Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELK-1   WIN (8/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $26.60 $18.60 233%
    EXA (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-8 $63.20 $39.20 163%
    TRI (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  6-8-1 $186.40 $138.40 288%

Simulator Race results

 
ELK-1   08/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:251         1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAG ME 6 2 32 4   2 1 (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 4.00 8% 11.70 12.30 W
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 8 1 1 15   1 2 (leon alexis)GAMEZ M 124 3.50 54% 0.90 6.00 P
SUBSIDIZE 1 8 64 37   4 36 (burns eugene)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.80 S
STREET N SOUR 4 4 2 25   3 36 (simpson gary)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 1.60 6.00 DH
BAYOU CHROME 7 3 4 510½   5 5 (kellett wes)ALAYA ERIC 124 6.00 21.60  
DONTFORGETHESUGAR 5 6 8 814   614½ 616¾ (luna )ARMENTA ACEVEDO 119 10.00 4.60  
MUSKET POWDER 2 7 75 712½   715½ 718½ (scudd)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.00 2.00  
STAND TO 3 5 53 611½   821½ 831 (van tassell)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 10.00 8% 11.90 8.80  
 
ELK-3   08/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHRN SWEETHEART 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1 (simps)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00 2.50  
ELLE VICTOIRE 2 2 2½ 2½   2½ 2 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 12.00 24% 3.10 7.50 P
DEL MAR LABOR DAY 3 3 3 43   3 310¾ (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 3.00  
DANGERELLA 6 5 56 56   48 411½ (leon alexis)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 4.50  
RUNAWAY ANNIE 5 6 6 611   513 518½ ( )VAZQUEZ BARRIONUEVO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
MCBRUTAL 4 4 4 3   618 625¾ (christoffer)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 2.50 46% 1.20 1.80  
 
ELK-6   08/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOOGE 4 1 12 13   14 1 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 1.70  
CHIEF MISCHIEF 6 2 22 23   24 2 (dahlke kyle)ALAYA ERIC 124 4.00 54% 0.90 3.40 P
TIZ CURLY JOE 1 4 46 4   46 3 (tschirgi bri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 12.00 5.60  
MIDNIGHT KID 3 6 34 34   34 410¼ (castillo r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
MIGHTY TIGER 5 3 5 57   58 513¼ (domin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 22% 3.60 5.60  
WHO'S LAUGHIN NOW 2 5 610½ 69   613 622¼ (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 8.00 8.60  
 
ELK-8   08/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT BOOK 1 3 32 32   2 1 ( )VAZQUEZ BARRIONUEVO 122 6.00 6.70  
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of HOLY SCRIPT by HOLY BULL)
LATEST ATTRACTION 6 2 21 21   1 2 (burns eugene)SAENZ JOE 119 4.00 8.60  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RIVERTON by BROKEN VOW)
BOLD BREAK 2 4 57 511   44 3 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 117 2.00 25% 3.00 2.70 S
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of BREAKINTHECLOUDS by BROKEN VOW)
SUN PHOENIX 5 1 11 11   33 45 (domin)ARMENTA ACEVEDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of ARTILLERA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
JUST N JACK 9 9 914 918   6 5 (scudder mike)ALAYA ERIC 122 5.00 5.10  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SUPPORT by ARCH)
HER LITTLE INDIAN 4 7 710 714½   7 6 (hadley joe)GAMEZ M 122 10.00 11% 8.20 9.70  
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of HER AGAIN by TRAPPER)
BIG BLUE CAT 3 5 43 43   55 7 (guadarrama o)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 2.60  
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LISA LULU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
TIZ A BUDDY 7 6 6 613   815½ 820½ (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 3.50 18% 4.50 11.90  
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of VALIDARA by VALID WAGER)
TRACEY'S KITCHEN 8 8 812 816   927½ 939½ (dominguez joseph)ARANA JOSE 122 12.00 16% 5.40 15.50  
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of COMMANDRESS by TOP COMMAND)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.