Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-2   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000NW2L ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:041         1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZZYZX 2 5 45 46½   11½ 17¼ (hanson mark)SAMUELS JAKE null   0.50  
3  GOLDEN PINUP 3 3 56 57½   21½ 27¼ (craig r)ELLIS DEVON null   6% 14.60 14.40 P
5  BULLETPROOF TOO 5 4 22 21½   43½ 38 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E null   29% 2.40 7.40 S
1  CHIQUITA PIQUITA 1 2 32½ 35½   54 410¼ (cox j)GUERRERO C null   34.90  
4  YANKEE PANKEE 4 1 12 11½   33½ 514¾ (hoover ci)JENSEN P null   42% 1.40 1.20  
 
TIL-3   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000NW29M ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEFENSE WINS 2 2 1½ 12½   12 13¾ (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   30% 2.30 1.10 W
4  PULPITS POWER 4 5 32½ 33½   22 23¾ (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   32% 2.20 1.40 P
1  HAKUNUI 1 1 2½ 22½   35 311 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   17.90  
5  IM GUNNA 5 4 42½ 44½   47½ 411¼ (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   11.80  
3  FULLY LOADED 3 3 53½ 57½   515½ 525 (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00 2.70  
 
TIL-4   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM4000NW3L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MADAME CAUSEWAY 5 1 22 21½   2nk 12 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   56% 0.80 4.20 W
3  WARNING SOUND 3 4 59½ 59½   44½ 22 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   7.00  
1  MISCHIEF MAME 1 2 12 11½   1nk 32¼ (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE null   23% 3.40 0.30 S
2  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 2 5 45½ 44½   55½ 44 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00 19.20  
4  LILY PAD LAKE 4 3 33 32½   32 54¼ (shiffer h)JENSEN P null   5.40  
 
TIL-6   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WE GOT SWAG 2 1 21½ 11½   11½ 14 (lawrence he)DOLL-CARRIERE C null   1.00  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJAN by GRINDSTONE)
3  GO GABRIELLA 3 5 33½ 32½   21½ 24 (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   ★ 14.00 P
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of RED SUNSET by IRGUN)
5  COLTON'S TIGER 5 6 65½ 53½   43½ 34 (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE null   45% 1.20 2.40 S
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
7  PARTY TIME GAL 7 4 44½ 42½   33½ 45½ (cox j)GUERRERO C null   30% 2.30 4.10  
  (by POINT ENCOUNTER out of CELEBRATE EVERYDAY by BEAU GENIUS)
6  CRAZY STORM 6 7 54½ 63¾   55 55¾ (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00 5.30  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of UNUSUAL STORM by UNUSUAL HEAT)
1  TREASURE MESA 1 2 76 76¼   66 67¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   39.60  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKYMYNX by SKY MESA)
4  HOPS FOR POPS 4 3 11½ 21½   714 727¾ (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON null   17.10  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MAGGIE'S SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
 
TIL-7   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:02         1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOFIA STRONG 4 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 1¼ (harshman )JENSEN P null   5% 19.00 3.10 W
3  SHERRYS BABY 3 5 52¼ 53½   42¼ 2¼ (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   18.60  
1  JADED TIGER 1 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 3¾ (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null   0.90  
2  ARCTIC FIRE 2 3 2nk 31   32 44½ (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   7.30  
5  HEY WILMAAA 5 6 64¼ 64½   54¼ 54¾ (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   53% 0.90 3.00  
6  HYPHY 6 4 4¼ 42   67¼ 614¾ (maelfeyt br)GUERRERO C null   24% 3.10 7.70  
 
TIL-8   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW19M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BEDROCK (GB) 5 5 43½ 43   21½ 11 (christian shaw)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00 0.90 W
4  MATTAWA N THAT 4 3 31½ 1½   11½ 21 (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   32% 2.20 2.40 P
6  ROMAN RUSH 6 2 11 2½   32 33 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   35% 1.80 2.00 S
2  MR MEMPHIS 2 4 54½ 55   56½ 46¼ (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   21.40  
1  STARBOARD LIST 1 1 21 31½   44 56¼ (harshman loe)NUNNALLY BLAKE null   31.00  
3  KEEN JAMES 3 6 65½ 66   68 67½ (cox j)GUERRERO C null   13.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.