Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Zia Park
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $15.80 $9.80 163%
ZIA-4   TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-3-1 $13.45 $10.45 348%
ZIA-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $8.40 $4.40 110%
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3/5-4/5-1 $11.20 $2.20 24%

Simulator Race results

 
ZIA-1   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:232 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A GIRL 2 1 1½ 11   1 1 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 22% 3.60 6.90 W
GONE KAT 3 5 54 5   2 2 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 4.50 2.80  
FIFTY STARS 4 3 3½ 4   43 3 (hudson jeff)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
MAMITA 1 4 42 21   32 4 (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.50  
GABRIELLA WHO 5 2 2½ 32   5 515½ (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 2.00  
SCR  HEMATITE               (trujillo j)TORRES J 121 20.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:23 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYTHEMARKER 5 2 3 31   11 1 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.80 1.50  
TEE BREAKER 6 5 42 4   21 2 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.50 36% 1.80 1.20 P
M G M'S LUCKY 4 4 5 5   5 3 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 20.60  
LAUGH OF THE PARTY 1 1 1nk 1nk   31 4 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
MR RIGGER 3 3 2nk 2nk   42 58 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.50 28% 2.50 4.30  
OUR ISLAND GIRL 2 6 6 6   6 617¼ (gonzalez jo)CASTRO M 118 15.00 31.30  
 
ZIA-3   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:231 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BART SIP SOME 3 2 1nk 11   12 1 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 1.00 54% 0.90 0.40 W
STOREY'S FURY 1 4 4 4   3 2 (gomez steve)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 46.90  
ABETEMARCO 2 5 55 53   22 3 (trujillo )MEDINA ANGEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20 S
SIR RUCKUS 4 3 2nk 21   4 4 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00 23% 3.30 4.70  
KAE GAE 5 1 3½ 32   56 510¼ (long vaughn)JUAREZ J 119 4.00 2.50  
SCR  MIDNIGHT SPLIT               (oron)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:24 :47 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIERRA BLANCA 4 4 21 22   22 12 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 6.00 8% 11.50 0.80 W
SHEZA HAILSTORM 3 1 11 12   12 22 (chavez larr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 65% 0.50 3.20 P
ZAPPIN 1 5 3 4   4 3 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80 S
THE MUSIC WE MAKE 6 2 42 33   3 4 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 15.00 7.20  
CHASENUINMYDREAMS 2 6 52 56   57 510½ (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 119 2.50 3.20  
LUCKY AND DARING 5 3 64 6   69 616 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 56.20  
SCR  RAEGAN'S STORM               (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 1.20    
 
ZIA-5   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:24 :471 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALL STREET LOGIC 1 3 11 11   1 1 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 2.50 66% 0.50 3.20 W
KING BRYCE 7 4 52 31   2 2 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00 3.30  
DISCOVERY N SIGHT 2 6 3 4   3 36 (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 3.50 S
AARON WHO 5 1 21 21   43 47 (o)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
ATTILA'S ACE 6 7 73 5   55 5 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.50    
ARTFUL CRITIC 4 5 6 7   66 612 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 6.00 7.00  
I'M A DREAMER TOO 3 2 4 6   7 712¾ (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00 1.70  
 
ZIA-6   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:242 :47 :584     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVE THEM BEHIND 6 1 1½ 1   13 1 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 2.60  
Z MARKS THE SPOT 1 3 4 32   3 2 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 14.60 P
JED 4 2 2½ 2   23 3 (marr h)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 0.80 54% 0.90 0.70 S
VALENTINO WHO 5 5 52 5   45 412½ (gonzalez jo)CASTRO M 121 12.00 16.20  
SPEED BUMP BOB 2 4 3 4   55 514 (vega a)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 20% 4.00 3.10  
DANJERUS STORM 3 6 612 6   69 619½ (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 30.00 92.10  
 
ZIA-7   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:241 :47 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST ANABELLE 4 3 2½ 1½   2nk 1¾ (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 119 6.00 2.60  
AWESOME WALKER 5 4 31 2½   1nk 2¾ (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.80 58% 0.70 1.40 P
ROLL ON CHARITY 6 1 1½ 31   3 3 (pierce w)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 13% 6.70 10.40 S
NOT TO FANCY 7 2 41 43   4 4 (danley i)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00 6.90  
HOODWINKED KATE 1 7 6 64   5 5 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 6% 15.90 2.60  
MYSTIC GOLD 3 5 52 5   6 68 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 15.00 19.70  
WAY RITE 2 6 77 77   7 7 (o)DE CRUZ 123 10.00 34.70  
SCR  CROSSFIRE COWGIRL               (middleton)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:24 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTIER 4 1 2nk 2nk   11 13 (fincher todd )ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 4.00 2.50  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JOANNIE by SMART STRIKE)
REMEMBER BIG JIM 2 6 6 31   3 23 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 24% 3.10 2.10 P
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAYLA by SHARP HUMOR)
GOLDEN SERENADE 3 2 1nk 1nk   21 3 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 120 20.00 71.90  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GOLD SERENADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MY VINO 5 8 7 6   44 410¼ (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 8.00 24% 3.20 3.10  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
FINE MUSIC 7 3 31 7   6 511 (cross gar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLEOPATRA'S FINEST by SMART STRIKE)
ROAD TO ELDORADO 1 5 4 53   54 613 (cappellucci)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 3.90  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LESS TRAVELED by GOTTCHA GOLD)
COME ON MULITCH 8 4 5 42   7 713½ (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 15.00 24.10  
  (by ARMY MULE out of BIG ROSE by FRATELLO ED)
PONDEROSA 6 7 8 8   8 816½ (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00 23% 3.40 21.40  
  (by BLAME out of RELAXING GREEN by FORMAL GOLD)
SCR  I'M A DUDE TO               (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
 
ZIA-9   12/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 5:49
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK THE DATE 2 2 21 2½   1nk 1 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 1.80 45% 1.20 2.60 W
BURNINGDAYLIGHT 1 1 11 1½   2nk 2 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 13% 6.60 3.40 P
TAMMY MACHO 5 5 53 52   33 35 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00 28.10  
PARK IN THE DARK 7 6 65 6   44 4 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 123 5.00 5.70  
LENDA HAND 3 4 4 4   5 5 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 15.00 34.30  
FLAQUITA 4 3 3 31   6 6 (chadborn ken)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 9% 9.80 2.40  
QUEENS HALO 6 7 75 7   712¾ 723¾ (long vaug)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00 10.10  
AUNT BENNIE 8 8 835 830½   832¾ 843½ (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 7% 13.10 5.90  
SCR  HAZHONI               (sing)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 30.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:114 1:371   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROJECTION 8 2 21 2½ 21 11 14 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.40 32% 2.10 0.30 W
PINEY BLUFF 6 1 11 1½ 11 21 24 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 50.00 76.20  
COMING ABSTRACTION 7 7 53 5 3 3 3 (o)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 63.30  
IOWA HAWKEYE 3 4 7 76 8 4 412½ (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 41% 1.50 2.80  
DA RINGO 1 9 9 97 7 79 514 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
ZACH WHO 5 6 42 41 5 5 616¾ (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
ICE STORM 9 3 3 31 64 8 719 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00 30.90  
SMOKE STACK 4 8 64 62 4 68 820¾ (martinez ed)CASTRO M 121 20.00 5% 19.00 49.00  
PASS IT AROUND 2 5 86 8 96 912½ 929¾ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 16.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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