Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-4   08/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST MCL25000 ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 M/F PT-
See original race card.
:223 :453       :514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REBEL GAL 2 1 21     2½ 12¼ (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO null   31% 2.20 1.07 W
4  MOONLIGHT GREY 3 2 31½     31 22¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D null   ★ 5.26 P
1  EMERY'S ROSE 1 5 11     1½ 32¾ (cryderman cand)REYES R null   3.05  
7  BELLA CIAO CIAO 6 6 56     44½ 47 (patino faustino)MAWING A null   9.86  
5  RUBY RENDEZVOUS 4 4 43     58½ 518¼ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M null   46% 1.20 4.57  
6  GALLANTS BRITE GAL 5 3 66½     6100 6100 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO null   31.49  
SCR  ROCKYSCENTS               (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M null      
SCR  SECRET GOLD               (navarro jose)ZUNINO L null      
 
EMD-5   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM2500NW2L ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HOT LAVA CAKE 7 1 12 13   15 18½ (tubbs sc)AMADOR RUIZ null   14% 6.20 1.12 W
1  SETTLER'S COVE 1 6 66 510   49 28½ (belvoir howa)MARTIN A null   15.24  
6  BIKINI NATION 6 2 32 23   25 310 (markle dan)AMERICANO MANUEL null   36.04  
5  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 5 3 22 35   37 410 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M null   32% 2.10 5.38  
2  LASSIE CAT 2 4 44 48   59 510¼ (markle dan)LOPEZ KARLO null   ★ 4.04  
4  PHOENICIAN MAGIC 4 5 54½ 610½   613 616 (ramnarine l)MORALES ALLYSSA null   31% 2.20 13.17  
3  SHELBY SHORTSTOP 3 7 76¼ 713½   718 720¾ (cryderman cand)REYES R null   3.83  
 
EMD-6   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM2500NW3L ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY 4 2 12 12   14½ 15¼ (tubbs scott)REYES R null   5.23  
5  BIG PAPER DADDY 5 5 56½ 47   44¾ 25¼ (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO null   ★ 3.56 P
3  NORTHERN BLEND 3 3 34½ 34   24½ 36¾ (dronen sam)CRUZ M null   8.78  
1  CHIPPEWA BUD 1 6 610½ 610½   57¾ 47 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL null   3.93  
7  UNCLE JUJU 7 1 22 22   34½ 59¼ (evans justin)KRIGGER K null   47% 1.10 1.70  
6  AUTISM WARRIOR 6 4 45½ 58   612¾ 611½ (christian)JENSEN P null   16% 5.20 21.96  
2  DANCE COMPANY 2 7 711½ 713½   716¾ 714 (garcia serj)MCGREGOR KIAMAN null   ★ 9.64  
 
EMD-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY 4 1 11 11   1nk 12 (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M null   7.74  
5  SILVER LIGHTENING 5 3 21 21   2nk 22 (evans justin)KRIGGER K null   27% 2.70 1.41 P
3  NORTHERN LINCHPIN 3 5 53 43   33 37¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M null   ★ 3.01 S
6  PRINCESS PAYTON 6 4 64½ 64   64¼ 47¾ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C null   19% 4.40 3.23  
2  CANDIED JOULE 2 2 42½ 53½   53¾ 510¼ (tubbs scott)REYES R null   16.63  
1  HARBOR LASS 1 6 32 32   43½ 615¾ (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL null   7.29  
 
EMD-8   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST MCL5000 ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIA SUZI 4 1 12 13   13 16¼ (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ null   ★ 3.75  
7  MANY MEMORIES 5 2 52¾ 23   23 26¼ (balcom clif)MORALES ALLYSSA null   11.54  
1  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET 1 5 42½ 65½   37 37¼ (bozell al)JENSEN P null   7.27  
10  ENGAGING SOUL 7 4 75¾ 78½   58½ 49¾ (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN null   ★ 12.18  
11  SHILSHOLE BAY 8 7 62¾ 43½   47 511¾ (lawrence heath)MAWING A null   8% 11.20 3.07  
2  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT 2 8 86¼ 810½   811¼ 617½ (gibson howar)MARTIN A null   30.11  
3  PLEASANT IMPACT 3 3 22 55   610½ 717½ (cryderman cand)REYES R null   36.88  
8  DANCING IN CABO 6 6 32 33   710¾ 819¼ (wright blain)OROZCO E null   67% 0.50 1.50  
SCR  LADY MORMONT               (dronen sam)CRUZ M null      
SCR  SOLO UN BESO               (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M null      
SCR  SORORITY PARTY               (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.