Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   10/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  INCITATUS 6 6 41½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 7.80  
3  EURO TRACKING 3 4 61¾ 42¼   31 2¼ (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90 2.40 P
8  HAIL STATE 8 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 31¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00 3.50 S
5  OUTRIGHT 5 8 84¾ 74¼   52½ 42¾ (ramaekers er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 15% 5.80 34.30  
4  BLUE SKYE JADE 4 1 51¾ 52¾   63 54¼ (williams )IRONEYES R 119 4.50 24% 3.20 4.80  
1  CHUCK NAZTY 1 5 3½ 3.2   42 67¼ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.00 3.90  
2  WEBCAM 2 7 73¼ 62¾   74½ 79 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 6.00 8.80  
7  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY 7 2 1nk 86¼   812½ 828½ (kenney ry)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 7.80  
 
ARP-2   10/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :472 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE 2 3 11 1½   13 17½ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 4.60  
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of CLAY'S DIALING IN by GIANT OAK)
1  MISS JOSIE 1 2 31 31½   23 27½ (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.60 P
  (by GORMLEY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  MY DANCING BEAR 7 6 54¼ 55   38 315¾ (loftin linda)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 12.00 6% 15.00 11.60 S
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MY SUGAR CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  QUEENS HALO 5 5 66¼ 66½   49 416¾ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 4.00 8.60  
  (by RACE DAY out of MY BETHANY by BERNSTEIN)
9  DESERT PEPPER 8 1 44 43   610 522¼ (marquez jos)BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 8.00 9.00  
  (by PUNCTUATE out of LADY RIESLING by DOME)
7  GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE 6 4 21 2½   510 625¼ (ramaekers eri)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 3.00  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GAMBLER'S DREAM by FLASHBACK)
4  TAPIT CARA 3 7 811¾ 812½   715 728¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 10.00 6% 15.00 12.70  
  (by APACHE PARK out of TAPIT LIGHTLY by TAPIT)
5  GREENLEIGH 4 8 711¼ 712½   820 843 (chavez)ARRIOLA-SERRANO JOSE 119 12.00 6% 15.00 10.90  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of FAPPOLINO by TREMPOLINO)
SCR  CARO'S GLADIATOR               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 119 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of CARO KITTY by TROPICAL STORM)
 
ARP-3   10/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SMOOCHING 5 1 11 1½   12 11¼ (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 37% 1.70 0.70 W
6  BRING THE POSSE 4 2 32 42½   42¼ 21¼ (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 116 2.50 39% 1.60 3.60 P
1  JANIS 1 4 42½ 32½   22 32½ (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.80 S
4  AZUSA STREET 3 3 21 2½   32 44 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 10.00 4.90  
3  DANGERELLA 2 5 52½ 57½   510¼ 526½ (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 14.20  
SCR  MS BUMBLEBEE               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00    
SCR  TIZ A STRATEGY               (lemburg ma)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
 
ARP-4   10/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:124     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A COOL CAT 1 1 11½ 14   13 13¼ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 5.00 59% 0.70 2.40 W
6  YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE 5 5 56 24   23 23¼ (lemburg m)IRONEYES R 119 2.50 1.00  
5  MEET GEORGE JETSON 4 6 610 69¼   47 33¾ (rushton tem)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.50 25.00  
7  PRINCE OTTO 6 4 32½ 55¼   35 44½ (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00 5% 18.30 7.50  
4  THREE FOR THREE 3 3 44½ 45   57 57¾ (parsons ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 3.50 8% 11.10 2.90  
2  UNCLE JUJU 2 2 21½ 34   68 613¾ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
SCR  SCHLEICHER               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-5   10/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  POPS AWESOME 5 5 41½ 2nk   1nk 12 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 6.00 9.30  
4  HURTS SO GOOD 4 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 22 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 4.10  
3  BUGLER 3 6 52½ 63¾   42¼ 34¼ (kenney ryan)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 36% 1.70 1.80 S
6  GOLD MAGIC 6 1 2½ 3½   32 46 (kenney rya)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 2.70  
2  BRAYBRAY 2 4 63 53½   53¼ 57½ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 18% 4.70 4.80  
1  HIT THE SEAM 1 3 31 41½   63¾ 69½ (ramaekers)IRONEYES R 119 10.00 14% 6.20 5.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.