Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-2   08/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW29M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSATIONAL CITY Aug07 Jul04 Jun29 Jun23 Sep03 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   24% 3.20    
2  SASSY EINSTEIN Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 Oct02 Sep18 (lewis rober)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00    
3  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 (dennis clifto)LOPEZ E null      
4  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Aug07 Oct09 Sep17 Aug12 Aug09 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
5  GOOD JOB JACKIE Jul04 Oct02 Sep04 Jun24 Jun17 (klapatch )JENSEN P null   20% 4.00    
 
TIL-4   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW3L ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD OF LIGHT Jun22 Jun09 May25 Apr16 Mar23 (magallanes )GUERRERO C null   55% 0.80    
3  LUCCA'S LEGACY Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May11 Mar08 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON null      
4  GOOD FOCUS Jul28 Jun08 Jun01 May10 Apr14 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00    
5  TIZ CURLY JOE Aug07 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 Jun07 (stewart scott)LOPEZ E null   19% 4.40    
6  TAVERNELLE Jul04 Jun16 May26 May04 Apr20 (mcdevi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
7  SENOR FABULOSO Jun09 Sep09 Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 (peone m)SAMUELS JAKE null      
SCR  SIMONSITO Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 May26 Sep25 (cantrell mar)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
 
TIL-6   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK7800 ($0K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETHEL RIDGE Jul04 Jun23 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 (harshm)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   26% 2.80    
  (by COAST GUARD out of BEARLEE NAKED by OLD TRIESTE)
2  AIRKITA Jul04 Jun09 May26 Sep30 Sep10 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE null      
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of FANCY FUSAICHI by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  HERE'S THE THING Jul04 Jun23 Jun08 Sep04 Aug11 (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   9% 9.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ISTEEFAA by EDDINGTON)
4  FEATHER INTHE WIND Jun30 Jun08 Mar28 Sep03 Aug25 (lawrence he)DOLL-CARRIERE C null      
  (by GOLD ALY out of NINA NICOLE by TOUCH GOLD)
5  CHIEFS LIL PEARL Jul12 Jul04 Jun23 Jun16 Oct09 (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   27% 2.70    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of MEDICI PEARL by MEDICEAN)
6  JADED SECRETS Jun29 Jun08 Sep11 Sep03 Aug12 (lopez s)LOPEZ E null      
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
 
TIL-8   08/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST SOC8000C ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jun29 Jun15 Jun07 May25 Oct08 (rodriguez)JENSEN P null      
  (by MYSTIC WOOD out of KINDON by WATER BANK)
2  BOB'S SNIPER Jun29 Jun22 Oct08 Sep17 Sep10 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null   61% 0.60    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of NINTH INFANTRY by FOREST DANGER)
3  BIG BAD BRIAN Jun09 Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 Aug12 (craig r)LOPEZ E null      
  (by COUNCIL MEMBER out of TRUFFLE'S CROWN by HAMPTON BAY)
5  RHODIUM RUNNER Jul13 Jun02 May19 Apr30 Apr11 (christian shaw)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of CASEYS IRISH PRIDE by SALT LAKE)
6  QUICK FINISH Jun23 Jun09 Apr27 Mar03 Nov05 (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
  (by VRONSKY out of DONNA B. QUICK by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
7  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Jun30 Jun15 Jun07 Oct09 Sep25 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON null   11% 8.10    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of LIFE IS A STONE by GLOBALIZE)
SCR  RAY OF THE SEA Jun30 Jun22 Jun15 Jun09 May25 (lyons kendra)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of MARINA DEL HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.