Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $16.48 $10.48 175%
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-5 $20.99 $11.99 133%
EMD-7   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $21.86 $13.86 173%
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $41.95 $29.95 250%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EMPEROROFTHENORTH 2 2 1½ 11 11 1½ 1¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50 45% 1.20 0.74 W
6  SPORT COAT 5 5 53 43 21 2½ 2¾ (gabriel luciano)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50 7.39  
4  NYQUILER 3 1 32 32½ 32½ 33½ 39¼ (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 1.80 4.20  
2  DARK MYSTERY 1 4 42½ 53½ 43 44½ 412¼ (gutierrez jose)REYES R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
5  FUN CITY 4 3 2½ 21 57 513½ 528 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 5.00 26% 2.90 5.29  
SCR  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN               (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00    
 
EMD-2   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DISTINCTIVE DEB 5 1 1nk 11½   12 12¾ (seymour car)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.24 W
4  INFINITE LOVE 4 4 65¾ 54   43 22¾ (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.00 6.10  
6  BIG JOLT 6 5 52¾ 31½   22 33¾ (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 3.20  
3  METEOR SHOWER 3 3 41¼ 42½   54½ 47 (cooper kay)CRUZ M 125 1.60 1.62  
1  CAMDEN HIGH 1 6 31 21½   32½ 57½ (morris m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00 23% 3.30 12.34  
2  HEY BARMAID 2 2 2nk 64½   69½ 616¾ (peery debbie)REYES R 125 3.00 31% 2.20 3.26  
 
EMD-3   07/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:223 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BORDER VIGIL 6 1 31 31½   1nk 11¼ (evans justin)KRIGGER K 120 5.00 2.20  
7  THE LAIR 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 21¼ (cryderman cand)REYES R 120 3.50 34% 1.90 2.20 P
6  KREWE D'ETAT 3 3 2½ 2½   32½ 310 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 117 6.00 5.40  
8  G DAWG 5 5 54½ 45½   46½ 413 (gibson howar)MARTIN A 120 15.00 9.95  
4  AMERICAN LUTHIER 2 6 68½ 612   612½ 516 (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 5.00 14% 6.10 5.25  
1  T B'S GRAY 1 4 42 57   511½ 620 (birdwell tena)MONTALVO C 120 20.00 5% 19.00 5.31  
SCR  COLONEL LUDLOW               (evans justin)CRUZ M 120 2.50    
SCR  LANI'S SWEETHEART               (martinez b)MATIAS J 117 8.00    
SCR  WILLIAM PORTER               (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 12.00    
 
EMD-4   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENNARD 1 6 44½ 43½   2nk 12 (hernandez migu)REYES R 122 5.00 4.44  
3  BEAU MISCHIEF 3 4 33 21½   1nk 22 (madrigal elodio)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 30% 2.40 3.00 P
4  CLAYTON DELANEY 4 5 54½ 63¾   3.2 34 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 122 3.00 2.10  
5  EL CHUMELITO 5 2 21½ 32½   4¼ 44 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00 11.28  
6  REGULATION DAZED 6 3 64¾ 53½   62¾ 57½ (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 32% 2.10 2.82  
2  SENSEMAKER 2 1 11½ 11½   51¾ 69¼ (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.50 9.78  
 
EMD-5   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:113 1:252   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A KRAKEN 1 4 21 21 2nk 1nk 1½ (christian shawn)CRUZ M 118 8.00 0.92  
4  VANDULIE 4 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 2½ (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 1.80 7.46  
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN 2 6 32 41½ 33 35 36½ (navarro jos)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00 ★ 3.55 S
3  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE 3 3 68½ 68½ 511 511 415 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 4.50 7.44  
5  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 5 2 54½ 54½ 47 49 517¼ (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 42% 1.40 7.21  
6  CHROME'S BEST COPY 6 5 42 31 613 620 644¼ (birdwell tena)REYES R 125 2.50 14% 6.30 9.87  
 
