Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $6.40 $2.40 60%
ARP-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.40 $1.40 35%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   09/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARKING LIGHTS 3 2 11 2nk   1½ 12¾ (williams )IRONEYES R 117 6.00 4.60  
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
4  BOTTLE CAPS 4 1 21 1nk   2½ 22¾ (williams dewey)RAMOS B 122 10.00 28% 2.60 3.30 P
  (by DADS CAPS out of AWESOME FOREVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  KING OF SWING 1 4 44 32   35½ 314 (parsons ri)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 35% 1.80 0.50 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHE'S GIFTED by FLATTER)
2  JBA DADDY'S ANCHOR 2 3 33½ 44   412½ 441¾ (alire r)GONZALEZ PEDRO 122 15.00 4.40  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of MAUI MOON by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
ARP-2   09/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:00     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NON TOXIC 2 3 1nk 12½   13 16 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 2.00 70% 0.40 2.20 W
3  ORO 3 2 2nk 22½   33½ 26 (jenkins an)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 1.00  
4  ALL MY VICES 4 1 3½ 32½   23 36 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00 9% 10.30 1.70 S
1  ILLUSIONED 1 4 46½ 48½   46½ 48¼ (ibanez albe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 20.00 11.80  
 
ARP-3   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD TO COME BY 1 4 42 41½   12 13 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00 1.70 W
2  BIG JACK 2 1 21½ 2½   22 23 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 2.30  
3  ATHENS MOON 3 3 32 3½   44 312 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 119 3.50 57% 0.70 1.70 S
4  UNCLE JUJU 4 2 11½ 1½   34 418¾ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00 3.60  
 
ARP-4   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLYING LADY 3 2 12 11½   2½ 1¼ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 3.50 48% 1.10 0.70 W
2  STAND BY TIME 2 1 22 21½   1½ 2¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 15.00 13% 6.40 2.80 P
1  FLATTER ME ZEN 1 3 42½ 32   32½ 33 (childs g)RAMOS B 124 20.00 6.50  
5  KONA KINLEY 4 4 32½ 45   47½ 410 (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 2.60  
SCR  CHACHA TO CATALINA               (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
 
ARP-5   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:114     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BRICKBAT 3 4 48½ 49½   41½ 1¾ (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 124 4.50 4.00  
2  OREGON COUNTY 2 3 34½ 35½   1½ 2¾ (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 25% 3.00 4.50 P
4  PRINCE OF LUCK 4 2 1½ 1½   2½ 33¾ (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 1.00  
5  BIG BIZ 5 1 2½ 2½   3½ 44 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 32% 2.20 2.70  
1  PAYNTER'S BOY 1 5 59½ 59½   52½ 54¼ (rushton t)IRONEYES R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.