Handicappers' Race Results

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Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TIL-2   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000NW2L ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:041         1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZZYZX 2 5 45 4   1 1 (hanson mark)SAMUELS JAKE null   0.50  
GOLDEN PINUP 3 3 56 5   2 2 (craig r)ELLIS DEVON null   6% 14.60 14.40 P
BULLETPROOF TOO 5 4 22 2   4 38 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E null   29% 2.40 7.40 S
CHIQUITA PIQUITA 1 2 3 3   54 410¼ (cox jo)GUERRERO C null   34.90  
YANKEE PANKEE 4 1 12 1   3 514¾ (hoover cind)JENSEN P null   42% 1.40 1.20  
 
TIL-3   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000NW29M ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFENSE WINS 2 2 1½ 1   12 1 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   30% 2.30 1.10 W
PULPITS POWER 4 5 3 3   22 2 (stillwel)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   32% 2.20 1.40 P
HAKUNUI 1 1 2½ 2   35 311 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   17.90  
IM GUNNA 5 4 4 4   4 411¼ (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   11.80  
FULLY LOADED 3 3 5 5   515½ 525 (stillwell tucker)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00 2.70  
 
TIL-4   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM4000NW3L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAME CAUSEWAY 5 1 22 2   2nk 12 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   56% 0.80 4.20 W
WARNING SOUND 3 4 5 5   4 22 (hurley d)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   7.00  
MISCHIEF MAME 1 2 12 1   1nk 3 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE null   23% 3.40 0.30 S
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 2 5 4 4   5 44 (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00 19.20  
LILY PAD LAKE 4 3 33 3   32 5 (shiffer hai)JENSEN P null   5.40  
 
TIL-6   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE GOT SWAG 2 1 2 1   1 14 (lawrence heat)DOLL-CARRIERE C null   1.00  
GO GABRIELLA 3 5 3 3   2 24 (dennis clifton)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   14.00 P
COLTON'S TIGER 5 6 6 5   4 34 (stillwell tucker)SAMUELS JAKE null   45% 1.20 2.40 S
PARTY TIME GAL 7 4 4 4   3 4 (cox jo)GUERRERO C null   30% 2.30 4.10  
CRAZY STORM 6 7 5 6   55 5 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00 5.30  
TREASURE MESA 1 2 76 7   66 6 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E null   39.60  
HOPS FOR POPS 4 3 1 2   714 727¾ (harshman d)ELLIS DEVON null   17.10  
 
TIL-7   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:02         1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFIA STRONG 4 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 1¼ (harshman lo)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00 3.10 W
SHERRYS BABY 3 5 5 5   4 2¼ (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   18.60  
JADED TIGER 1 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 3¾ (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null   0.90  
ARCTIC FIRE 2 3 2nk 31   32 4 (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   7.30  
HEY WILMAAA 5 6 6 6   5 5 (magallan)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   53% 0.90 3.00  
HYPHY 6 4 4¼ 42   6 614¾ (maelfeyt brun)GUERRERO C null   24% 3.10 7.70  
 
TIL-8   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW19M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEDROCK (GB) 5 5 4 43   2 11 (christian shawna)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00 0.90 W
MATTAWA N THAT 4 3 3 1½   1 21 (boyle mary)JENSEN P null   32% 2.20 2.40 P
ROMAN RUSH 6 2 11 2½   32 33 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E null   35% 1.80 2.00 S
MR MEMPHIS 2 4 5 55   5 4 (hurley d)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   21.40  
STARBOARD LIST 1 1 21 3   44 5 (harshman loega)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   31.00  
KEEN JAMES 3 6 6 66   68 6 (cox jo)GUERRERO C null   13.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.