The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $38.60 -6.00
EMD-2   Win (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $31.22 $31.22 23.22
EMD-3   Win (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
EMD-4   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $14.98 -4.00
EMD-5   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.76 $5.76 -0.24
EMD-6   Win (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.76 $4.76 -3.24
EMD-7   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.38 $15.38 9.38
EMD-8   Win (6/4/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $13.00 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRICOT BRANDY 1 4 32 1nk   1nk 1½ (nunnally jennifer)CRUZ M 125 10.00 18.30  
HEY BARMAID 8 5 5 2nk   2nk 2½ (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 44% 1.30 0.29 P
NAUTICAL MILE 6 6 64 42   4 3 (cryderman candice )PENA BRYAN 125 4.50 13.47 S
CHROME'S BEST COPY 4 2 2½ 3½   3 46 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 2.00 33% 2.10 4.06  
JUST PIN ME 7 8 8 7   6 5 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 15.00 47.29  
KIKI'S CRUSADER 5 7 7 65   5 612¼ (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 121 20.00 32.00  
AH BIRDY 2 3 4 8   8 719½ (gabriel luci)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00 56.34  
DREAMINGOFBLING 3 1 1½ 54   7 820¼ (johnston kimberley)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 5% 19.00 31.33  
 
EMD-2   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:221 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALLEY ECHO 3 3 11 1   1 1 (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 121 8.00 11% 8.10 14.61 W
COASTAL GIRL 4 1 21 2   2 2 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00 37% 1.70 2.75 P
SIMPLY GRACIOUS 2 2 4 3   3 3 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 121 2.50 30% 2.40 1.97 S
VICTORIA'S CHARGE 5 4 3 43   4 4 (bozell alan)PENA BRYAN 121 4.50 3.22  
UNBRIDLED VIOLET 1 6 63 6   56 59 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 8.73  
VHAGAR 7 5 5 5   7 610¼ (baze rober)AMADOR RUIZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.09  
LOVELY JOSEPHINE 6 7 7 76   67 710½ (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 121 15.00 9.59  
 
EMD-3   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:211 :432 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BROMISTA 6 5 6 34   2nk 1¼ (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 29% 2.40 1.70 W
ELDER MACK 2 4 33 44   3.2 2¼ (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00 5.73  
SIR ARGENTO 1 7 7 7   6 3 (cryderman candice )MAWING A 121 15.00 16.20  
K R RULES 7 6 54 5   5¾ 44 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 23% 3.40 3.19  
ATTA BOY LLOYD 5 2 2 22   4¼ 5 (evans justin)REYES R 125 10.00 5% 19.00 5.55  
KNIGHTLINE 3 1 44 6   7 6 (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 3.50 27% 2.70 6.22  
GUNNIN FOR GOLD 4 3 1 12   1nk 79 (gibson vince)PENA BRYAN 125 8.00 10.75  
 
EMD-4   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A TIGER 5 7 5 5   3 1nk (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00 6.49  
SHE'S RESILIENT 3 1 3.2 1½   11 2nk (silva-martinez al)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 1.36 P
MS FLASHY HARBOR 2 4 4 4   43 3 (bullock steve)PENA BRYAN 125 4.00 5.45 S
EYES FOR GOLD 6 5 6 6   5 4 (birdwell tena)ZUNINO L 125 3.00 75% 0.30 2.56  
FLYIN BY 7 3 2nk 31   21 5 (johnston kimberley)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.74  
LEMON DROP LADY 4 6 7 7   7 6 (bean a)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00 16.96  
HEART ON THE RUN 1 2 1nk 2½   6 7 (nunnally jenni)OROZCO E 122 20.00 14.45  
SCR  RAFANELLI               ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-5   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT YA LATER 2 2 11 1   1½ 11 (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 2.00 49% 1.00 1.88 W
SPECIAL DIVA 4 1 21 2   2½ 21 (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 118 3.50 8.95  
BOURBON TIGER 5 3 42 3   32 34 (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 118 2.50 4.21  
VERONICA'S DELIGHT 6 5 6 5   44 4 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 22% 3.50 2.19  
NEISSA 1 4 3 4   5 510¾ (cryderman candice)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.50 4.16  
PARKER'S FIFTEEN 3 6 53 6   6 615½ (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.95  
 
EMD-6   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 1 4 4 22   1nk 1¾ (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 19% 4.20 1.38 W
HANNAHAZA HETTY 6 2 2 32   2nk 2¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 4.00 2.40  
GOAT ROCKS 4 1 1 12   3 3 (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.47 S
UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR 7 3 65 5   5 4 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 122 3.00 43% 1.30 7.25  
SHE'S A KRAKEN 3 6 3 43   4 5 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00 16.86  
LAPUSH 2 5 5 66   6 6 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 16% 5.10 6.04  
SHE SAID MY WAY 5 7 715 714   712½ 713 (johnston kimberley)MAWING A 122 12.00 14.76  
 
EMD-7   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:213 :441 :561     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER MAFIOSO 1 5 2½ 1nk   1nk 1¼ (patino fau)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.69 W
PETER FLIES 4 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 2¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.00 1.96  
IT'S TURBO 3 4 5 4   3 3½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.37 S
MANGIA PANE 2 6 4 5   5 45 (patino faustino)GUTIERREZ M 122 15.00 13.86  
MISTER MIDAS 6 3 3 32   4 5 (cryderman candice)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 9.28  
RIMROCK LAKE 5 2 64 6   610½ 617¾ (navarro jose)MATIAS J 118 4.00 30% 2.40 6.31  
SCR  BEER BEGONE               (evans justin)REYES R 118 15.00    
 
EMD-8   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:19
See original race card.
:221 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRUIT LUTES 3 3 1nk 11   12 1 (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 122 15.00 5.50  
SECRET RIDDLES 8 1 3.2 21   22 2 (silva-martinez al)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 17% 4.90 7.72 P
SIR LOOKING GLASS 6 4 72 53   5 3 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.88 S
DERBY BOY 1 8 5 3   4 48 (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 25.33  
CHINOOK BEND 2 2 4 43   34 5 (gibson howard )MARTIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.38  
SECRET ENCORE 4 9 9 6   67 612 (cryderman candice )MAWING A 119 10.00 19% 4.30 21.15  
CRAZY STORM 7 6 6 85   8 713¼ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 122 10.00 6.51  
LUCCA'S LEGACY 5 5 2nk 74   79 813¾ (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 119 5.00 10.49  
WE GOT SWAG 9 7 8 9   910¼ 914½ (martinez b)MATIAS J 122 6.00 18% 4.50 7.62  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.