Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-2   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.80  
ARP-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
ARP-4   Win (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
ARP-5   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $12.00 $12.00 6.00
ARP-6   Win (2/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $9.40  
ARP-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.40  
ARP-8   Win (5/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $25.40  
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SUBSIDIZE 4 1 32½ 35½ 21½ 13 111¾ (williams de)IRONEYES R 119 2.50 0.90  
6  BRICKBAT 5 5 59½ 511 55½ 36 211¾ (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 124 4.50 2.90  
2  GOLD CRUSHER 2 3 12½ 15 11½ 23 311¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 23% 3.30 8.00 S
3  SCOOTER'S BOY 3 4 47½ 410½ 45½ 48 422¾ (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
1  OREGON COUNTY 1 2 22½ 25 33½ 511 532½ (hibdon mark )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 2.70  
SCR  OUTRIGHT               (ramaekers eric)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
ARP-3   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLD MAGIC 2 2 1½ 11½   14 18¼ (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 17% 5.00 0.70 W
5  OUR BUBBY BOY 5 1 43 44½   54¾ 28¼ (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 8.00 14.60  
1  THREE FOR THREE 1 4 55 55½   34 39 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 4.60  
3  FERRARI RED 3 3 32 31½   44¼ 411½ (martinez a)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 2.00 45% 1.20 4.90  
4  SKY CLOUD 4 5 2½ 21½   24 512½ (tsosie terrill)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 10.00 13% 6.70 2.90  
 
ARP-4   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO 1 1 1½ 12   15 17 (jenkins reed)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 29% 2.50 1.60 W
7  ALL MY VICES 6 4 32½ 33   25 27 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 121 5.00 2.40  
6  LEAF OF WISDOM 5 6 68½ 68½   613 318½ (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 21.50 S
3  TIZ GIGI 3 5 55½ 46   412 419 (rushton stetso)GONZALEZ PEDRO 121 12.00 16% 5.20 3.40  
5  COLD SOUL 4 3 2½ 22   39 519¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50 2.60  
2  ILLUSIONED 2 2 44½ 58   512 620 (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00 35.80  
SCR  BENNIGAN               (kenney ryan)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
SCR  MACDOG               (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 121 10.00 16% 5.20    
 
ARP-5   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY D 1 3 32½ 22   2½ 1¾ (lavanway da)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 62% 0.60 5.00 W
4  JAZZ BRUNCH 4 2 11 12   1½ 2¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 13% 6.60 1.10 P
2  LIL MISS DE BUY 2 6 610½ 56   35½ 37¼ (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50 19.00  
3  LADY LANA 3 4 46½ 46   45½ 48¼ (tsosie terrill)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 1.60  
6  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 6 1 21 35   56 513¾ (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
5  GAME TO PLAY 5 5 56½ 67   611 620½ (ibanez albert)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 10.50  
SCR  CHIVE UP               (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
 
ARP-6   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DEVIL D' ORO 4 6 86¼ 44   11 13½ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00 3.70  
9  MISS JOSIE 8 2 32½ 32   31½ 23½ (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 14% 6.00 6.00 P
6  MISSIONARY MARY 5 1 21 21   21 33¾ (rust terri)IRONEYES R 119 4.00 2.50  
2  GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE 1 3 11 11   42½ 48 (ramaekers eric)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 40% 1.50 4.00  
4  BOLD BREAK 3 5 75¾ 78   57½ 510¼ (mckinney kyndr)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
7  CURLINMYMONEY 6 7 54½ 67   68 614½ (loftin linda)RAMOS B 122 12.00 10% 8.70 12.20  
8  QUEENS HALO 7 8 44½ 55   710 719¼ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00 4.30  
3  PRAIRIE COMET 2 4 64¾ 810½   815 829¾ (graber jessi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00 12.20  
SCR  MY DANCING BEAR               (loftin linda)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 15.00    
 
ARP-7   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOTTA PRADA 4 1 42 43½   1½ 11¾ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 1.70  
2  BRING THE POSSE 2 2 31 31½   42½ 21¾ (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 28% 2.60 1.70 P
4  JUST A SEC 3 3 11 11   2½ 32¾ (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 124 8.00 25% 3.10 6.50 S
1  IMA HAPPY DANCER 1 4 52½ 54½   31½ 43¾ (rushton stetso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 5.40  
6  IMA HOT TOTTIE 5 5 21 21   5100 5100 (rushton stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
SCR  MISS YOU NO MORE               (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 1.00    
 
ARP-8   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOMBI 4 6 74¼ 6½   42½ 11½ (rushton ste)IRONEYES R 116 4.50 11.70  
8  SYNNIN AND WINNIN 8 4 63¾ 5½   11 21½ (mitchell chris)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 10% 8.60 2.30 P
2  CAN DANZER 2 5 2nk 3.2   21 33¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 15% 5.60 3.00 S
5  I'M A COOL CAT 5 7 53¼ 71½   53½ 43½ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.00 51% 1.00 3.20  
6  RANDOM AFFAIR 6 2 43 2nk   31½ 56¾ (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 4.40  
3  PAYNTER'S BOY 3 9 88¼ 82½   76½ 66¾ (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 ★ 10.60  
7  PRECEDENT 7 1 32 4¼   65½ 711¼ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 13.10  
1  BRON AND THE BROW 1 3 1nk 1nk   88½ 813¾ (childs russell)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
9  WEALTH N HEALTH 9 8 911¼ 93½   910 914 (lavanway days)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00 ######  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.