Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $14.34 $8.34 139%
EMD-3   DD (3/2/1)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-1 $11.72 $2.72 30%
EMD-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $7.06 $3.06 77%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-3 $10.22 $6.22 156%
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $9.66 $3.66 61%
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/6/5)-(3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-1-5 $18.21 $9.21 102%
EMD-5   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.86 $5.86 98%
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $24.21 $18.21 304%
    DD (3/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-5 $23.84 $17.84 297%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/5)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-5-5 $47.43 $38.43 427%
EMD-6   DD (3/4/5)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-3 $15.17 $6.17 69%
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-5-3 $36.19 $27.19 302%
    PK4 (1/6/5)-(3/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/2/1) 54 $0.50 $27.00  1-5-5-3/4 $110.95 $83.95 311%
EMD-8   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.48 $2.48 41%
EMD-9   EXA (6/7/5/1)-(6/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $18.90 $6.90 58%
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $16.35 $4.35 36%
    PK6 (3/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/2/1)-(1/5/7/4)-(2/5/1)-(6/7/5/1) 864 $0.50 $432  5-5-3/4-6-2-7 $1097.95 $665.95 154%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:22 :442 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JAZZY LOVE 5 5 42 2½   11 13 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 2.03  
4  RESERVOIR 4 2 1½ 1½   21 23 (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50 67% 0.50 1.51 P
3  MEAN SHARON 3 3 2½ 31½   33½ 37½ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 3.00 10% 8.70 3.90 S
2  ANNETTE MARIE 2 4 52 54   45½ 48¾ (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.03  
1  WARREN'S MEMORABLE 1 6 63½ 66   66½ 512¼ (gibson vince)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50 10.75  
6  FOR YOU ONLY 6 1 31 43   55½ 613¼ (belvoir howard)MAWING A 125 8.00 9.19  
 
EMD-2   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SCATALICIOUS 3 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 2.50 53% 0.90 3.60 W
2  ITSTEQUILA TALKIN 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 20% 4.00 1.85 P
6  MERRY BLUE 6 5 62¾ 31   32 32 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 2.50  
1  I AM YOURS 1 6 42 52   42½ 42¼ (dronen sam)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.61  
4  POP CHART 4 1 31½ 41½   54 55¼ (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 6.00 5.83  
5  INFINITE LOVE 5 4 52¼ 63½   64½ 65¾ (gilmour jim)LOPEZ KARLO 125 8.00 9.34  
 
EMD-3   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A SKIP IN THE PARK 1 6 63¾ 62¾   2½ 13 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.41 W
2  HICKORY WIND 2 4 41¾ 52¾   42½ 23 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 122 8.00 5.98  
5  FED GRANT 5 1 51¾ 41¾   32½ 34 (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00 5% 19.00 10.33 S
6  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE 6 3 3.2 3.2   1½ 45 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 122 1.60 27% 2.60 1.41  
4  SUPER CREATIVE 4 2 2nk 2nk   52¾ 57¼ (johnston kimberl)MAWING A 122 15.00 23.10  
3  MOKKI 3 5 1nk 1nk   63¾ 68¼ (cryderman candic)PENA BRYAN 121 3.50 10.13  
 
EMD-4   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
See original race card.
:23 :454 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 4 1 2nk 2nk   11 11¼ (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00 5% 19.00 2.53 W
3  REIGN OF FIRE 2 2 1nk 1nk   21 21¼ (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 74% 0.40 2.08 P
1  NAN ELIZABETH 1 5 54 54½   43 32 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 122 3.50 2.56  
4  CLASS CODE 3 4 42 31½   33 42¼ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 ★ 2.82  
6  NOMI LACKEE 5 3 31½ 43½   57 510¾ (madrigal )JENSEN P 122 20.00 22.82  
SCR  KERRYGOLD LADY               (gabriel luciano )ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
 
