Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-6 $5.47 $3.47 174%
EMD-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $9.90 $5.90 148%
    DD (1/6)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  1-6 $11.78 $7.78 195%
EMD-3   PK3 (1/6)-(4/6)-(1/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00  1/5-6-1 $7.13 $1.13 19%
EMD-4   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.48 $5.48 91%
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $27.67 $21.67 361%
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/2/3)-(2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-1-2 $26.25 $17.25 192%
    PK4 (1/6)-(4/6)-(1/2/3)-(2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1/3/5-6-1/4/6-2 $44.79 $26.79 149%
EMD-5   EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-4 $18.64 $12.64 211%
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-4-2 $31.04 $28.04 935%
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-3 $12.18 $3.18 35%
EMD-6   EXA (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $15.23 $3.23 27%
    TRI (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-8-7 $33.87 $21.87 182%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:10 1:224   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAID IN FULL 1 3 1 1 13 14 1 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 2.00 32% 2.10 0.74 W
HAPPY DOES 4 2 32 2 23 24 2 (mccanna tim)REYES R 122 3.50 5% 19.00 4.26 P
MOVE OVER (GB) 3 1 2 32 33 34 310 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 2.50 3.29  
ATOMIC CANDY 2 4 4 4 46 46 410 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00 4.14  
SCR  QUAGMIRE MAGIC               (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
SCR  WINTER FALCON               (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
 
EMD-2   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPUP 6 5 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 3.95 W
BANGIE GO 1 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00 2.10  
SHE SAID MY WAY 5 2 6 6   56 3 (salinas linda)REYES R 122 10.00 18.90  
DREWY 2 6 5 5   66 4 (birdwell tena)MONTALVO C 121 4.50 15.42  
ON PURPOSE 4 4 3.2 4   4 58 (markle dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60 67% 0.50 2.01  
SMOKEMONTHECLIFF 3 3 4¼ 33   3 6 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 2.00 3.46  
 
EMD-3   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D K'S CROWN 1 4 1nk 1nk   1 12 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 56% 0.80 0.52 W
KO SAMUI (IRE) 5 5 5 4   2 22 (gutierrez jose)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 5.45  
I'M NOBLE 2 3 2nk 2nk   33 3 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 10.00 15% 5.50 14.27 S
CAJUN TREASURE 3 1 4 5   46 4 (hernandez miguel)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 18.90 6.30  
SMOKEN SHADOW 4 2 3.2 3.2   5 515¾ (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50 4.66  
SCR  CANDIED LUTE               (madrigal elo)OROZCO E 125 1.60    
SCR  REGULATION DAZED               (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
 
EMD-4   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN OF FIRE 2 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 54% 0.90 4.74 W
ZAZEN 5 4 41 2nk   2½ 2 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.27 P
MS FLASHY HARBOR 1 5 52 4   3 3 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 12.00 4.89  
OREO'S DREAM 6 6 6 5   4 4 (wisdom anne)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00 14.94  
ZIPPIN SEVENZ 4 2 31 3.2   5 5 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 122 5.00 7.32  
FRISCO FRILLS 3 3 2½ 6   6 6 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 2.50 24% 3.10 0.89  
SCR  BOURBON TIGER               (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 3.00    
 
EMD-5   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington State Legislators Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:083     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALOHA BREEZE 3 1 1 14   15 1 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 45% 1.20 0.99 W
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
DAFFODIL SWEET 4 2 4 24   25 2 (allen marshall)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 21% 3.70 12.78 P
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of EASY ON MY HEART by LION HEART)
OUR LYLA GRACE 2 6 5 3   35 3 (cryderman candic)MAWING A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 11.69 S
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
JAMIES INHERITANCE 6 4 2 46   5 4 (essex charl)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 14.88  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
YOUNG LIFE LAURA 5 3 34 5   46 59 (silva-martinez ale)MATIAS J 121 4.50 5.52  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJO by LIBERTY GOLD)
TIZZY TWISTER 1 5 6 611½   610¼ 610½ (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 4.00 2.10  
  (by TIZ A MINISTER out of HURRICANE TIZ by TIZNOW)
SCR  BLAZINGBELLABLU               (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 2.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
 
EMD-6   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODSEND (GB) 2 6 1nk 1nk   11 11 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 3.00 34% 1.90 1.03 W
IT'S TURBO 8 5 6 4   31 21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.89 P
NINE ONE ONE 7 4 4¼ 2nk   21 3 (gilker robert)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 33% 2.00 6.51 S
LLOYDS LOGIC 1 1 3.2 3   4 4 (wenzel tom)MAWING A 122 12.00 7.13  
TABLE BAY 3 7 7 7   65 5 (martinez b)MATIAS J 125 4.50 9.74  
EVER A REBEL 4 2 5 5   5 66 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 11% 8.40 4.52  
A SKIP IN THE PARK 6 8 810¾ 8   7 78 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 10.00 30.97  
OWHATARUSH 5 3 2nk 6   812½ 817½ (wisdom anne)REYES R 125 8.00 21.08  
SCR  SON OF THUNDER               (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 8.00    
 
EMD-7   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor's Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:221 :441 1:083     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ 9 5 710½ 6   4 1 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 28% 2.60 0.91 W
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
ARMA D'ORO 8 6 3 3   1nk 1 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 6.00 0.92 DH
  (by VIOLENCE out of GOLD DUST LADY by CHAPEL ROYAL)
NEIMAN 2 8 21 21   2nk 3 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 25% 3.00 2.57 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZACITY by TIZWAY)
DESHAMBEAU 5 3 44 4   5 4 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 12.00 14.19  
  (by LEA out of ALIQUIPPA by NATIVE ALLIANCE)
MONGOLIAN MEMORY 7 2 6 710½   7 5 (tubbs scott)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 31.63  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of CALL INTERSEPTED by EAVESDROPPER)
MUNCEY 1 9 913½ 813½   8 610½ (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 15.00 42.86  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAMILLE C by ROMAN DANCER)
PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY 4 1 11 11   3½ 710¾ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 5.00 20% 4.00 4.01  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BROOKIE GIRL by PROUD CITIZEN)
COASTAL KID 3 7 5 5   6 814 (silva-martine)GUTIERREZ M 121 15.00 6% 14.70 20.64  
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
FIREWALKER 6 4 812½ 914½   910½ 917¾ (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 20.00 38.29  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SKYDECK by CURLIN)
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED               (cryderman cand)REYES R 121 10.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STOP THE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
EMD-8   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:22 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAREIGN 8 5 43 22   12 1 (bozell alan)MARTIN A 125 5.00 23% 3.30 2.82 W
DEVIL D' ORO 3 7 6 6   33 2 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.50 2.81  
MANY MEMORIES 2 6 76 7   5 3 (balcom clif)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 30.00 44.38  
HARBOR LASS 1 3 1 12   22 4 (perez s)REYES R 121 6.00 14% 6.00 7.86  
SENSIBLE LUTE 7 2 3 32   43 5 (simkins rosie)ZUNINO L 125 2.00 34% 1.90 1.39  
TIA SUZI 5 4 55 5   6 610¾ (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00 21.37  
ENGAGING SOUL 6 8 811 814¼   711¼ 711½ (bean a)MONTALVO C 125 20.00 25.84  
MY PERFECT TOWN 4 1 2 44   814¼ 826¼ (toye joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 12.00 28.98  
SCR  LADY MORMONT               (dronen sam)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.