Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-2   08/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW29M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
2:00         2:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPORTS FOR WOMEN 4 2 22 22½ 31 23 1hd (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5.30  
5  GOOD JOB JACKIE 5 3 44 34 2nk 13 2hd (klapatch )JENSEN P null   20% 4.00 5.00 P
2  SASSY EINSTEIN 2 5 56 56½ 55 38 35¾ (lewis rober)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00 1.60 S
3  ROSES FOR SUZZETT 3 1 12 12½ 1nk 49 413¾ (dennis clifto)LOPEZ E null   1.40  
1  SENSATIONAL CITY 1 4 33 44 43 521 545¾ (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   24% 3.20 4.70  
 
TIL-4   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW3L ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TAVERNELLE 5 2 31 3½   12 14½ (mcdevi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   3.10  
1  LORD OF LIGHT 1 4 1nk 1nk   22 24½ (magallanes )GUERRERO C null   55% 0.80 6.60 P
4  GOOD FOCUS 3 5 63 42   34½ 35¾ (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00 1.80 S
7  SENOR FABULOSO 6 6 52 53   47½ 49½ (peone m)SAMUELS JAKE null   2.30  
5  TIZ CURLY JOE 4 3 41½ 65   59½ 512 (stewart scott)LOPEZ E null   19% 4.40 8.70  
3  LUCCA'S LEGACY 2 1 2nk 2nk   610½ 617¾ (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON null   5.40  
SCR  SIMONSITO               (cantrell mar)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
 
TIL-6   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK7800 ($0K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:013         1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FEATHER INTHE WIND 4 2 11 11   11½ 13 (lawrence he)DOLL-CARRIERE C null   2.00  
  (by GOLD ALY out of NINA NICOLE by TOUCH GOLD)
3  HERE'S THE THING 3 4 21 31   31½ 23 (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   9% 9.80 4.70 P
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ISTEEFAA by EDDINGTON)
2  AIRKITA 2 5 64½ 65¾   54½ 35¼ (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE null   9.90  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FANCY FUSAICHI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  CHIEFS LIL PEARL 5 6 53½ 55½   43½ 46¼ (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   27% 2.70 3.80  
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of MEDICI PEARL by MEDICEAN)
1  BETHEL RIDGE 1 1 43 44   65½ 58¼ (harshm)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   26% 2.80 1.50  
  (by COAST GUARD out of BEARLEE NAKED by OLD TRIESTE)
6  JADED SECRETS 6 3 31 21   21½ 612¼ (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   9.50  
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
 
TIL-8   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST SOC8000C ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIVE A GOOD LIFE 6 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON null   11% 8.10 6.50 W
  (by BOISTEROUS out of LIFE IS A STONE by GLOBALIZE)
2  BOB'S SNIPER 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null   61% 0.60 1.70 P
  (by BOISTEROUS out of NINTH INFANTRY by FOREST DANGER)
5  RHODIUM RUNNER 4 4 43½ 46½   35 35¼ (christian shaw)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00 2.50 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CASEYS IRISH PRIDE by SALT LAKE)
6  QUICK FINISH 5 6 66¾ 59   57½ 48 (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   4.40  
  (by VRONSKY out of DONNA B. QUICK by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
1  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE 1 2 32½ 36   46½ 510 (rodriguez)JENSEN P null   19.00  
  (by MYSTIC WOOD out of KINDON by WATER BANK)
3  BIG BAD BRIAN 3 3 56½ 614   612½ 622 (craig r)LOPEZ E null   2.70  
  (by COUNCIL MEMBER out of TRUFFLE'S CROWN by HAMPTON BAY)
SCR  RAY OF THE SEA               (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of MARINA DEL HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.