Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Zia Park
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-5   WIN (6/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $22.40 $14.40 180%
    EXA (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-5 $45.40 $33.40 278%
    TRI (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-5-2 $138.65 $126.65 1055%
    SFT (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 24 $0.10 $2.40  9-5-2-6 $90.11 $87.71 3655%
ZIA-7   EXA (2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-3 $26.30 $6.30 32%
    TRI (2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-3-1 $68.70 $38.70 129%
    SFT (2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-3-1-4 $101.94 $89.94 750%
Simulator Race results
 
ZIA-1   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:221 :45       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MONARCHOS DREAM 2 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 12% 7.20 3.20 W
4  LAUGH OF THE PARTY 4 5 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¼ (o)DE CRUZ 123 6.00 8.80  
7  KING BRYCE 7 3 61¾ 62¼   41¼ 32¼ (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00 3.00  
5  M G M'S LUCKY 5 1 3½ 31   31 42½ (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 10.00 27.70  
1  ARTFUL CRITIC 1 6 51¾ 51¾   61¾ 53 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 32.30  
6  ATTILA'S ACE 6 4 4¾ 41¼   51¼ 63½ (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
3  TEE BREAKER 3 7 72 72¾   72¾ 73¾ (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.60 56% 0.80 1.50  
 
ZIA-2   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:23 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DASHINGLY 2 3 1½ 1nk   12 16 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 0.60 31% 2.20 0.30 W
3  AWESOME WALKER 3 2 2½ 2nk   22 26 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 20% 4.00 7.20 P
5  BRING A SMILE 5 5 62½ 64¾   45½ 39¼ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 4.00 28% 2.50 2.30 S
6  CATRIANNA 6 6 31½ 42¾   55½ 49½ (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 15.00 51.00  
4  HOODWINKED KATE 4 4 52½ 32½   34½ 510½ (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00 29.10  
7  CON SEAL AND KERRY 7 1 42 53¼   66 612¼ (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 67.70  
1  CROSSFIRE COWGIRL 1 7 72¾ 76¾   710 722¾ (middleton g )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 82.60  
 
ZIA-3   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIKINILESS 2 4 1½ 1½   11½ 1¾ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 8.60  
6  CHARLIES HURRICANE 5 1 41½ 54½   43½ 2¾ (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60 P
8  HOLOTTALUTE 7 3 3½ 2½   21½ 31¼ (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 121 2.50 39% 1.60 2.00 S
5  HONKY TONK HONEY 4 7 74½ 65½   53½ 42 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 119 5.00 3.90  
4  MARK IT DOWN 3 5 2½ 33   63¾ 52¼ (barton )FUENTES T 121 3.00 26% 2.90 6.80  
7  HEY FRIEND 6 2 52 43½   33 62½ (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40  
1  OUR TIME TO SHINE 1 6 63½ 76½   75¾ 76 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 13.70  
SCR  RIGHT FOR YOU               (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:214 :441       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MARKED KISS 5 2 31½ 21   2nk 1nk (zamora chris)MEDELLIN A 120 1.60 33% 2.10 0.90 W
2  SIRRAH 2 4 42 31   31 2nk (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00 3.50  
1  NOT A REHEARSAL 1 3 11 11   1nk 3.2 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 22.80  
3  SHES ACTING SINGLE 3 5 63 53¾   54 41 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 120 4.00 24% 3.20 5.20  
4  MO MONEY MOLLY 4 1 21 41¼   41½ 52¼ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 6.00 23% 3.40 3.40  
8  SAPELLO SAMBA 6 6 53 64¼   66 64¼ (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 8.00 10.20  
SCR  ON THE TOE ROAD               (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
SCR  SOUPED UP WILDCAT               (b)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:231 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  IN SPITE OF IT 8 1 34 42½   31 1¼ (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 15.00 5% 19.00 10.20 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DEAREST ONE by MACHO UNO)
5  STUBBY 4 4 45 32   1½ 2¼ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.50 20% 4.10 2.10 P
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  BOW TO CLARA 2 5 12 11   41½ 32 (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
  (by INSTAGRAND out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)
6  ROGUE JUSTICE 5 3 56 65   53½ 45¼ (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50 49% 1.00 4.50  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUBTLETY by CHIMES BAND)
3  ANGEL FROM ABOVE 3 2 22 21   2½ 57½ (gonzales j)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 10.40  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOMEFIELDADVANTAGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  KLIMT'S GIRL 7 6 87½ 86½   76 612½ (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 120 20.00 55.20  
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
7  STRIKING NOTES 6 8 77 75½   86 712¾ (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 12.00 16.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STRIKING SCHOLAR by SMART STRIKE)
1  LUXURY RIDE 1 7 66½ 54½   65½ 812¾ (barton j)VALDEZ S 120 4.00 1.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOP VALUE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  NATIVE CHARMER               (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of INDIANA CHARMER by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
ZIA-6   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:213 :444       1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHARLOTTE'S SPIDER 4 6 52½ 52½   51½ 1nk (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00 7.90  
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of SHES A LOOKER R F by SILVER SEASON)
2  ON MY MARK 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2nk (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.00 9% 10.20 4.10 P
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
1  MO MONEY TIME 1 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 31 (hone bart)VALDEZ S 120 4.50 14% 5.90 12.10 S
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MY BIKINI FELL OFF by ELUSIVE JAZZ)
5  MARKSALOT 5 3 42 31   1nk 42 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 52% 0.90 1.50  
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
8  UNBRIDLED BEAUTY 8 5 31½ 41½   41 52¼ (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 2.60  
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of STARDUST LADY by WINDY SANDS)
3  MYSTERIOUS MOVES 3 9 810 87   89 68½ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00 34.60  
  (by DELHOMME out of MYSTERIOUS TIMES by PROUDEST ROMEO)
6  KROME'S KIDDO 6 7 76 76   77½ 711¾ (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
  (by K B'S KROME out of FANCY MOON by LATIGO SHORE)
9  PROCEEDTOTHEFRONT 9 4 63 63   65½ 819 (green greg)ROSENDO J 120 20.00 13.70  
  (by PROCEED out of WAMPUS by MALIBU MOON)
7  EMOTIONAL RUNAWAY 7 8 912½ 911   99½ 922 (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 50.80  
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of EMOTIONAL WARNING by WEATHER WARNING)
 
