Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(2/1/5)-(7/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/4/1)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(6/3/5)-(5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/6)-(2/4/9/5/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(2/4/9/5/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(2/4/9/5/8)-(5/7/3/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/4/9/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/5/8)-(2/4/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/5/8)-(2/4/9/5/8)-(2/4/9/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/9/5/8)-(5/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/9/5/8)-(5/7/3/6)-(2/4/1/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-7   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/6)-(2/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/6)-(2/4/1/8)-(3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-8   WIN (2/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8)-(2/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/8)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-9   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jun28 Jun02 May18 Sep16 Sep09 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 122 8.00    
2  DARK MYSTERY Jul07 Jun09 May25 Mar22 Mar01 (gutierrez jose)REYES R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Jun28 Jun08 May19 Apr23 Apr04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  NYQUILER Jul07 Jun28 Jun08 May19 Mar19 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 1.80    
5  FUN CITY Jul19 Jun21 Jul01 Apr12   (bean a)CRUZ M 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  SPORT COAT Jul07 Jun28 May25 May18 May04 (gabriel luciano)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50    
 
EMD-2   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMDEN HIGH Jul14 Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 (morris l)MONTALVO C 122 12.00 23% 3.30    
2  HEY BARMAID Jul06 Jun22 May26 May11 Apr07 (peery debbie)REYES R 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  METEOR SHOWER Jul03 Jun22 May25 May12 Jan26 (cooper kay)CRUZ M 125 1.60    
4  INFINITE LOVE Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 May12 Mar31 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.00    
5  DISTINCTIVE DEB Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul14 (seymour car)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG JOLT Jul14 Jun22 May26 Apr10 Mar04 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
 
EMD-3   07/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T B'S GRAY Jun09 Apr11       (birdwell tena)MONTALVO C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LANI'S SWEETHEART Jul07 Jun22       (martinez b)MATIAS J 117 8.00    
SCR  COLONEL LUDLOW         (evans justin)CRUZ M 120 2.50    
4  AMERICAN LUTHIER         (wright blain)OROZCO E 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  WILLIAM PORTER Jul13         (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 120 12.00    
6  KREWE D'ETAT         (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 117 6.00    
7  THE LAIR Jun09         (cryderman cand)REYES R 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
8  G DAWG         (gibson howar)MARTIN A 120 15.00    
9  BORDER VIGIL May27 May12       (evans justin)KRIGGER K 120 5.00    
 
EMD-4   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENNARD Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 Sep10 Sep03 (hernandez migu)REYES R 122 5.00    
2  SENSEMAKER Jul06 Jun29 Jun07 May12 Mar28 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.50    
3  BEAU MISCHIEF Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May19 Apr15 (madrigal elodio)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  CLAYTON DELANEY Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May18 Aug25 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
5  EL CHUMELITO Jun22 Jun01 May19 May05 Jan26 (homer jaso)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  REGULATION DAZED Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 Mar22 Feb18 (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
EMD-5   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A KRAKEN Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 May31 May11 (christian shawn)CRUZ M 118 8.00    
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jul06 Jun14 May31 May11 Sep17 (navarro jos)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00 ★    
3  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Jun30 Jun08 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 4.50    
4  VANDULIE Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May19 Aug18 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 1.80    
5  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jul06 Jun21 Jun02 May12 Sep16 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  CHROME'S BEST COPY Jul06 Jun14 May11 Sep03 Jul30 (birdwell tena)REYES R 125 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
EMD-6   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLINKERBRICK         (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of STAFF SGT RECKLESS by SCAT DADDY)
2  ELDER MACK Jul06 Jun01 May11     (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by LORD NELSON out of PROMISE TO PEG by MINESHAFT)
3  KNOCKOUT GUY Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr15 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 15.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of KNOCKOUT BERTIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  R BARRACUDA Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr18 Mar26 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of BLASTED BOSS by STREET BOSS)
5  HEZ ALL SMILES Jun15         (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BETTERTHANADEQUATE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  STREET MOGUL Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May31 Sep16 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 125 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  FURYS GIFT         (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 15.00    
  (by LUTES GIFT out of HOUSE OF FURY by FREE HOUSE)
8  DEKUDYLAN Jul06 Jun01 Jan30     (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of ANTEBELLUM by BIRDSTONE)
9  CAPE BLOSSOM Jun09         (martinez b)MATIAS J 116 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
 
EMD-7   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNIN FOR GOLD Jul07 Jun07 May11 Jan08 Dec11 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 12.00    
2  FRUIT LUTES Jul03 May11 Sep03     (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 121 15.00    
3  FREIGHTLINE Jul03 Jun16 May18 Aug06 Jul22 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 118 4.50 8% 11.20    
SCR  MISTER MIDAS Jul12 May26 May11 Jun25 May27 (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.50    
5  BLUEGRASS GO GO Jul06 May27 Apr29 Mar27 Mar04 (wright blaine)REYES R 125 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  GYPSY GUN Jun23 May26 May04 Aug04 Jul14 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR. CAPTAIN JACK Jul07 Apr29 Apr15     (lawrence heath)MAWING A 125 8.00 18% 4.50    
8  UNCLE PETE Jun29 Jun07 Jun11 May27 May13 (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00    
 
EMD-8   07/27/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jun29 Jun01 Oct09 Sep03 Aug13 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIRT ROAD RED Jun29 Jun02 May12 Sep17 Sep09 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 4.00 67% 0.50    
3  JIN TONG Jul03 Jun16 Jun01 Apr16 Apr08 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
4  SON OF THUNDER Jun23 Jun08 Apr25 Jul30 Jun04 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jul03 Jun16 Jun02 May25 May04 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.40    
SCR  SAQEEL Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar21 Jan06 (markle dan)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
7  FALSELY ACCUSED Jun29 Jun16 May19 Apr25 Apr04 (homer jason)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
8  EL ALTO HOMBRE Jun30 Apr29 Apr17 Mar27 Feb20 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-9   07/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASH'S CAT Jul19 Jun15 May18 May04 Apr08 (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 6.00    
SCR  MOTIVATING FORCE Jun29 Jun14 May25 May12 Apr20 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 121 3.50    
3  QUAIL Jun29 Jun21 Jun09 May25 Mar27 (thompson e)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00 39% 1.60    
4  FED GRANT Jul14 Jun15 May26 May12 Apr29 (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  CHANCELLORS BOOM Jul14 Jun21 Jun09 May18 Sep17 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Jul14 Jun29 Jun21 May25 Apr09 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 4.50    
7  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 May31 Dec04 (christian billy)LOPEZ KARLO 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.