Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW16M ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:02         1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KEEN JAMES 6 6 21 2½   2nk 11½ (cox jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   6.90  
5  HASHTAG BAE 5 3 11 1½   1nk 21½ (hoover cind)GUERRERO C null   8% 11.60 10.40 P
3  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 3 4 43 42½   42¾ 32¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   62% 0.60 3.40 S
2  CABALLERANGO 2 1 31½ 31½   32½ 46¼ (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   4.40  
1  PICK A LANE FRANK 1 2 53½ 54   55¾ 56¾ (christian)JENSEN P null   1.20  
4  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT 4 5 64½ 65   67¼ 69¼ (flores bryan)GARCIA G null   5% 19.00 3.70  
 
TIL-2   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST ALW4000s ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:003         1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MATTAWA N THAT 4 2 32 1nk   12 1¼ (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   40% 1.50 3.80 W
1  GOLDEN COWBOY 1 1 11 2nk   22 2¼ (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null   13% 6.70 2.00 P
3  ANTICIPATED 3 5 43 43   35½ 35½ (pollard eli)LOPEZ E null   6.30  
5  MR MEMPHIS 5 3 56 56   58 411 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5.40  
2  SPEEDY TOM 2 4 21 31   46½ 513½ (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   24% 3.10 1.10  
 
TIL-4   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST ALW4000s ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RODEO ROSE 3 2 22 2½   1½ 12¾ (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE null   48% 1.10 1.10 W
5  BELLS AND WHISTLES 5 3 12 1½   2½ 22¾ (pollard eli)LOPEZ E null   7.40  
6  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 6 4 32 32½   46½ 312¾ (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   10.90  
1  STEEL NERVES 1 1 43 42½   34½ 413½ (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   4.00  
4  GET'EM TIGER 4 6 54½ 54½   68½ 515¾ (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   13% 7.00 2.90  
2  MADAME CAUSEWAY 2 5 64¾ 65½   57½ 617 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   18% 4.70 5.30  
 
TIL-5   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINCE OF MEMPHIS 1 1 1½ 1½   1½ 13¾ (gilmour jim)SAMUELS JAKE null   23% 3.30 0.40 DQ↓3
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
6  TREASURE MESA 3 4 35½ 38½   2½ 23¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   7.50  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKYMYNX by SKY MESA)
5  GO GABRIELLA 2 2 2½ 2½   31 36¾ (dennis clif)GUERRERO C null   4.40  
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of RED SUNSET by IRGUN)
7  TIZ A BUDDY 4 3 46½ 49½   43 413¾ (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   56% 0.80 2.30  
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of VALIDARA by VALID WAGER)
SCR  COLTON'S TIGER               (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  MORDIGAN               (weissner tasha)ELLIS DEVON null      
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
SCR  SIXINTHECITY               (hoover cindy)GARCIA G null      
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CHARGING CITY by KANSAS CITY)
 
TIL-6   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW26M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:01         1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JADED TIGER 1 2 11 12   15 17½ (smith jac)JENSEN P null   49% 1.00 1.80 W
2  QUEEN MYSTIC 2 1 21 22   25 27½ (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   6.40  
3  WARNING SOUND 3 4 45 44½   35½ 39¼ (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   4.30  
4  CALIFORNIA HALO 4 3 34 34½   47 49¾ (harris john)LOPEZ E null   31% 2.30 1.20  
5  ANTECEDENCE 5 5 59 57½   57 511 (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5% 19.00 5.40  
SCR  COASTARANDO               (peone m)SAMUELS JAKE null      
 
TIL-8   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK6300 ($0K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:574         1:574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHOT OF A LIFETIME 3 5 42½ 33½ 1½ 12 17¼ (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   52% 0.90 2.40 W
  (by MANY RIVERS out of PENUCHE ROYALE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
1  BERNALINHO 1 2 1½ 1nk 3½ 22 27¼ (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null   1.90  
  (by MR. BIG out of DEMOCRATIC SWEEP by GOTHAM CITY)
6  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 6 6 65¾ 54¼ 43 47 310¾ (christian shawn)ELLIS DEVON null   4.90  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SILK OR SATIN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  PULPITS POWER 4 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 33½ 410¾ (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E null   23% 3.40 3.70  
  (by WAR POWER out of PARKER'S JEWEL by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
2  MASHHAD FLATS 2 1 3½ 43¾ 53¼ 59 510¾ (cantrell mar)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   5% 18.80 8.90  
  (by GORMLEY out of SHADOW THROWER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MIGHTY GYPSY 5 4 52¾ 64¼ 67¼ 619 656½ (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C null   4.90  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MIDNIGHT GYPSY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
TIL-9   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3500C ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:02         1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POLACCO 3 3 11 1nk   12½ 15¾ (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE null   12% 7.40 0.70 W
1  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 1 1 67½ 46½   44 25¾ (christian)JENSEN P null   4.00  
4  RAY OF THE SEA 4 6 57½ 57½   34 35¾ (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   53% 0.90 6.30 S
2  LOOKIN FOR GOLD 2 5 47 69½   55½ 411¾ (weissner tas)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   6.00  
6  TOO TALL TO CALL 6 4 21 2nk   22½ 512¼ (maelfeyt bru)GARCIA G null   14% 6.10 7.50  
5  SHESALILRUNAWAY 5 2 34 35   69½ 619¼ (harris john)GUERRERO C null   6.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.