Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TIL-2   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000NW2L ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIQUITA PIQUITA Jul10 Jun30 Jun15 Jun17 Aug28 (cox j)GUERRERO C null      
ZZYZX Jul04 Jun14 Jun02 May17 Apr28 (hanson mark)SAMUELS JAKE null      
GOLDEN PINUP Jul10 Jun08 Jul24     (craig r)ELLIS DEVON null   6% 14.60    
YANKEE PANKEE Jul11 Jun23 Sep18     (hoover ci)JENSEN P null   42% 1.40    
BULLETPROOF TOO Jul13 May04 Apr21 Mar09 May19 (gilmour jim)LOPEZ E null   29% 2.40    
 
TIL-3   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW5000NW29M ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAKUNUI Jun29 Jun23 Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null      
DEFENSE WINS Jul03 Jun09 Jun09 Mar26 Mar19 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   30% 2.30    
FULLY LOADED Jun23 Sep25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul23 (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00    
PULPITS POWER Jun30 Jun23 Jun07 Oct09 Oct01 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   32% 2.20    
IM GUNNA Jul12 Jun07 May04 Oct21 Sep17 (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
 
TIL-4   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM4000NW3L ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEF MAME Jul10 Jun30 Jun15 Oct09 Sep25 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE null   23% 3.40    
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Jun22 Jun16 Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C null   5% 19.00    
WARNING SOUND Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Oct08 Sep25 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
LILY PAD LAKE Jul11 Oct09 Sep17 Aug25 Aug18 (shiffer h)JENSEN P null      
MADAME CAUSEWAY Jun29 Jun22 Oct09 Oct01 Jul22 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON null   56% 0.80    
 
TIL-6   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE MESA Jul04 Oct08       (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null      
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKYMYNX by SKY MESA)
WE GOT SWAG Jul26 Jul06 Jun23 May25 May11 (lawrence he)DOLL-CARRIERE C null      
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJAN by GRINDSTONE)
GO GABRIELLA Jul27 Jun30 Oct14 Sep09 Oct29 (dennis clift)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of RED SUNSET by IRGUN)
HOPS FOR POPS Jul04 Jun23 Jul31     (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON null      
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MAGGIE'S SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
COLTON'S TIGER Jun23 Jun07 Oct08 Sep17 Aug25 (stillwell tuck)SAMUELS JAKE null   45% 1.20    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
CRAZY STORM Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 May11 Nov11 (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   5% 19.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of UNUSUAL STORM by UNUSUAL HEAT)
PARTY TIME GAL Jul11 Jun30 Jun22 May18 Apr05 (cox j)GUERRERO C null   30% 2.30    
  (by POINT ENCOUNTER out of CELEBRATE EVERYDAY by BEAU GENIUS)
 
TIL-7   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000 ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADED TIGER Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 Mar11 Feb26 (smith jackie)SAMUELS JAKE null      
ARCTIC FIRE Jun08 Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 Aug11 (gilmour jim)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
SHERRYS BABY Jul12 Jun22 Jun09 Oct02 Sep11 (lopez s)LOPEZ E null      
SOFIA STRONG Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 Mar21 Mar12 (harshman )JENSEN P null   5% 19.00    
HEY WILMAAA Jun30 Jun16 Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   53% 0.90    
HYPHY Jul12 Jul04 Jun16 Oct01 Sep17 (maelfeyt br)GUERRERO C null   24% 3.10    
 
TIL-8   08/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST ALW6000NW19M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARBOARD LIST Jun23 Sep25 Aug26 Aug10 Jun25 (harshman loe)NUNNALLY BLAKE null      
MR MEMPHIS Jun29 Jun22 Oct08 Sep25 Sep03 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
KEEN JAMES Jun29 Jun23 Aug28 Aug20 Aug11 (cox j)GUERRERO C null      
MATTAWA N THAT Jun29 Jun23 Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 (boyle mar)JENSEN P null   32% 2.20    
BEDROCK (GB) Jun21 Jun01 May19 Apr29 Apr09 (christian shaw)SAMUELS JAKE null   5% 19.00    
ROMAN RUSH Jun23 Jun07 Jun01 Sep11 Aug10 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E null   35% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.