EMD-6   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STREET MOGUL 6 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 12¼ (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 125 6.00 7.39  
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  R BARRACUDA 4 1 53 54   32 22¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 22% 3.50 4.41 P
  (by COLLECTED out of BLASTED BOSS by STREET BOSS)
1  KLINKERBRICK 1 8 41½ 31½   42 32½ (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 27.77  
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STAFF SGT RECKLESS by SCAT DADDY)
2  ELDER MACK 2 7 31 42½   52¼ 42½ (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 38% 1.60 1.81  
  (by LORD NELSON out of PROMISE TO PEG by MINESHAFT)
5  HEZ ALL SMILES 5 5 1nk 2nk   2½ 55 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.85  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BETTERTHANADEQUATE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  KNOCKOUT GUY 3 4 87 811   68¼ 68¼ (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 15.00 43.84  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  CAPE BLOSSOM 9 6 76 66   78¼ 79¾ (martinez b)MATIAS J 116 4.00 14% 6.10 2.03  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
8  DEKUDYLAN 8 3 64 79   810¼ 813¼ (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.67  
  (by BUCCHERO out of ANTEBELLUM by BIRDSTONE)
7  FURYS GIFT 7 9 911 916   918¼ 925¾ (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 15.00 40.21  
  (by LUTES GIFT out of HOUSE OF FURY by FREE HOUSE)
 
EMD-7   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:213 :442 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GYPSY GUN 5 3 712 69   44 11¾ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 5% 19.00 9.93 W
3  FREIGHTLINE 3 2 55 45   23 21¾ (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 118 4.50 8% 11.20 3.45 P
1  GUNNIN FOR GOLD 1 5 1nk 12   13 32¾ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 12.00 6.01  
8  UNCLE PETE 7 6 610 713   66½ 42¾ (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00 4.93  
7  MR. CAPTAIN JACK 6 4 32½ 34   34 54½ (lawrence heath)MAWING A 125 8.00 18% 4.50 9.73  
5  BLUEGRASS GO GO 4 1 2nk 22   54½ 66½ (wright blaine)REYES R 125 3.00 44% 1.30 1.29  
2  FRUIT LUTES 2 7 43 58   79½ 79½ (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 121 15.00 27.58  
SCR  MISTER MIDAS               (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.50    
 
EMD-8   07/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:363   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 5 6 32 31 31 1nk 1hd (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.40 0.97  
3  JIN TONG 3 3 43 51¼ 41¼ 2nk 2hd (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 8.06  
8  EL ALTO HOMBRE 7 1 11½ 11 1nk 3.2 33½ (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 18.27 S
1  YOU'RE THE CAUSE 1 4 77 74¼ 63¼ 42¼ 46½ (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
4  SON OF THUNDER 4 7 64 41¼ 52¾ 63¾ 57½ (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 15.00 5% 19.00 6.88  
2  DIRT ROAD RED 2 2 21½ 21 2nk 52¾ 68½ (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 4.00 67% 0.50 5.46  
7  FALSELY ACCUSED 6 5 53 62¼ 75¼ 78¾ 715½ (homer jason)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 7.45  
SCR  SAQEEL               (markle dan)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
EMD-9   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:57
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY 5 1 11½ 12   11 1¾ (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 4.50 11.28  
4  FED GRANT 3 5 43½ 22   21 2¾ (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.00 23% 3.30 2.18 P
3  QUAIL 2 2 32 32½   34 37¼ (thompson e)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 39% 1.60 5.97 S
1  CASH'S CAT 1 4 66½ 55½   57 48¾ (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 6.00 4.23  
7  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR 6 6 55½ 65¾   47 59 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 125 8.00 7.90  
5  CHANCELLORS BOOM 4 3 21½ 42½   67½ 618¼ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 118 6.00 5% 19.00 1.87  
SCR  MOTIVATING FORCE               (lawrence heath)MAWING A 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.