Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-1   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW16M ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICK A LANE FRANK Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Oct11 (christian)JENSEN P null      
2  CABALLERANGO Jun22 Jun15 Oct09 Oct01 Sep25 (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
3  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Aug07 Jun29 Jun15 Aug09 Jul04 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   62% 0.60    
4  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Jul04 Sep25 Sep17 Sep10 Aug26 (flores bryan)GARCIA G null   5% 19.00    
5  HASHTAG BAE Aug07 Jun29 Oct09 Oct01 Sep18 (hoover cind)GUERRERO C null   8% 11.60    
6  KEEN JAMES Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 Aug28 Aug20 (cox jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
 
TIL-2   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST ALW4000s ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN COWBOY Aug07 Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jun28 (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null   13% 6.70    
2  SPEEDY TOM Jun30 Jun23 Jun15 Oct08 Sep25 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   24% 3.10    
3  ANTICIPATED Jun22 Jun09 Oct08 Sep18 Aug26 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E null      
4  MATTAWA N THAT Aug08 Jun29 Jun23 Oct08 Sep25 (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   40% 1.50    
5  MR MEMPHIS Aug08 Jun29 Jun22 Oct08 Sep25 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
 
TIL-4   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST ALW4000s ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEEL NERVES Aug07 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Oct02 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
2  MADAME CAUSEWAY Aug08 Jun29 Jun22 Oct09 Oct01 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   18% 4.70    
3  RODEO ROSE Aug03 Jul04 Jun23 Jun08 Oct09 (harshman loega)SAMUELS JAKE null   48% 1.10    
4  GET'EM TIGER Nov18 Oct28 Sep30 Sep11 Jul30 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   13% 7.00    
5  BELLS AND WHISTLES Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 Sep25 Aug27 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E null      
6  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Aug08 Jun22 Jun16 Oct02 Sep17 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null      
 
TIL-5   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRINCE OF MEMPHIS Jul26 Jun29 Jun07     (gilmour jim)SAMUELS JAKE null   23% 3.30    
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
5  GO GABRIELLA Aug08 Jul27 Jun30 Oct14 Sep09 (dennis clif)GUERRERO C null      
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of RED SUNSET by IRGUN)
6  TREASURE MESA Aug08 Jul04 Oct08     (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null      
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKYMYNX by SKY MESA)
7  TIZ A BUDDY         (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   56% 0.80    
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of VALIDARA by VALID WAGER)
SCR  COLTON'S TIGER Aug08 Jun23 Jun07 Oct08 Sep17 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  MORDIGAN Aug07 Jun30 Jun22 Jun15   (weissner tasha)ELLIS DEVON null      
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
SCR  SIXINTHECITY Aug07 Oct01 Aug12     (hoover cindy)GARCIA G null      
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CHARGING CITY by KANSAS CITY)
 
TIL-6   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW26M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JADED TIGER Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 Mar11 (smith jac)JENSEN P null   49% 1.00    
2  QUEEN MYSTIC Jul21 Jun08 Jun01 May27 May18 (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
3  WARNING SOUND Aug08 Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Oct08 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null      
4  CALIFORNIA HALO Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Sep11 Aug18 (harris john)LOPEZ E null   31% 2.30    
5  ANTECEDENCE Jun30 Jun16 Oct08 Sep25 Aug25 (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5% 19.00    
SCR  COASTARANDO Aug07 Jun07 Sep10 Aug18 Jul21 (peone m)SAMUELS JAKE null      
 
TIL-8   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST STK6300 ($0K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNALINHO Jul21 Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 May31 (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null      
  (by MR. BIG out of DEMOCRATIC SWEEP by GOTHAM CITY)
2  MASHHAD FLATS Jun30 Jun22 Oct09 Oct01 Sep11 (cantrell mar)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   5% 18.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHADOW THROWER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SHOT OF A LIFETIME Jun28 Apr24 Apr09 Mar22 Feb09 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   52% 0.90    
  (by MANY RIVERS out of PENUCHE ROYALE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
4  PULPITS POWER Aug08 Jun30 Jun23 Jun07 Oct09 (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E null   23% 3.40    
  (by WAR POWER out of PARKER'S JEWEL by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
5  MIGHTY GYPSY Jun30 Jun22 Jun15 Feb25 Feb06 (lyons kendr)GUERRERO C null      
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MIDNIGHT GYPSY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jul26 Jul07 Jun09 May18 Apr29 (christian shawn)ELLIS DEVON null      
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SILK OR SATIN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
TIL-9   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3500C ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Aug07 Jul27 Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 (christian)JENSEN P null      
2  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Aug07 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 Jun15 (weissner tas)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
3  POLACCO Jun29 Jun07 Apr14 Jan28 Jan05 (magallanes hec)SAMUELS JAKE null   12% 7.40    
4  RAY OF THE SEA Jun30 Jun22 Jun15 Jun09 May25 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   53% 0.90    
5  SHESALILRUNAWAY Jun29 Aug18 Aug10 Jul09 Jul01 (harris john)GUERRERO C null      
6  TOO TALL TO CALL Jun30 Jun15 Oct09 Jul13 Sep09 (maelfeyt bru)GARCIA G null   14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.