Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Wednesday - December 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/5)-(4/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/2/1)-(5/6/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (5/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8)-(5/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/7)-(2/1/4/9)-(3/8/5/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (2/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/9)-(2/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/9)-(2/1/4/9)-(2/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/9)-(3/8/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (3/8/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/1/4)-(3/8/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/1/4)-(3/8/5/1/4)-(3/8/5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMITA Nov05         (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  IT'S A GIRL Oct27 Mar01 Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 (green greg)ROSENDO J 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  GONE KAT Oct13 Sep26 Jun16 Mar07 Jan05 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 4.50    
4  FIFTY STARS Sep13 May11 Apr14 Sep17 Aug17 (hudson jeff)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEMATITE Sep26 Sep06 May12 Dec20 Dec11 (trujillo j)TORRES J 121 20.00    
6  GABRIELLA WHO Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 Jun16 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.00    
 
ZIA-2   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGH OF THE PARTY Nov12 Oct20 Oct06 Mar12 Jan29 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUR ISLAND GIRL Oct11 May12 Mar28 Mar15 Mar07 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 118 15.00    
3  MR RIGGER Nov19 Dec20 Dec11 Nov07 Jul23 (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  M G M'S LUCKY Nov12 Oct18 Sep15 Aug24 May12 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 8.00    
5  PLAYTHEMARKER Nov19 Nov05 Oct09 Sep19 Aug23 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.80    
6  TEE BREAKER Oct09 Sep15 May11 Mar29 Mar08 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 1.50 36% 1.80    
 
ZIA-3   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOREY'S FURY Nov19 Oct16 Sep26 Aug31 Mar01 (gomez steve)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
2  ABETEMARCO Nov12 Oct18 Sep26 Sep15 Sep07 (trujillo j)TORRES J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BART SIP SOME Nov12 Oct02 Sep13 Sep01 Aug08 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 1.00 54% 0.90    
4  SIR RUCKUS Nov19 Sep06       (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT SPLIT Nov11 Sep26 Aug31 Jun16 Jan01 (oron)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
6  KAE GAE Nov12 Oct18 Sep29 Sep06 Aug10 (long vaughn)FUENTES A 119 4.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAPPIN Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 Aug17 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHASENUINMYDREAMS Oct12 Mar21 Mar01 Dec20 Nov14 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 119 2.50    
3  SHEZA HAILSTORM Nov11 Oct20 Oct09 Jul28 Sep07 (chavez larr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 65% 0.50    
4  SIERRA BLANCA Sep26 Sep18 Jun16 Dec12 Nov21 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 6.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  RAEGAN'S STORM Nov11 Sep12 Aug02     (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 1.20    
6  LUCKY AND DARING Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 May12 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00    
7  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Sep28 Sep13 May18 Dec10 Nov25 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALL STREET LOGIC Nov19 Oct09 Jun08 May27 May11 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
2  DISCOVERY N SIGHT Nov05 Sep15 Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 (marr h)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 ★    
3  I'M A DREAMER TOO Nov05 Oct09 Sep07 Aug03 Jul19 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
4  ARTFUL CRITIC Nov19 Nov05 Mar15 Feb18 Feb02 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 6.00    
5  AARON WHO Nov19 Nov05 Oct05 Sep26 Aug16 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATTILA'S ACE Nov25 Nov05 Aug24 Jul19 Jun08 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.50 ★    
7  KING BRYCE Nov25 Oct20 Oct05 Sep19 Jun08 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.00    
 
ZIA-6   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z MARKS THE SPOT Nov19 Nov04 Oct12 Aug16 Nov20 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPEED BUMP BOB Nov05 Oct20 Aug16 Jul27 Apr28 (vega a)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
3  DANJERUS STORM Nov19 Oct05 Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 30.00    
4  JED Nov19 Feb18 Jan19 Dec04 Nov07 (marr h)FUENTES A 121 0.80 54% 0.90    
5  VALENTINO WHO Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 Oct07 Jul23 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 12.00    
6  LEAVE THEM BEHIND Nov19 Oct20 Sep26 Jul27 Jun09 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
 
ZIA-7   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOODWINKED KATE Nov11 Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00 6% 15.90    
2  WAY RITE Oct18 Sep26 Sep11 May18 May05 (o)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
3  MYSTIC GOLD Oct27 Oct12 Sep15 May04 Apr04 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
4  TRUST ANABELLE Nov25 Jul27 Apr07 Mar08 Feb09 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 119 6.00    
5  AWESOME WALKER Oct04 Sep08 Aug16 May18 May04 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
6  ROLL ON CHARITY Oct04 Sep08 May18 Apr27 Oct06 (pierce w)ROSENDO J 121 4.50 13% 6.70    
7  NOT TO FANCY Nov05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jun16 (danley i)MEDELLIN A 119 6.00    
SCR  CROSSFIRE COWGIRL Sep03 Jul29 Jan15 Jan01 Dec13 (middleton)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD TO ELDORADO Nov16 Oct24 Oct10 Sep12 Aug18 (cappellucci)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LESS TRAVELED by GOTTCHA GOLD)
2  REMEMBER BIG JIM Nov19 Oct20       (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAYLA by SHARP HUMOR)
3  GOLDEN SERENADE Nov19 Nov04       (hone bart)ROSENDO J 120 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GOLD SERENADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  SMARTIER Oct31 Sep28       (fincher w)HEBERT J 120 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JOANNIE by SMART STRIKE)
5  MY VINO Nov19 Oct12       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  PONDEROSA         (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BLAME out of RELAXING GREEN by FORMAL GOLD)
7  FINE MUSIC Nov19         (cross gar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLEOPATRA'S FINEST by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  I'M A DUDE TO Nov04 Sep28       (fincher todd)FUENTES A 120 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
9  COME ON MULITCH Nov04         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 120 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BIG ROSE by FRATELLO ED)
 
ZIA-9   12/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURNINGDAYLIGHT Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 May18 May11 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 3.00 13% 6.60    
2  MARK THE DATE Nov25 Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep12 (chavez arturo)VALDEZ S 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  LENDA HAND Sep27 May20       (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 123 15.00    
4  FLAQUITA Oct23 Sep28 Sep12 Feb09 Jan05 (chadborn ken)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  HAZHONI Oct13 Sep28 Sep01 Aug23 Jun08 (sing)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 30.00    
6  TAMMY MACHO Sep12 Jul28 May11 Mar21 Mar07 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00    
7  QUEENS HALO Nov15 Oct20 Oct04 Dec12 Nov06 (long vaug)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
8  PARK IN THE DARK Nov05 Sep12 Sep01 Jul28 May11 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 123 5.00    
9  AUNT BENNIE Sep28 Sep12 May11 Apr14 Mar14 (martinez dann)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 7% 13.10    
 
ZIA-10   12/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DA RINGO Nov12 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Jun29 (gonz)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PASS IT AROUND Sep25 Jun14 May04 Apr20 Apr04 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 5.00    
3  IOWA HAWKEYE Nov12 Oct05 Aug29 Jun28 Jun14 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 121 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  SMOKE STACK Nov12 Oct23 Aug10 Jun14 Mar22 (martinez edw)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZACH WHO Oct23 Oct06 Sep19 Sep07 Jun15 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PINEY BLUFF Nov26 Nov12 Sep15 Sep07 Jun09 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 121 50.00    
7  COMING ABSTRACTION Oct25 Oct06 Sep29 Sep18 Aug31 (o)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
8  PROJECTION Nov22 Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul03 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 1.40 32% 2.10    
9  ICE STORM Nov12 Oct13 Sep24 Aug26 Aug05 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.