Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(2/9/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/4)-(2/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/4)-(2/9/7/4)-(2/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/4)-(2/4/6)-(5/2/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-8   WIN (5/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/3/1)-(5/2/8/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   10/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREGON COUNTY Sep13 Sep07 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00    
2  GOLD CRUSHER Sep15 Sep01 Aug03 Jul27 Feb15 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  SCOOTER'S BOY Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUBSIDIZE Sep20 Sep02 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 (williams )IRONEYES R 119 2.50    
SCR  OUTRIGHT Sep21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 Jul27 (ramaekers er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  BRICKBAT Sep13 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
 
ARP-3   10/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE FOR THREE Sep20 Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50    
2  GOLD MAGIC Sep26 Aug22 Jul07 Jun16 May26 (kenney ryan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  FERRARI RED Sep22 Sep06 Aug10 Jul27 Apr17 (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  SKY CLOUD Sep22 Sep07 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
5  OUR BUBBY BOY Sep22 Sep27 Sep18 Sep06 Jul10 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 8.00    
 
ARP-4   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORO Sep22 Sep13 Jul24 Jul10 Jun23 (jenkins re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  ILLUSIONED Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 Jun22 Jun16 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 6.00    
3  TIZ GIGI         (rushton )BENN J 121 12.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  MACDOG         (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 121 10.00 16% 5.20    
5  COLD SOUL Sep15 Aug25 Aug08     (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50    
6  LEAF OF WISDOM Sep21 Apr27 May14 Apr30 Feb14 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALL MY VICES Sep13         (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 121 5.00    
SCR  BENNIGAN Sep19 Sep07 Aug08     (kenney ry)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
 
ARP-5   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY D Sep20 Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jun22 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 119 3.50 62% 0.60    
2  LIL MISS DE BUY Sep27 Sep07 Sep01 Aug17 Jun30 (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 4.50    
3  LADY LANA Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 Jun02 May18 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00    
4  JAZZ BRUNCH Sep20 Jun30 Jun22 Jun09 Jun02 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 13% 6.60    
5  GAME TO PLAY Sep22 Sep13 Aug31 Aug18 Aug05 (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00    
6  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Sep20 Sep07 Sep01 Aug18 Jul21 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHIVE UP Sep14 Aug30 Jun20 May25 Apr27 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
 
ARP-6   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY DANCING BEAR         (loftin linda)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MY SUGAR CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  GAMBLERS NIGHTMARE Sep21 Sep01       (ramaekers eri)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of GAMBLER'S DREAM by FLASHBACK)
3  PRAIRIE COMET Sep08 Jun09       (graber jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DANIELLES WARFISH by SPINELESSJELLYFISH)
4  BOLD BREAK Aug31 Aug24 Aug18 Jul06 Jun23 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of BREAKINTHECLOUDS by BROKEN VOW)
5  DEVIL D' ORO Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 May31 May10 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 6.00    
  (by GATO DEL ORO out of HEART OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  MISSIONARY MARY Aug03         (rust terr)IRONEYES R 119 4.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of VERCELLANA by COLONEL JOHN)
7  CURLINMYMONEY         (loftin linda)RAMOS B 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
  (by MASTERY out of ENAMORED by CURLIN)
8  QUEENS HALO Dec12 Nov06       (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MY BETHANY by BERNSTEIN)
9  MISS JOSIE Sep13         (dieter da)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of PROMPTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
ARP-7   10/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA HAPPY DANCER Sep21 Jul10 Jun19 Oct22 Oct01 (rushton stet)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00    
2  BRING THE POSSE Sep21 Sep09 Aug14 Jul29 Jul16 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MISS YOU NO MORE Sep20 Aug25 Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 1.00    
4  JUST A SEC Sep11 Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 8.00 25% 3.10    
5  LOTTA PRADA Sep27 Sep06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug14 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
6  IMA HOT TOTTIE Sep21 Jul17 Jun19 Oct28 Oct22 (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-8   10/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRON AND THE BROW Sep15 Sep08 Aug03 Aug26 Aug07 (childs russe)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAN DANZER Sep21 Sep06 Aug10 Aug03 Jul20 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
3  PAYNTER'S BOY Sep13 Sep01 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 ★    
4  TOMBI Sep21 Sep01 Aug04 Jun30 Jun13 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 4.50    
5  I'M A COOL CAT Sep08 Jul13 Jun22 May11 Apr21 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
6  RANDOM AFFAIR Sep13 Sep01 Aug24 May03 Apr13 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
7  PRECEDENT Sep22 Aug03 Jun30 Apr30 Apr15 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
8  SYNNIN AND WINNIN Sep21 Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Apr08 (mitchell chr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00 10% 8.60    
9  WEALTH N HEALTH Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 Aug10 Aug03 (lavanway da)VORRATH VALENTE 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.