Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(6/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (4/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/7)-(6/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/7)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
EMD-3   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(6/7)-(2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(2/6/3)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/1/2/4)-(3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(3/6/1)-(6/4/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(6/4/9/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
EMD-8   WIN (6/4/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/8/2)-(6/4/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/8/2)-(6/4/9/8/2)-(6/4/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRICOT BRANDY Apr05 Mar15 Feb23 Jan12 Dec29 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 125 10.00    
2  AH BIRDY Mar16 Feb24       (gabriel lu)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00    
3  DREAMINGOFBLING Sep10 Sep03 Aug12 Apr12 Mar20 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY Sep03 Jul30 Jul07 Jun24 Jun02 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  KIKI'S CRUSADER Apr10 Sep03 Aug11     (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 121 20.00    
6  NAUTICAL MILE Dec06 Nov15 Sep08 Jul12 Jun08 (cryderman candic)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50 ★    
7  JUST PIN ME Oct01         (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 15.00    
8  HEY BARMAID Apr07 Oct21 Aug13 Jun17 May19 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
EMD-2   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED VIOLET Jul15         (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
2  SIMPLY GRACIOUS Apr20 Mar17 Feb04     (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  VALLEY ECHO         (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 121 8.00 11% 8.10    
4  COASTAL GIRL Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29   (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  VICTORIA'S CHARGE Sep02         (bozell alan)PENA BRYAN 121 4.50    
6  LOVELY JOSEPHINE Mar29 Mar08 Jan26 Jan13   (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 121 15.00    
7  VHAGAR Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep30   (baze rob)AMADOR RUIZ 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR ARGENTO Jul09         (cryderman candic)MAWING A 121 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
2  ELDER MACK         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PROMISE TO PEG by MINESHAFT)
3  KNIGHTLINE Sep03 Aug27 Aug05 Jul22   (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT CLUB by ICY GLOW)
4  GUNNIN FOR GOLD Jan08 Dec11 Jun24     (gibson vince)PENA BRYAN 125 8.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  ATTA BOY LLOYD Apr23 Apr15 Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 (evans justin)REYES R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of THAT'SENOUGHSINGIN by SWISS YODELER)
6  EL BROMISTA Feb25 Feb04 Jan08     (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MARIE'S ROSE by SWISS YODELER)
7  K R RULES Jun18         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MISS GINGER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
EMD-4   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART ON THE RUN Apr06 Mar15 Feb09 Sep03 Jul22 (nunnally jen)OROZCO E 122 20.00    
2  MS FLASHY HARBOR Apr21 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 Jan28 (bullock steve)PENA BRYAN 125 4.00 ★    
3  SHE'S RESILIENT Apr08 Mar11 Dec15 Nov26 Oct27 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
4  LEMON DROP LADY Apr22 Mar06 Feb15 Dec20 Oct08 (bean a)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00    
5  TIZ A TIGER Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
6  EYES FOR GOLD Apr08 Mar20 Mar12 Feb20 Dec20 (birdwell tena)ZUNINO L 125 3.00 75% 0.30    
7  FLYIN BY Sep10 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 (johnston kimberl)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RAFANELLI Apr14 Mar10 Feb11 Jan20 Dec29 ( )TBA null      
 
EMD-5   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEISSA Mar04 Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 Nov27 (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 118 4.50    
2  PAYNT YA LATER Feb25         (martinez b)MATIAS J 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
3  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (navarro jose)GUTIERREZ M 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPECIAL DIVA Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17   (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 118 3.50    
5  BOURBON TIGER Mar28 Feb26 Feb13 Jan06 Dec01 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 118 2.50    
6  VERONICA'S DELIGHT Sep10         (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
EMD-6   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Apr10 Mar28 Feb29 Feb01 Feb06 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  LAPUSH Sep17 Aug12       (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
3  SHE'S A KRAKEN Aug27 Aug06 Jul15     (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00    
4  GOAT ROCKS Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE SAID MY WAY Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul14 Jun24 (johnston kimberl)MAWING A 122 12.00    
6  HANNAHAZA HETTY Apr03 Feb26 Jan15 Dec29 Nov19 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
7  UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR Aug20 May29       (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
EMD-7   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MAFIOSO Sep02 Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 Jun17 (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MANGIA PANE Sep17 Aug13 Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M 122 15.00    
3  IT'S TURBO Apr15 May14 Apr17 Mar14 Sep18 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  PETER FLIES Mar15 Feb23 Jan20 Dec30 Dec10 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 3.00    
SCR  BEER BEGONE Oct08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (evans justin)REYES R 118 15.00    
6  RIMROCK LAKE Sep17 Aug27 Jul30     (navarro jose)MATIAS J 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
7  MISTER MIDAS Jun25 May27 May14 Dec30 Dec09 (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
 
EMD-8   05/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY BOY Sep02 Aug18 Jul23     (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
2  CHINOOK BEND Jul09         (gibson howar)MARTIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FRUIT LUTES Sep03         (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 15.00    
4  SECRET ENCORE         (cryderman candic)MAWING A 119 10.00 19% 4.30    
5  LUCCA'S LEGACY Mar08 Feb08 Jan10 Dec28 Nov28 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 5.00    
6  SIR LOOKING GLASS Apr09 Mar27 Mar19 Dec09 Nov05 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  CRAZY STORM Nov11 Oct29 Oct08     (gilmour j)JENSEN P 122 10.00    
8  SECRET RIDDLES Dec19 Dec06       (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
9  WE GOT SWAG         (martinez b)MATIAS J 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.