Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3-4 $7.60 $3.60 90%
ARP-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.20 $1.20 20%
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-3   09/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :481       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FRIENDLY SPIRIT 2 1 21     1nk 13¾ (parsons riley)VERGARA P 122 2.50 41% 1.50 0.40 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SMART STING by SMART STRIKE)
4  GOLDEN BEAUTY 3 3 11     2nk 23¾ (martinez o )VORRATH VALENTE 122 8.00 29% 2.40 5.50 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JUST FUNNIN' YA by CITY ZIP)
1  ALLIYAS CREATION 1 2 32     32 39¼ (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50 5.00  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ALLIYA'S STORY by SUPER SAVER)
5  STOLEN FUNDS 4 4 43½     410 432 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00 3.60  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
SCR  SPORTING STAR               (williams dewey)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of HAMMETT STAR by REVERSAL)
 
ARP-4   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRAYBRAY 2 2 23 23   1nk 12 (martinez a)VERGARA P 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.10 W
4  JONO 4 1 13 13   2nk 22 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 2.40  
1  I'M A COOL CAT 1 3 33 35   33 35 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 121 10.00 36% 1.80 1.60 S
3  BRON AND THE BROW 3 4 47 411   423 482½ (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00 8.50  
SCR  UNCLE JUJU               (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :462 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAHAWK CODY 1 2 21 2nk   2nk 1hd (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.60  
5  LIGHTNING STRUCK 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2hd (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80 1.40 P
4  DRIVEHAPPY 3 3 31½ 42   43¼ 35¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 28% 2.50 1.50 S
3  CRYSTAL BANDIT 2 4 42 31½   33 45¾ (ortega joe)VORRATH VALENTE 124 4.00 13% 6.80 3.70  
SCR  CREATIVE MIRACLE               (hibdon n)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
 
ARP-6   09/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :471       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED FROST 1 5 45     31 13¼ (long vaughn)VERGARA P 122 8.00 3.20  
2  MALIBU SANGRIA 2 1 2½     1nk 23¼ (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 2.50 51% 1.00 1.00 P
4  JAKE ON DAKAN 4 3 1½     2nk 34½ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50 14% 6.10 4.50 S
3  RUNNIN BUFFALO 3 2 33     43 44¾ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00 5.70  
5  JANIS 5 4 55     53¼ 56¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 11% 7.80 4.50  
 
ARP-7   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Brown Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:214 :444 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TENNESSEE MOON 5 1 11 12   15 110¼ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 62% 0.60 2.60 W
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
3  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 3 3 32½ 32   25 210¼ (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 2.50 1.70  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
4  LOVELY LOLA 4 5 66 510   39 310¼ (ortega joe)LULL E 124 4.50 10% 9.00 4.00 S
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
1  CELEE'S LAST TE 1 4 21 22   411 423¼ (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
2  INTO CLASSIC 2 2 56 612½   515 526 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 6.50  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISCHIEVOUS MISTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  VIRTUALLY 6 6 45½ 49   617 630 (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 5.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
 
ARP-8   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ART QUEEN 1 2 45½ 45   22 13¾ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 8.00 3.70  
2  RASPBERRY WINE 2 1 31½ 33   32 23¾ (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 8% 10.80 2.10 P
4  CALEBS LADY 3 3 2½ 21½   12 35 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 2.50 65% 0.50 1.10 S
5  GRACIE'S A TIGER 4 4 1½ 11½   45 410 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 6.00 3.10  
SCR  MELODY ROSE               (scudder jr)LULL E 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.