EMD-5   05/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:11 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEA MISCHIEF 4 3 43 43 31 3½ 1¾ (bean a)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 7% 13.10 4.93 W
4  RAFANELLI 3 2 11 1½ 41¼ 41 2¾ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50 30% 2.30 3.44 P
2  SHES GOT THE POWER 1 5 53½ 53 53¼ 52 32 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 4.85  
3  MERINO WOOL 2 4 31½ 32 21 2½ 42 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 1.40 42% 1.40 0.76  
6  LA POPIS 5 1 21 2½ 11 1½ 52½ (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 122 12.00 16.30  
SCR  HOLY ZAGS               (evans justin)REYES R 122 3.00    
 
EMD-6   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:27
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIE AND DENY 3 1 32½ 21½   1½ 13½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 39% 1.60 0.59 W
2  NEW EVERY MORNING 2 2 11½ 11½   2½ 23½ (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.80 20% 3.90 2.49 P
6  BERNALINHO 5 5 43½ 43½   33 34½ (bullene michael)PENA BRYAN 122 6.00 7.46  
5  YOU KIDDING ME 4 4 55 56½   55½ 48½ (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 5.00 9.59  
1  WESTERN RULE 1 3 21½ 32½   44½ 513½ (belvoir howard)MAWING A 122 6.00 6% 16.30 14.01  
SCR  MADE THE TEAM               (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.50    
 
EMD-7   05/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:223 :46       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NORTHERN BLEND 6 2 41¼ 2½   1nk 1nk (dronen sam)PENA BRYAN 123 15.00 26.49  
7  UNCLE JUJU 7 1 1nk 1½   2nk 2nk (bean a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 6% 15.10 4.86 P
1  GRAMMY WINNER 1 6 31 63½   31 31¾ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50 57% 0.80 0.98 S
2  RANCHO RED 2 4 51¾ 52½   41¼ 42 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 4.50 5.51  
4  VALIDATE 4 5 75¾ 74   72 52¾ (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 18.98  
5  NATION OF FAITH 5 7 63¾ 42   61¾ 63¼ (essex charle)OROZCO E 123 4.00 15% 5.80 4.67  
3  ROYAL CANDY 3 3 2nk 31½   51¾ 76¼ (silva-marti)ORTIZ A 123 10.00 8.93  
 
EMD-8   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:221 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COASTAL KID 2 2 2½ 2½   1½ 11¾ (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 125 8.00 33% 2.00 3.24 W
6  WELTON 5 6 41½ 31½   31 21¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 8.00 1.94  
5  DIRT ROAD RED 4 5 53½ 41½   41 32 (cryderman candic)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 32% 2.10 7.11 S
7  ELEVADO 6 4 64½ 64¼   53½ 43 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 122 15.00 3.44  
1  ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE 1 1 1½ 1½   2½ 53½ (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.16  
3  MUNCEY 3 3 31 54   64½ 65 (belvoir howard)MAWING A 122 6.00 12.67  
SCR  EXECUTIVE CHEF               (wright blaine)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.00    
SCR  PRISONER               (evans justin)REYES R 122 2.50    
 
EMD-9   05/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:58
See original race card.
:22 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DAREDEVIL PRINCESS 7 2 12 13   13 12 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 123 2.50 20% 4.00 3.09 W
6  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 6 1 33 23   23 22 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 123 2.00 40% 1.50 4.98 P
2  METEOR SHOWER 2 6 610 56   44 32½ (martinez b)MATIAS J 123 3.50 3.80  
3  LADY OF THE RIVER 3 3 22 33   34 44 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 5.22  
4  SETTLER'S COVE 4 4 57 67   67½ 56 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 123 15.00 16.60  
5  SQUARE FUN 5 5 44½ 43½   56½ 66½ (dronen sam)PENA BRYAN 123 5.00 13% 6.60 2.68  
1  HOUSE OF TARGARYEN 1 7 712 79   78½ 79½ (bullene michael)ZUNINO L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.15  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.