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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Tuesday - December 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(2/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(8/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (8/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/6)-(5/3/4)-(6/5/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/5/9/2)-(5/1/2/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (6/5/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2)-(6/5/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/2)-(5/1/2/6/7)-(2/1/10/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-6   WIN (5/1/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/6/7)-(5/1/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/6/7)-(5/1/2/6/7)-(5/1/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (2/1/10/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3)-(2/1/10/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (3/4/2/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/10/11)-(3/4/2/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/10/11)-(3/4/2/10/11)-(3/4/2/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/10/11)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/10/11/6/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-9   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(1/10/11/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (1/10/11/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/11/6/4)-(1/10/11/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/11/6/4)-(1/10/11/6/4)-(1/10/11/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTFUL CRITIC Dec04 Nov19 Nov05 Mar15 Feb18 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MONARCHOS DREAM Dec10 Nov19 Oct09 Mar22 Nov14 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
3  TEE BREAKER Dec04 Oct09 Sep15 May11 Mar29 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  LAUGH OF THE PARTY Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 Oct06 Mar12 (o)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
5  M G M'S LUCKY Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep15 Aug24 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 10.00    
6  ATTILA'S ACE Dec04 Nov25 Nov05 Aug24 Jul19 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KING BRYCE Dec04 Nov25 Oct20 Oct05 Sep19 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Sep03 Jul29 Jan15 Jan01 Dec13 (middleton g )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DASHINGLY Nov26 Oct20 Aug30 Aug03 May27 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 0.60 31% 2.20    
3  AWESOME WALKER Dec04 Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 May18 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  HOODWINKED KATE Dec04 Nov11 Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
5  BRING A SMILE Jun09 May19 Jul09     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  CATRIANNA Dec19 Dec12 Nov14 Oct13 Sep02 (bolen bra)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 15.00    
7  CON SEAL AND KERRY Sep08 Apr27 Jan21 Dec17 Sep17 (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
 
ZIA-3   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($71.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR TIME TO SHINE Nov25 Oct18 Sep19 Apr14 Apr07 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
SCR  RIGHT FOR YOU Nov25 Oct18 Sep22 Sep08 Aug24 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 15.00    
3  BIKINILESS Nov25 Sep22 Aug24 Mar21 Jan25 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00    
4  MARK IT DOWN Nov25 Nov05 Oct18 Sep19 Sep07 (barton )FUENTES T 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  HONKY TONK HONEY Nov25 Nov05 Sep07 Mar29 Feb18 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 119 5.00    
6  CHARLIES HURRICANE Nov25 Apr14 Mar28 Feb22 Feb01 (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  HEY FRIEND Dec02 Feb02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct15 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOLOTTALUTE Nov25 Sep22 Jul27 Apr27 Apr14 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
ZIA-4   12/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A REHEARSAL Aug02 Jun15       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
2  SIRRAH Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 May26   (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
3  SHES ACTING SINGLE Nov25 Oct09 Sep25 Aug31 Jun15 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  MO MONEY MOLLY Dec03         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  MARKED KISS Nov25 Aug18 Aug02 Jun07   (zamora chris)MEDELLIN A 120 1.60 33% 2.10    
SCR  ON THE TOE ROAD Dec10         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
SCR  SOUPED UP WILDCAT Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug31 May11 (b)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
8  SAPELLO SAMBA Nov25 Nov12 Sep22     (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 8.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUXURY RIDE         (barton j)VALDEZ S 120 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of TOP VALUE by MINESHAFT)
2  BOW TO CLARA Nov26         (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)
3  ANGEL FROM ABOVE May10         (gonzales j)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOMEFIELDADVANTAGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  NATIVE CHARMER Jul27         (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of INDIANA CHARMER by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  STUBBY Nov26 Nov04 Oct02 Sep01 Aug17 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TREASURED UP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  ROGUE JUSTICE Nov26         (finc)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUBTLETY by CHIMES BAND)
7  STRIKING NOTES         (fincher w)ROSENDO J 120 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STRIKING SCHOLAR by SMART STRIKE)
8  KLIMT'S GIRL Nov26 Nov04       (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 120 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
9  IN SPITE OF IT Nov26 Jul14 Jun14     (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DEAREST ONE by MACHO UNO)
 
