Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-2   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $31.22 $23.22 290%
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $60.29 $48.29 402%
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-2 $68.82 $56.82 474%
EMD-3   DD (4/2/3/7)-(6/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-6 $84.60 $68.60 429%
EMD-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.38 $9.38 156%
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-1 $14.76 $2.76 23%
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/1/2/4)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-1-1 $29.53 $11.53 64%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRICOT BRANDY 1 4 32 1nk   1nk 1½ (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 125 10.00 18.30  
8  HEY BARMAID 8 5 52½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 44% 1.30 0.29 P
6  NAUTICAL MILE 6 6 64 42   41¾ 34¼ (cryderman candic)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50 ★ 13.47 S
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY 4 2 2½ 3½   31½ 46 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 2.00 33% 2.10 4.06  
7  JUST PIN ME 7 8 88½ 76½   65¼ 59½ (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 15.00 47.29  
5  KIKI'S CRUSADER 5 7 75½ 65   54¼ 612¼ (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 121 20.00 32.00  
2  AH BIRDY 2 3 42½ 88½   87¾ 719½ (gabriel lu)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00 56.34  
3  DREAMINGOFBLING 3 1 1½ 54   75¾ 820¼ (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 5% 19.00 31.33  
 
EMD-2   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:221 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VALLEY ECHO 3 3 11 11½   11½ 12¼ (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 121 8.00 11% 8.10 14.61 W
4  COASTAL GIRL 4 1 21 21½   21½ 22¼ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00 37% 1.70 2.75 P
2  SIMPLY GRACIOUS 2 2 41½ 32½   31½ 34¼ (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.50 30% 2.40 1.97 S
5  VICTORIA'S CHARGE 5 4 31½ 43   43½ 45¼ (bozell alan)PENA BRYAN 121 4.50 3.22  
1  UNBRIDLED VIOLET 1 6 63 64½   56 59 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 8.73  
7  VHAGAR 7 5 52½ 54½   77½ 610¼ (baze rob)AMADOR RUIZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.09  
6  LOVELY JOSEPHINE 6 7 74½ 76   67 710½ (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 121 15.00 9.59  
 
EMD-3   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:211 :432 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EL BROMISTA 6 5 64¼ 34   2nk 1¼ (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 29% 2.40 1.70 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MARIE'S ROSE by SWISS YODELER)
2  ELDER MACK 2 4 33 44   3.2 2¼ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00 5.73  
  (by LORD NELSON out of PROMISE TO PEG by MINESHAFT)
1  SIR ARGENTO 1 7 77¼ 77¼   61¼ 32½ (cryderman candic)MAWING A 121 15.00 16.20  
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
7  K R RULES 7 6 54 54¼   5¾ 44 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 23% 3.40 3.19  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MISS GINGER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ATTA BOY LLOYD 5 2 21½ 22   4¼ 56½ (evans justin)REYES R 125 10.00 5% 19.00 5.55  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of THAT'SENOUGHSINGIN by SWISS YODELER)
3  KNIGHTLINE 3 1 44 66¼   73¼ 67¾ (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 3.50 27% 2.70 6.22  
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT CLUB by ICY GLOW)
4  GUNNIN FOR GOLD 4 3 11½ 12   1nk 79 (gibson vince)PENA BRYAN 125 8.00 10.75  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
EMD-4   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIZ A TIGER 5 7 55¾ 53½   31½ 1nk (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00 6.49  
3  SHE'S RESILIENT 3 1 3.2 1½   11 2nk (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★ 1.36 P
2  MS FLASHY HARBOR 2 4 42¾ 42½   43 31½ (bullock steve)PENA BRYAN 125 4.00 ★ 5.45 S
6  EYES FOR GOLD 6 5 66¼ 64½   53½ 41¾ (birdwell tena)ZUNINO L 125 3.00 75% 0.30 2.56  
7  FLYIN BY 7 3 2nk 31   21 53¾ (johnston kimberl)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.74  
4  LEMON DROP LADY 4 6 78¾ 78½   79½ 66¾ (bean a)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00 16.96  
1  HEART ON THE RUN 1 2 1nk 2½   65½ 77¼ (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 122 20.00 14.45  
SCR  RAFANELLI               ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-5   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PAYNT YA LATER 2 2 11 11½   1½ 11 (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 2.00 49% 1.00 1.88 W
4  SPECIAL DIVA 4 1 21 21½   2½ 21 (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 118 3.50 8.95  
5  BOURBON TIGER 5 3 42 32½   32 34 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 118 2.50 4.21  
6  VERONICA'S DELIGHT 6 5 63½ 52¾   44 46½ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 22% 3.50 2.19  
1  NEISSA 1 4 31½ 42½   55½ 510¾ (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.50 4.16  
3  PARKER'S FIFTEEN 3 6 53 65¾   68½ 615½ (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.95  
 
EMD-6   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 1 4 44½ 22   1nk 1¾ (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 19% 4.20 1.38 W
6  HANNAHAZA HETTY 6 2 21½ 32   2nk 2¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 4.00 2.40  
4  GOAT ROCKS 4 1 11½ 12   31½ 33¼ (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.47 S
7  UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR 7 3 65 54½   54½ 43½ (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 3.00 43% 1.30 7.25  
3  SHE'S A KRAKEN 3 6 33½ 43   43½ 54½ (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00 16.86  
2  LAPUSH 2 5 54½ 66   66½ 68¼ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 16% 5.10 6.04  
5  SHE SAID MY WAY 5 7 715 714   712½ 713 (johnston kimberl)MAWING A 122 12.00 14.76  
 
EMD-7   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:213 :441 :561     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MAFIOSO 1 5 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.69 W
4  PETER FLIES 4 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.00 1.96  
3  IT'S TURBO 3 4 53½ 44½   32½ 3½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.37 S
2  MANGIA PANE 2 6 43½ 55½   55½ 45 (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 122 15.00 13.86  
7  MISTER MIDAS 6 3 32½ 32   43½ 55½ (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 9.28  
6  RIMROCK LAKE 5 2 64 67½   610½ 617¾ (navarro jose)MATIAS J 118 4.00 30% 2.40 6.31  
SCR  BEER BEGONE               (evans justin)REYES R 118 15.00    
 
EMD-8   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:19
See original race card.
:221 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FRUIT LUTES 3 3 1nk 11   12 15¼ (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 15.00 5.50  
8  SECRET RIDDLES 8 1 3.2 21   22 25¼ (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 17% 4.90 7.72 P
6  SIR LOOKING GLASS 6 4 72 53   54½ 36¾ (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.88 S
1  DERBY BOY 1 8 51¾ 32½   44½ 48 (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 25.33  
2  CHINOOK BEND 2 2 41¼ 43   34 58¼ (gibson howar)MARTIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.38  
4  SECRET ENCORE 4 9 94½ 63½   67 612 (cryderman candic)MAWING A 119 10.00 19% 4.30 21.15  
7  CRAZY STORM 7 6 61¾ 85   89¼ 713¼ (gilmour j)JENSEN P 122 10.00 6.51  
5  LUCCA'S LEGACY 5 5 2nk 74   79 813¾ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 5.00 10.49  
9  WE GOT SWAG 9 7 82½ 95¼   910¼ 914½ (martinez b)MATIAS J 122 6.00 18% 4.50 7.62  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.