Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(4/6)-(1/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
EMD-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(1/2/3)-(2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/4/6)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/4/2)-(2/7/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(2/7/4/8)-(10/2/5/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8)-(2/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/8)-(10/2/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/8)-(10/2/5/3/8)-(8/9/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-7   WIN (10/2/5/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/5/3/8)-(10/2/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/5/3/8)-(10/2/5/3/8)-(10/2/5/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/5/3/8)-(8/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-8   WIN (8/9/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/6)-(8/9/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/6)-(8/9/1/6)-(8/9/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAID IN FULL Jun28 May04 Apr16 Mar25 Mar05 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  ATOMIC CANDY Jul07 Jun29 Jun15 May20 May06 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00    
SCR  QUAGMIRE MAGIC Jul14 Jun21 May18 May11 Apr19 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
4  MOVE OVER (GB) Jun28 Jun16 May31 May19 Apr29 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 2.50    
SCR  WINTER FALCON Jul12 Jun21 Apr13 Feb03 Jan05 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
6  HAPPY DOES Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr13 Mar22 (mccanna tim)REYES R 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGIE GO Jul14 Jun28 May04 Apr15 Apr10 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 5.00    
2  DREWY Jun30 Jun21 Jun02 May11 Apr20 (birdwell tena)MONTALVO C 121 4.50    
3  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Jun30 Jun14 May19 Apr25 Apr09 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 2.00 ★    
4  ON PURPOSE Feb19 Jan13 Nov26 Nov17 Nov02 (markle dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.60 67% 0.50    
5  SHE SAID MY WAY Jun09 May26 May11 Sep17 Sep02 (salinas linda)REYES R 122 10.00    
6  STEPUP Jul14 May19 Aug26 Aug13 Jul30 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D K'S CROWN Jul12 Jun23 Jun08 May26 Apr10 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  I'M NOBLE Jul07 Jun02 May04 Apr18 Mar28 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 10.00 15% 5.50    
3  CAJUN TREASURE Jul12 Jun30 Jun02 May18 Apr16 (hernandez miguel)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  REGULATION DAZED Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 Mar22 Feb18 (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
5  SMOKEN SHADOW Jun21 Jun01 May18 Sep09 Aug18 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  CANDIED LUTE Jul06 Jun22 Jun15 Jun01 Sep10 (madrigal elo)OROZCO E 125 1.60    
7  KO SAMUI (IRE) Jul12 Jun16 Jun07 Mar30 Mar16 (gutierrez jose)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
 
EMD-4   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS FLASHY HARBOR Jul06 Jun16 May25 May11 Apr21 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 12.00    
2  REIGN OF FIRE Jun01 May12 Oct08 Sep10 Aug18 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  BOURBON TIGER Jun09 May11 Mar28 Feb26 Feb13 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 121 3.00    
4  FRISCO FRILLS Jul07 Jun28 Jun16 Jun08 May18 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
5  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jul07 Jun09 Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
6  ZAZEN Jun28 Jun09 Apr13 Jan21 Dec10 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  OREO'S DREAM Jun28 May25 Aug26 Jul03 Jun09 (wisdom anne)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00    
 
EMD-5   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington State Legislators Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZZY TWISTER Jun14 Apr28 Mar29 Feb16 Jan15 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 4.00    
  (by TIZ A MINISTER out of HURRICANE TIZ by TIZNOW)
2  OUR LYLA GRACE Jul07 Jun22 Jun07 May19 Sep10 (cryderman candic)MAWING A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
3  ALOHA BREEZE Jun22 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 May13 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
4  DAFFODIL SWEET Jun22 Aug13 Jul30 Jun25 Jun26 (allen marshall)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of EASY ON MY HEART by LION HEART)
5  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Jun22 May19 Dec10 Nov25 Oct14 (silva-martinez ale)MATIAS J 121 4.50    
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJO by LIBERTY GOLD)
6  JAMIES INHERITANCE Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 Apr15 Sep16 (essex charl)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  BLAZINGBELLABLU Jun22 Sep17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 2.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
 
EMD-6   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LLOYDS LOGIC Jun30 Jun01 May18 Aug13 Jul16 (wenzel tom)MAWING A 122 12.00    
2  GODSEND (GB) Jun01 Apr29 Apr04 Feb05 Jan13 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  TABLE BAY Jun28 Sep02 Jul15 Jun18 May27 (martinez b)MATIAS J 125 4.50    
4  EVER A REBEL Jun29 Jun07 Feb01 Dec21 Nov21 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
5  OWHATARUSH Jun21 May26 Aug27 Aug13 Jul22 (wisdom anne)REYES R 125 8.00    
6  A SKIP IN THE PARK Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 May12 Sep03 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 10.00    
7  NINE ONE ONE Jun22 Jul09 Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 (gilker robert)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
8  IT'S TURBO Jun23 Jun08 May11 Apr15 May14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SON OF THUNDER Jun23 Jun08 Apr25 Jul30 Jun04 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 8.00    
 
EMD-7   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor's Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNCEY Jun30 Jun16 Jun01 May12 Sep17 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAMILLE C by ROMAN DANCER)
2  NEIMAN Jun23 Jun01 Mar15 Jan12 Dec05 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZACITY by TIZWAY)
3  COASTAL KID Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr11 Mar20 (silva-martine)GUTIERREZ M 121 15.00 6% 14.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED Jun29 Jun02 May12 Sep17 Sep09 (cryderman cand)REYES R 121 10.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STOP THE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  PAPA'S GOLDEN BOY Jun23 Jun02 Nov26 Nov04 Sep18 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of BROOKIE GIRL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  DESHAMBEAU May01 Apr11 Mar14 Feb12 Dec09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 12.00    
  (by LEA out of ALIQUIPPA by NATIVE ALLIANCE)
7  FIREWALKER Jul07 Jun07 May04 Sep17 Aug20 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 20.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SKYDECK by CURLIN)
8  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Jun23 May18 Apr11 Feb17 Apr10 (tubbs scott)MAWING A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of CALL INTERSEPTED by EAVESDROPPER)
9  ARMA D'ORO Jun16 Jun02 May11 Apr13 Mar01 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of GOLD DUST LADY by CHAPEL ROYAL)
10  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Jun23 Jun02 Sep17 Aug13 Jul23 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
 
EMD-8   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR LASS Jun16 Jun01 May18 May04 Mar20 (perez s)REYES R 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  MANY MEMORIES Jul03 Jun14 Jun02 May19 May04 (balcom clif)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 30.00    
SCR  LADY MORMONT Jul03 Jun16 May18 May04   (dronen sam)CRUZ M 121 4.50    
4  DEVIL D' ORO Jul13 May31 May10 Apr04   (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.50    
5  MY PERFECT TOWN Aug26 Jul03       (toye joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 12.00    
6  TIA SUZI Jul12 Jun16 Jun01 May18 May02 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ENGAGING SOUL Jul12 Jun30 Jun21 Jun02   (bean a)MONTALVO C 125 20.00    
8  SENSIBLE LUTE Jul03 Jun14 May26 Sep16 Aug19 (simkins rosie)ZUNINO L 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
9  BELLAREIGN Jul07 May26 Oct01     (bozell alan)MARTIN A 125 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.