27 Jan04 Nov30 Nov01 Sep19 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
8  DEREK'S LAW Jan20 Nov01 Sep27     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   05/09/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURPHY GIRL Mar16 Feb16 Dec01 Oct27 Jul15 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 18.40    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CURLED by CURLIN)
2  TEXAS QUEEN         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
  (by SENECA JONES out of ELOQUENT QUEEN by RAJA BABA)
3  REYA SUNSHINE Mar06 Jan27       (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WEEKEND IN MALIBU by OLD FORESTER)
SCR  CANDY MINE Apr16 Aug25       (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TIZ RAE ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
5  GIRLS ROCK Apr11 Feb15       (beckman d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of THE GIRL FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
6  MAE TOWN Mar16 Feb15       (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  I'M MO JOKE Mar23 Mar03       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MY AUNT MO by UNCLE MO)
8  SANG Dec12 Oct25 Sep21 Aug31 Jul20 (begley greg)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CAPRI SONG by MORE THAN READY)
9  SALTY SENORITA         (russell brittany )SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TAKING AIM by TRAPPE SHOT)
10  GOOD GOING Mar22 Feb01       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  GREY MATTER         (baltas richard)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
SCR  SYCAMORE SHOALS Mar23 Feb27 Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
13  MOONLIGHT DASH         (bauer a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  FLIRTY GIRL         (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 118 12.00    
  (by WOLF POWER (SAF) out of SHEZA RUBY by RUBIANO)
 
CD-7   05/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRES SOLES Apr17 Mar04 Feb06 Jan12 Jul30 (atras rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
2  BERNIN HOT Jan24 Dec28 Dec01 Oct30 Oct04 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
3  LURE HIM IN Mar15 Jan11 Dec20 Nov22 Aug01 (wilensky sam)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00    
4  TRIDENT HIT Feb08 Jan24 Dec22 Nov07 Sep27 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  AMERICAN BLAZE Mar08 Jan16 Nov19 Oct12 Sep14 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) Jan25 Jan03 Aug24 Jul12 Jun21 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 15.00 8% 11.10    
7  GLEN AIRY Apr19 Mar08 Feb01 Jan04 Nov24 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
8  MASTER GAME Mar16 Feb15 Jul21 Jun19 May30 (sweezey kent)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
9  WARRIOR RICHARD Apr19 Mar04 Jan12 Dec20 Nov16 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
CD-8   05/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCILROY Mar22 Feb08       (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  NATIVE RUNNER Apr12 Mar18 Feb20 Jan20 Dec21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
3  BLUE COAST Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Dec28 Oct12 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 6% 14.50    
4  SOLID LEFT Apr12 Feb27 Jan26 Dec28   (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
5  TOMASELLO Apr08 Feb22 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  THERMOSCAT Mar16 Feb13 Jan20 Dec26 Nov22 (wilson shane)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
7  ENTERDADRAGON Mar29 Mar01 Feb01 Jan04 Nov29 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 10% 9.00    
8  EMERGENCE Mar01 Feb01       (cox brad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.50 11% 8.50    
9  MIKA Apr12 Sep08 Jul22 Jun14   (russell brit)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  LAZLO Jan20 Dec01 Oct10 Sep09 Sep01 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
11  DISCREET DANCER Mar29 Nov29 Oct20 Sep28 Aug29 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANDO Feb26 Jan31 Dec26 Nov30 Nov06 (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 118 15.00    
2  ANIMAL FRIES Feb22 Jan23 Dec20 Oct16 Aug05 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
3  TIZNTSHELOVELY Apr26 Mar04 Jan03 Dec16 Oct26 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
4  BOW TO CLARA Mar21 Feb20 Jan31 Jan10 Dec17 (ortiz ale)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Mar29 Feb28 Feb02 Jan18 Nov03 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 8.00    
6  CASILDA Apr16 Feb20 Jan25 Dec28 Nov30 (hess b)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  GO TOWN Apr11 Mar01 Dec26 Nov07 Oct11 (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DARK FURY Apr23 Feb23 Nov01 Sep20 Jul29 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 6.00 33% 2.10    
9  MAD ABOUT MARIE Apr06 Feb07 Jan19 Sep28 Sep05 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.