ZIA-6   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO MONEY TIME Dec03         (hone bart)VALDEZ S 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of MY BIKINI FELL OFF by ELUSIVE JAZZ)
2  ON MY MARK Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 3.00 9% 10.20    
  (by MARKING out of PLENTY OF JOY by DIABOLICAL)
3  MYSTERIOUS MOVES Dec10         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of MYSTERIOUS TIMES by PROUDEST ROMEO)
4  CHARLOTTE'S SPIDER         (barton da)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of SHES A LOOKER R F by SILVER SEASON)
5  MARKSALOT Nov25 Nov12 Sep22     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MARKING out of AMERICAN LADY by STARSPANGLEDBANNER)
6  KROME'S KIDDO         (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by K B'S KROME out of FANCY MOON by LATIGO SHORE)
7  EMOTIONAL RUNAWAY         (buechler sim)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of EMOTIONAL WARNING by WEATHER WARNING)
8  UNBRIDLED BEAUTY         (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of STARDUST LADY by WINDY SANDS)
9  PROCEEDTOTHEFRONT         (green greg)ROSENDO J 120 20.00    
  (by PROCEED out of WAMPUS by MALIBU MOON)
 
ZIA-7   12/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE GIRL Nov19 Oct20 Oct04 Sep13 Jun15 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  RANEEM Dec10 Nov19 Oct04 Sep08 Aug29 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  LINE CALL Nov12 Jan26 Dec19 Nov07 Sep14 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 10% 8.60    
4  I WIN LIKA GIRL Dec03 Nov12 Oct04 Sep18 Sep13 (gome)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
5  INDIAN EXCELLENCE Dec03 Nov12 Sep18 Apr04 Feb08 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
6  PEGGY B FAST Jul14 Jun15 May05 Apr04 Mar22 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 15.00    
7  ATHENA'S STORM May18 May05 Apr27 Feb22 Dec19 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
8  WHY FOR Oct11 Sep18 Aug24 Apr28 Mar07 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 12.00    
9  RUN LIKE KATE Nov12 Nov04 Oct18 Sep18 Aug16 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 30.00    
10  BLUE BLAZES WHO Oct04 Jul28 Apr04 Feb22 Feb08 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 11% 7.80    
 
ZIA-8   12/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE AGAIN Dec03 Nov26 Oct24 Sep28 Sep12 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
2  DAUX Mar21 Feb23 Jan05 Sep24   (marr h)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHIVALROUS (BRZ) Nov26 Nov04 Oct10     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  SEXY DEXY Dec02 Nov11 Sep26 Sep07 Aug25 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  REAL GOOD MAGIC Nov26 Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 Aug08 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
6  ZE'BUL Nov04 Oct16 Sep25 Aug24 Jul04 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00    
7  LEAVE THEM BEHIND Dec04 Nov19 Oct20 Sep26 Jul27 (armstrong)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 8.00    
8  I DON'T GET IT Oct06 Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 May27 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50    
SCR  GREY STORM Dec10 Nov04 Oct16 Sep27 Sep15 (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 121 20.00    
10  GRAZEN BOY Dec09 Nov18 Oct16 Sep20 Aug29 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  NO TROUBLE (IRE) Nov04 Aug24 Jun14 May10 Apr07 (marr jo)FUENTES T 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hobbs Fall Classic Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLY HANK Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug18 Aug02 (buechler j)HEBERT J 120 0.50 65% 0.50    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of CITY VEIL by GOTHAM CITY)
2  LIME CHILTON Nov11 Aug18 Aug02     (zamora chris)MEDELLIN A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
3  B BOLD CHARLIE Nov25 Oct23       (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of B BOLD CINDY by DESERT GOD)
4  SAPELLO RIDDLER Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Sep22   (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 116 20.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
5  HE'S A GENIUS Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24   (barton )FUENTES T 116 6.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
6  STAND UP GUY Nov25 Nov11 Oct13 Sep22 Sep06 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
SCR  HOLY REBEL Nov25 Oct13 Sep22 Aug02 Jun07 (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 10.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of SIDEWINDER SALLY by MR. GOLD MOVER)
8  SHORT ROUND BOUND Dec02 Nov11 Oct23 Sep06   (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 116 15.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of JUST KEEP MOVIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
ZIA-10   12/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADEN'S GIRL Dec02         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  ULOOKLIKEULOVEME Dec02         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
3  BONIFIED WILDCAT Nov12 Sep25 Aug31 Jun15   (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
4  LADY ESTRELLITA         (cano dani)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLY BECKY Nov04 Sep22 Sep05 Aug24   (m)DE CRUZ 120 30.00    
6  GO WATER Dec02 Nov12       (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00 6% 16.70    
7  POP'S PARTY Nov12 Sep05 Aug02     (green greg)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
SCR  DO IT FOR DANNY Dec02 Oct19 Sep25 Jul20   (pierce w)CARRENO J 120 30.00    
9  LUCKY SHOT ANNIE Oct19 Sep05 Aug02 Jun07   (gonzalez r)HEBERT J 120 20.00    
10  WEEKENDATBERNSTERS         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 10.00 7% 13.70    
11  TORMENTA G G         (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 120 15.00 7% 13.70    
12  NETTLEINFRONT Nov12         (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.