Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-1   Win (4/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.60  
ARP-2   Win (1/4/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $11.20  
ARP-3   Win (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ARP-4   Win (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
ARP-5   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $20.60  

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-1   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCITATUS 6 6 4 1nk   1nk 1¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 7.80  
EURO TRACKING 3 4 6 4   31 2¼ (vicchrilli r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90 2.40 P
HAIL STATE 8 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 3.50 S
OUTRIGHT 5 8 8 7   5 4 (ramaekers eric)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 15% 5.80 34.30  
BLUE SKYE JADE 4 1 5 5   63 5 (williams de)IRONEYES R 119 4.50 24% 3.20 4.80  
CHUCK NAZTY 1 5 3½ 3.2   42 6 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.00 3.90  
WEBCAM 2 7 7 6   7 79 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 8.80  
HAPPY HOUR BOBBY 7 2 1nk 8   812½ 828½ (kenney ryan)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 7.80  
 
ARP-2   10/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :472 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAY'S RUBY LOVE 2 3 11 1½   13 1 (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 4.60  
MISS JOSIE 1 2 31 3   23 2 (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.60 P
MY DANCING BEAR 7 6 5 55   38 315¾ (loftin linda)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 12.00 6% 15.00 11.60 S
QUEENS HALO 5 5 6 6   49 416¾ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.00 8.60  
DESERT PEPPER 8 1 44 43   610 522¼ (marquez jose )BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 8.00 9.00  
GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE 6 4 21 2½   510 625¼ (ramaekers eric)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 3.00  
TAPIT CARA 3 7 811¾ 812½   715 728¼ (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 10.00 6% 15.00 12.70  
GREENLEIGH 4 8 711¼ 712½   820 843 (chavez l)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 119 12.00 6% 15.00 10.90  
SCR  CARO'S GLADIATOR               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 119 8.00 5% 17.60    
 
ARP-3   10/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOCHING 5 1 11 1½   12 1 (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 37% 1.70 0.70 W
BRING THE POSSE 4 2 32 4   4 2 (kemper kerr)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 39% 1.60 3.60 P
JANIS 1 4 4 3   22 3 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80 S
AZUSA STREET 3 3 21 2½   32 44 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 124 10.00 4.90  
DANGERELLA 2 5 5 5   510¼ 526½ (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 14.20  
SCR  MS BUMBLEBEE               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00    
SCR  TIZ A STRATEGY               (lemburg mark)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
 
ARP-4   10/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:124     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M A COOL CAT 1 1 1 14   13 1 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 59% 0.70 2.40 W
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 5 5 56 24   23 2 (lemburg mar)IRONEYES R 119 2.50 1.00  
MEET GEORGE JETSON 4 6 610 6   47 3 (rushton templ)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.50 25.00  
PRINCE OTTO 6 4 3 5   35 4 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 5% 18.30 7.50  
THREE FOR THREE 3 3 4 45   57 5 (parsons rile)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 3.50 8% 11.10 2.90  
UNCLE JUJU 2 2 2 34   68 613¾ (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  SCHLEICHER               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-5   10/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPS AWESOME 5 5 4 2nk   1nk 12 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 6.00 9.30  
HURTS SO GOOD 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 22 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 4.10  
BUGLER 3 6 5 6   4 3 (kenney ryan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 36% 1.70 1.80 S
GOLD MAGIC 6 1 2½ 3½   32 46 (kenney ryan)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 2.70  
BRAYBRAY 2 4 63 5   5 5 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 18% 4.70 4.80  
HIT THE SEAM 1 3 31 4   6 6 (ramaekers e)IRONEYES R 119 10.00 14% 6.20 5.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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