Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $12.00 $6.00 100%
ARP-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.80 $6.80 113%
ARP-6   EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $25.00 $13.00 108%
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1-5 $56.40 $44.40 370%
ARP-8   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.40 $3.40 57%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-1   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAX A DREAMING 1 1 22 21   1½ 1½ (haar j)RAMOS B 122 2.50 1.40  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ALEC'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  GRACEFULLYBROKE 2 3 32½ 32   31½ 2½ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 119 10.00 25% 3.00 2.50 P
  (by APACHE PARK out of BROKEANLOVINGIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  OLD FASHION TIME 3 2 12 11   2½ 31 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 37% 1.70 2.10 S
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of OLD FASHION LOVE by BELLINGHAM)
6  LEAF OF WISDOM 4 4 44 45   46½ 44¾ (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 3.60  
  (by THE BRAIN out of LOST MY LEAF by VALID WAGER)
SCR  ALWAYS PERFECT               (whitehouse wi)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of IN PERFECT STYLE by PERFECT MANDATE)
SCR  DEONTE               (piantes john)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of WE NEED A MIRACLE by MONOPOLY MONEY)
 
ARP-2   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAUGHTY KITTY 2 1 21½ 22   11 16 (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 119 10.00 19% 4.30 5.00 W
1  JANIS 1 3 44 35   32½ 26 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 4.60  
3  CINCO GAL 3 2 11½ 12   21 37¼ (hibdon mar)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.50 1.40  
5  DEL MAR LABOR DAY 5 4 54½ 69½   47½ 417½ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 30% 2.40 4.30  
6  IMA HAPPY DANCER 6 6 65 57½   59½ 523½ (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 121 12.00 6.00  
4  IMA HOT TOTTIE 4 5 32 46½   617½ 654¼ (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 8.00 8% 11.80 5.30  
 
ARP-4   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAJESTIC LIAISON 5 5 41 41   11½ 11¼ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 27% 2.70 5.40 W
6  CAN DANZER 6 4 51½ 51¼   21½ 21¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 121 3.50 2.90  
3  GOLDEN BAND 3 2 2½ 2nk   31½ 31¼ (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 2.50 35% 1.90 3.00 S
2  TOMBI 2 6 66½ 65¼   43½ 42¾ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 116 6.00 8.30  
4  GOOSE DRANK WINE 4 3 3½ 3½   54½ 54¼ (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 2.60  
1  INCITATUS 1 1 1½ 1nk   66½ 69¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
 
ARP-5   09/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :464       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALL ABOUT MISCHIEF 3 4 32 2½   15 112½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 122 3.50 7% 12.90 2.10 W
4  JAKE ON DAKAN 4 3 1½ 1½   25 212½ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.50 3.60  
1  TIME TO SKIP TOWN 1 1 47 45½   49½ 316 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
5  GUTFIELD 5 2 2½ 3½   37½ 418¼ (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 8.00 4.00  
2  PALACE PATCH 2 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (vicchrilli ru)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.00 63% 0.60 1.50  
 
ARP-6   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST LarriLou Purse ($45.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CELEE'S LAST TE 6 1 2½ 1nk   13 16¼ (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 4.50 46% 1.20 2.10 W
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
1  LONG MAY SHE RUN 1 3 34½ 35   34 26¼ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 3.70 P
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  ROCKIN MARIE 5 2 1½ 2nk   23 311 (long vaugh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 31% 2.30 1.60 S
  (by ROCKY BAR out of YELLOW CHUMARINE by CHUMAREE)
4  BEHOLD THAT WORD 4 4 59½ 59   49 417¼ (rushton s)IRONEYES R 124 12.00 9.60  
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
3  BRING THE POSSE 3 5 45½ 47   59½ 520½ (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 22.60  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
2  FLYING LADY 2 6 610 611   610½ 620¾ (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 4.20  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
 
ARP-8   09/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Aspen Purse ($45.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLUSIONIST 1 4 54½ 43½   2nk 11½ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 26% 2.90 3.70 W
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
6  WHEELER DEALER 5 2 21 21   3½ 21½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 2.20  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of SHEETS by SCATMANDU)
4  TULSA TIME 3 1 11 11   1nk 32 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 S
  (by TULSA TE out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  QUICKTRIP VAN 2 3 32 32½   42 42 (vicchrilli)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 44% 1.30 0.90  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
5  DOCS CARO CAT 4 5 42½ 53½   512 545¾ (rushton stetso)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 10.70  
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of CARO KITTY by TROPICAL STORM)
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA               (oliver kim)LULL E 124 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LOST IN SUCCESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.