Handicappers' Race Results

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Tillamook County Fair
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TIL-2   08/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW29M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
2:00         2:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPORTS FOR WOMEN 4 2 22 2 31 23 1hd (lyons ke)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5.30  
GOOD JOB JACKIE 5 3 44 34 2nk 13 2hd (klapatch na)JENSEN P null   20% 4.00 5.00 P
SASSY EINSTEIN 2 5 56 5 55 38 3 (lewis roberta)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00 1.60 S
ROSES FOR SUZZETT 3 1 12 1 1nk 49 413¾ (dennis clifton )LOPEZ E null   1.40  
SENSATIONAL CITY 1 4 33 44 43 521 545¾ (lyons s)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   24% 3.20 4.70  
 
TIL-4   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW3L ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAVERNELLE 5 2 31 3½   12 1 (mcdevitt)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   3.10  
LORD OF LIGHT 1 4 1nk 1nk   22 2 (magallanes he)GUERRERO C null   55% 0.80 6.60 P
GOOD FOCUS 3 5 63 42   3 3 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00 1.80 S
SENOR FABULOSO 6 6 52 53   4 4 (peone m)SAMUELS JAKE null   2.30  
TIZ CURLY JOE 4 3 4 65   5 512 (stewart scott)LOPEZ E null   19% 4.40 8.70  
LUCCA'S LEGACY 2 1 2nk 2nk   610½ 617¾ (harshman d)ELLIS DEVON null   5.40  
SCR  SIMONSITO               (cantrell margi)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
 
TIL-6   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK7800 ($0K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:013         1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEATHER INTHE WIND 4 2 11 11   1 13 (lawrence heat)DOLL-CARRIERE C null   2.00  
HERE'S THE THING 3 4 21 31   3 23 (stewart scott)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   9% 9.80 4.70 P
AIRKITA 2 5 6 6   5 3 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE null   9.90  
CHIEFS LIL PEARL 5 6 5 5   4 4 (boyle mary)JENSEN P null   27% 2.70 3.80  
BETHEL RIDGE 1 1 43 44   6 5 (harshman)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   26% 2.80 1.50  
JADED SECRETS 6 3 31 21   2 612¼ (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   9.50  
 
TIL-8   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST SOC8000C ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE A GOOD LIFE 6 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (harshman d)ELLIS DEVON null   11% 8.10 6.50 W
BOB'S SNIPER 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (guerrero dieg)GUERRERO C null   61% 0.60 1.70 P
RHODIUM RUNNER 4 4 4 4   35 3 (christian shawna)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00 2.50 S
QUICK FINISH 5 6 6 59   5 48 (magallan)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   4.40  
MYSTIC WOOD FORCE 1 2 3 36   4 510 (rodriguez s)JENSEN P null   19.00  
BIG BAD BRIAN 3 3 5 614   612½ 622 (craig r)LOPEZ E null   2.70  
SCR  RAY OF THE SEA               (lyons s)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.