Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-1   WIN (8/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
ELK-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-6   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-8   WIN (2/7/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/4/5)-(2/7/8/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/4/5)-(2/7/8/4/5)-(2/7/8/4/5) 60 $2.00 $120 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-1   08/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBSIDIZE Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 Mar04 (burns eugene)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUSKET POWDER Aug18 Jul27 Jul20 Jul06 Jun23 (scudd)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.00    
3  STAND TO Aug17 Jun22 Jun09 Feb29 Feb06 (van tassell)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 10.00 8% 11.90    
4  STREET N SOUR Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 Sep30 (simpson gary)TEETER NAKIA 124 1.60    
5  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 Jun22 Jun16 (luna ce)LOPEZ BENJAMIN 119 10.00    
6  TAG ME Aug18 Aug11 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
7  BAYOU CHROME Aug18 Aug10 Jul07 Jun16 May04 (kellett wes)ALAYA ERIC 124 6.00    
8  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Aug18 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 (leon alexis)GAMEZ M 124 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
ELK-3   08/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHRN SWEETHEART Aug04 Jun29 Sep02 Jul30 Jul01 (simps)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00    
2  ELLE VICTOIRE Aug07 Jul10 Jun30 Jun15 Jun08 (crystal dust)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 12.00 24% 3.10    
3  DEL MAR LABOR DAY Aug18 Aug03 Jun15 Jan07 Dec13 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00    
4  MCBRUTAL Aug03 Jul06 Sep24 Sep03 Jul16 (christoffersen)TEETER NAKIA 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  RUNAWAY ANNIE Aug18 Sep02 Aug19 Dec26   (g)VAZQUEZ BARRIONUEV 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANGERELLA Aug16 Aug04 Jun29 Jun15 Oct01 (leon alexis)GAMEZ M 124 6.00    
 
ELK-6   08/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ CURLY JOE Aug09 Aug07 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 (tschirgi bri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 12.00    
2  WHO'S LAUGHIN NOW Jul20 Jun12       (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 8.00    
3  MIDNIGHT KID Aug16 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 (castillo r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOOGE Aug17 Aug04 Jun22 Apr18 Mar02 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00    
5  MIGHTY TIGER Jul14 Jun22 Apr23 Apr02 Mar21 (domin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  CHIEF MISCHIEF Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun08 Sep04 (dahlke kyle)TEETER NAKIA 124 4.00 54% 0.90    
 
ELK-8   08/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT BOOK Aug18 Jul27 Jul06     (guadarrama )CERVANTES OSCAR 122 6.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of HOLY SCRIPT by HOLY BULL)
2  BOLD BREAK Aug18 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 Feb10 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 117 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of BREAKINTHECLOUDS by BROKEN VOW)
3  BIG BLUE CAT Aug17 Jul27 Jun16 Oct01 Sep03 (guadarrama o)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LISA LULU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  HER LITTLE INDIAN Aug10 Jul20 Jul13     (hadley joe)GAMEZ M 122 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of HER AGAIN by TRAPPER)
5  SUN PHOENIX Jul06 Jun22 Jun09     (dominguez jos)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of ARTILLERA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  LATEST ATTRACTION Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Jul30 Jul04 (burns eugene)TEETER NAKIA 119 4.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RIVERTON by BROKEN VOW)
7  TIZ A BUDDY Aug10         (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of VALIDARA by VALID WAGER)
8  TRACEY'S KITCHEN         (dominguez jos)BORBONIO JOSE 122 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of COMMANDRESS by TOP COMMAND)
9  JUST N JACK Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Jun09 Sep02 (scudder mike)VALENZUELA R 122 5.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SUPPORT by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.