ZIA-7   12/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:214 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BLUE BLAZES WHO 10 2 21 32   21 1¾ (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 11% 7.80 2.50 W
3  LINE CALL 3 1 11 11½   11 2¾ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 10% 8.60 7.20 P
1  ROSE GIRL 1 6 31 21½   32 36 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 17% 4.80 4.20 S
4  I WIN LIKA GIRL 4 9 84¾ 76½   54 47 (gome)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00 11% 8.00 24.60  
2  RANEEM 2 8 74¾ 66   74¼ 57½ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 29% 2.40 1.30  
6  PEGGY B FAST 6 4 43 45   64¼ 69½ (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00 16.30  
9  RUN LIKE KATE 9 7 53½ 55½   44 710½ (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00 86.10  
7  ATHENA'S STORM 7 3 64½ 87   85¼ 812¼ (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00 93.80  
8  WHY FOR 8 5 95¼ 98   97¼ 914 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 12.00 31.50  
5  INDIAN EXCELLENCE 5 10 106¾ 1010   108¾ 1015½ (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00 16.20  
 
ZIA-8   12/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:232 :452 1:09     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  I DON'T GET IT 7 8 63¾ 42   21½ 1¼ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 2.80  
7  LEAVE THEM BEHIND 6 1 1½ 1nk   11½ 2¼ (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 16.00  
10  GRAZEN BOY 8 2 41½ 62¾   44 35¾ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 30.30 S
3  CHIVALROUS (BRZ) 3 4 2½ 3½   33 46¼ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 41% 1.40 0.50  
11  NO TROUBLE (IRE) 9 5 51¾ 52½   64½ 57¼ (marr jo)FUENTES T 119 12.00 5% 19.00 57.80  
6  ZE'BUL 5 9 910¼ 98¾   86 68½ (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00 8.10  
1  ICE AGAIN 1 7 74¾ 76¼   75½ 79¾ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 36.70  
2  DAUX 2 6 86¼ 87¼   96½ 810 (marr h)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 44.90  
4  SEXY DEXY 4 3 3½ 2nk   54 910½ (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 29% 2.50 19.90  
SCR  GREY STORM               (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
SCR  REAL GOOD MAGIC               (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hobbs Fall Classic Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  B BOLD CHARLIE 2 6 64½ 52¼ 62¼ 1nk 11¾ (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00 7% 14.00 2.60 W
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of B BOLD CINDY by DESERT GOD)
8  SHORT ROUND BOUND 6 5 41 4¾ 4¾ 2nk 21¾ (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 15.00 7.10  
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of JUST KEEP MOVIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
5  HE'S A GENIUS 4 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 3.2 32 (barton )FUENTES T 116 6.00 1.30  
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
6  STAND UP GUY 5 4 3½ 2nk 2nk 4¾ 44¾ (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.10  
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
4  SAPELLO RIDDLER 3 1 1nk 3.2 3.2 54¾ 519½ (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 116 20.00 25.70  
  (by BERNSTER out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
2  LIME CHILTON 1 3 52 62¼ 52¼ 65¾ 622 (zamora chris)MEDELLIN A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
SCR  HOLY HANK               (buechler j)HEBERT J 120 0.50 65% 0.50    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of CITY VEIL by GOTHAM CITY)
SCR  HOLY REBEL               (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 10.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of SIDEWINDER SALLY by MR. GOLD MOVER)
 
ZIA-10   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:222 :46       1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADEN'S GIRL 1 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 12 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 3.00 50% 1.00 2.80 W
5  FLY BECKY 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 22 (m)DE CRUZ 120 30.00 57.30  
3  BONIFIED WILDCAT 3 4 41¾ 5¾   3½ 32½ (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 1.20  
2  ULOOKLIKEULOVEME 2 5 31½ 3.2   41 43½ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00 12.30  
6  GO WATER 6 9 84¼ 72¼   63 56¼ (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00 6% 16.70 12.20  
7  POP'S PARTY 7 10 73¼ 4¼   52 68½ (green greg)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 27.40  
10  WEEKENDATBERNSTERS 9 11 116 105¾   86 715 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00 7% 13.70 7.40  
12  NETTLEINFRONT 11 7 94½ 94¾   107½ 816¼ (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 120 3.50 10.00  
9  LUCKY SHOT ANNIE 8 3 62¾ 83¾   96½ 918¼ (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 120 20.00 56.80  
11  TORMENTA G G 10 6 51¾ 61¼   74½ 1019¾ (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 120 15.00 7% 13.70 10.30  
4  LADY ESTRELLITA 4 8 105½ 1111¾   1117½ 1148 (cano dani)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 50.00 5% 19.00 75.90  
SCR  DO IT FOR DANNY               (pierce w)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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