Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/1)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/5/3)-(2/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/4/1)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-8   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   09/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLIYAS CREATION Aug11 Jun29       (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 122 4.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ALLIYA'S STORY by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  SPORTING STAR         (williams dewey)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 20.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of HAMMETT STAR by REVERSAL)
3  FRIENDLY SPIRIT Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23   (parsons riley)VERGARA P 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SMART STING by SMART STRIKE)
4  GOLDEN BEAUTY Aug11         (martinez a)RAMOS B 122 8.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JUST FUNNIN' YA by CITY ZIP)
5  STOLEN FUNDS         (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
 
ARP-4   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A COOL CAT Jul13 Jun22 May11 Apr21 Mar15 (long vaughn)LULL E 121 10.00 36% 1.80    
2  BRAYBRAY Jul21 Jun15 May02 Apr15 Feb22 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  BRON AND THE BROW Aug03 Aug26 Aug07 Jul22 May06 (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 20.00    
4  JONO Jun28 Jun14 May25 Mar23 Mar09 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE JUJU Aug18 Jul28 Jul19 Jul07 Jun15 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
 
ARP-5   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAHAWK CODY Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun08 May22 (rust terri)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
SCR  CREATIVE MIRACLE Aug28 Jul30 Jul07 Jun22 May27 (hibdon n)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
3  CRYSTAL BANDIT Aug04 Jul13 Jun08 Apr29 Mar12 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  DRIVEHAPPY Aug07 Jul14 Jul03 Jun21 May31 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  LIGHTNING STRUCK Aug10 Jul10 Jun24 Jun07 May23 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
ARP-6   09/08/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED FROST Aug11 Aug03 Jun09 May11 Apr21 (long vaughn)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
2  MALIBU SANGRIA Jul27 Jun09 Apr21 Apr07   (rust terri)RAMOS B 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  RUNNIN BUFFALO Jun08 Nov24 Nov10 Oct27 Oct06 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00    
4  JAKE ON DAKAN Jul20 Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr14 (long vaughn)LULL E 121 4.50 14% 6.10    
5  JANIS Jul31 Jul04 Jun18 Jun08 Apr20 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 20.00 11% 7.80    
 
ARP-7   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Brown Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEE'S LAST TE Jul14 Jun15 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
2  INTO CLASSIC Jun26 Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (kemper ker)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISCHIEVOUS MISTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Feb19 Feb01 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 2.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
4  LOVELY LOLA Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 (ortega joe)LULL E 124 4.50 10% 9.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
5  TENNESSEE MOON Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 May04 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 62% 0.60    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
6  VIRTUALLY Aug11 Jun29 May04 Apr13 Mar30 (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNOSTRIKE by MACHO UNO)
 
ARP-8   09/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ART QUEEN Jul17 Jun16 Jun08 May19 May11 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 8.00    
2  RASPBERRY WINE Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Jun15 Apr07 (rust terri)HAAR NATHAN 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
SCR  MELODY ROSE Aug11 Aug04 Jun23 Jun08 Feb16 (scudder jr)LULL E 124 20.00    
4  CALEBS LADY Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 Apr18 Mar19 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 2.50 65% 0.50    
5  GRACIE'S A TIGER Aug04 Jul14 Jun16 Apr25 Mar18 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.