The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Friday - June 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $23.02 -6.00
EMD-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $14.14 $14.14 8.14
EMD-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 -0.30
EMD-4   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
EMD-5   Win (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.48 $4.48 -3.52
EMD-6   Win (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 -2.30
EMD-7   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.18 $3.18 -2.82

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUSLY INSPIRED 2 2 11 11   1 11 (homer jason)MAWING A 125 4.50 10.51  
FIRST ENDEAVOR 3 6 66 5   53 21 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.50 2.44  
THE GOLDEN EGG 6 3 31 32   2 31 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 1.80 62% 0.60 1.55 S
SECRET ENCORE 1 5 4 42   32 4 (cryderman can)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00 9.44  
MOTIVATING FORCE 5 4 21 21   42 5 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 121 3.50 15% 5.80 2.69  
POCO DIABLO ROJO 4 1 54 6   611 617¼ (baze robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 15.00 5% 19.00 17.08  
 
EMD-2   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10.5K) 3 ALL PT-10:50
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASS THE CROWN 1 3 1nk 11   12 1 (velasquez rigob)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.07 W
POLIS 4 2 6 4   32 2 (gabriel m)CRUZ M 122 4.00 11% 8.50 4.09 P
DRIVE TRAIN 2 6 32 3   43 3 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.40 51% 1.00 0.85 S
HATAGASAL 6 1 2nk 21   22 4 (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 15.00 21.33  
SIR LOOKING GLASS 3 5 54 6   5 5 (tubbs scott)BOWEN ROCCO 122 4.50 5.21  
LONG GONE SILVER 5 4 4 5   6 614¾ (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 8.22  
 
EMD-3   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
See original race card.
:213 :44 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIE AND DENY 4 3 42 3½   1nk 12 (peery debbie)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.40 38% 1.60 1.85 W
HANDR'SDREAM 1 5 1½ 1½   2nk 22 (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 122 2.00 24% 3.10 1.55 P
CREATIVE BID 3 1 5 5   3 3 (hernandez l)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 3.73  
MARCH ON LINCH 2 4 3 42   5 4 (bozell alan)KRIGGER K 119 12.00 11.07  
ARIZONA ANDREW 5 2 2½ 2½   42 58 (hernandez miguel )CRUZ M 122 4.50 5% 19.00 5.48  
 
EMD-4   06/14/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:08
See original race card.
:213 :442 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMP OF PAGNE 7 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 12 (silva-martinez ale)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 53% 0.90 3.35 W
ENGLISH MEADOW 5 7 77 6   53 22 (leonard w)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.76 P
SECRET HOTTIE 6 1 3½ 1nk   2½ 32 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 125 2.50 1.31  
DEUX MERES 2 4 4 4   43 4 (cooper kay)CRUZ M 121 4.50 8.44  
SENSIBLE LUTE 4 2 1nk 3.2   3 5 (simkins rosie)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 13% 6.40 6.11  
LIBBY'S GAMBIT 1 6 53 5   65 6 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 122 5.00 8.33  
LOVELY JOSEPHINE 3 5 65 7   78 711¾ (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 121 15.00 15.15  
SCR  GLIMPSE OF GOLD               (toye joe)PENA BRYAN 125 8.00    
 
EMD-5   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
See original race card.
:22 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEUNTOUCHABLEONE 1 6 1 14   13 1 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.24 W
LAURA'S KIDOUGH 2 7 7 24   23 2 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.50 24% 3.10 2.52 P
BLUES RAPPER 4 4 5 34   3 34 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 22.93 S
GRAMMY WINNER 6 5 4 5   4 410 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 121 3.50 20% 3.90 7.08  
HICKORY WIND 5 2 3 4   68 510¼ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 3.99  
IMISSBAYMEADOWS 7 1 6 7   5 610¾ (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 25.33  
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 3 3 2 6   7 712¼ (christian billy)MAWING A 125 12.00 16.15  
 
EMD-6   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:214 :442 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEMONTHECLIFF 1 6 5 4   2nk 1 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.85 W
YOGYA 5 3 6 53   5 2 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 3.00 33% 2.00 1.48 P
SEEYAMIA 7 2 3½ 31   3.2 32 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 10.71  
HOT LAVA CAKE 3 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 44 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 3.50 16% 5.40 6.06  
PARKER'S FIFTEEN 4 7 7 66   6 5 (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.92  
SHE'S A KRAKEN 6 1 2nk 2nk   4 6 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 118 4.00 9.45  
ASK ALICE 2 5 42 7   7 717 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 12.50  
 
EMD-7   06/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:254   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME'S BEST COPY 1 1 12 12 12 12 1 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 125 3.00 62% 0.60 0.59 W
EXCLUSIVELY NOBLE 3 4 4 32 22 22 2 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80 P
MY MOTORHOME 4 2 22 22 32 34 3 (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 121 20.00 26.05  
ALWAYS GALLANT 2 7 7 5 4 46 48 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 3.78  
JUST PIN ME 6 6 6 7 6 5 510 (bozell alan)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00 9.25  
NAUTICAL MILE 5 5 55 6 5 610 619¾ (cryderman candice )PENA BRYAN 125 2.50 13% 6.80 7.66  
MANY MEMORIES 7 3 3 4 7 715 727¾ (balcom cliff)MAWING A 125 15.00 23.52  
SCR  GORMLEY GAL               (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.