Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-4   08/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST MCL25000 ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMERY'S ROSE Aug10         (cryderman cand)REYES R null      
2  REBEL GAL Aug10 Jul14 Jun22     (bullock steve)LOPEZ KARLO null   31% 2.20    
4  MOONLIGHT GREY Aug09         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D null   ★    
5  RUBY RENDEZVOUS Jul07 Jun22       (cryderman candi)CRUZ M null   46% 1.20    
6  GALLANTS BRITE GAL Jun22         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO null      
7  BELLA CIAO CIAO Jun22         (patino faustino)MAWING A null      
SCR  ROCKYSCENTS Aug09 Jul14       (patino fausti)GUTIERREZ M null      
SCR  SECRET GOLD         (navarro jose)ZUNINO L null      
 
EMD-5   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM2500NW2L ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLER'S COVE Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May12 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A null      
2  LASSIE CAT Aug04 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jul14 (markle dan)LOPEZ KARLO null   ★    
3  SHELBY SHORTSTOP May29 May04 Apr09 Mar25 Nov27 (cryderman cand)REYES R null      
4  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Aug02 Jun21 Jul21 Mar26 Mar07 (ramnarine l)MORALES ALLYSSA null   31% 2.20    
5  DRINKUP BUTTERCUP Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 Jun02 May12 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M null   32% 2.10    
6  BIKINI NATION Aug02 Jul06 Sep16 Aug12 Jul16 (markle dan)AMERICANO MANUEL null      
7  HOT LAVA CAKE Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 May19 (tubbs sc)AMADOR RUIZ null   14% 6.20    
 
EMD-6   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM2500NW3L ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPPEWA BUD Jun12 May13 May01 Apr10 Jan06 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL null      
2  DANCE COMPANY Jun30 Jun22 Oct22 Sep24 Sep04 (garcia serj)MCGREGOR KIAMAN null   ★    
3  NORTHERN BLEND Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (dronen sam)CRUZ M null      
4  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Jul27 Jul14 Jun29 Jun21 May25 (tubbs scott)REYES R null      
5  BIG PAPER DADDY Jun14 May04 Mar22 Mar10 Sep16 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO null   ★    
6  AUTISM WARRIOR Jul13 Jun16 Apr02 Feb22 Jan18 (christian)JENSEN P null   16% 5.20    
7  UNCLE JUJU Jul28 Jul19 Jul07 Jun15 May31 (evans justin)KRIGGER K null   47% 1.10    
 
EMD-7   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR LASS Jul28 Jul21 Jun16 Jun01 May18 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL null      
2  CANDIED JOULE Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun07 (tubbs scott)REYES R null      
3  NORTHERN LINCHPIN Aug04 Jul12 Mar14 Feb22 Dec03 (essex charles)CRUZ M null   ★    
4  CHROME'S BEST COPY Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May11 Sep03 (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M null      
5  SILVER LIGHTENING Jul28 Aug27 Aug17 Jul23 Aug26 (evans justin)KRIGGER K null   27% 2.70    
6  PRINCESS PAYTON Jul20 Jun07 Sep16 Sep03 Jul14 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C null   19% 4.40    
 
EMD-8   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST MCL5000 ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Jul26 Jul12       (bozell al)JENSEN P null      
2  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Jul12         (gibson howar)MARTIN A null      
3  PLEASANT IMPACT Aug03 Jun11       (cryderman cand)REYES R null      
4  TIA SUZI Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 Jun16 Jun01 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ null   ★    
7  MANY MEMORIES Jul28 Jul21 Jul03 Jun14 Jun02 (balcom clif)MORALES ALLYSSA null      
8  DANCING IN CABO Jul26         (wright blain)OROZCO E null   67% 0.50    
10  ENGAGING SOUL Aug10 Jul21 Jul12 Jun30 Jun21 (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN null   ★    
11  SHILSHOLE BAY Aug03 Jul12 Mar25 Mar05 Feb13 (lawrence heath)MAWING A null   8% 11.20    
SCR  LADY MORMONT Jul03 Jun16 May18 May04   (dronen sam)CRUZ M null      
SCR  SOLO UN BESO Sep10 Aug11 Jul15     (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M null      
SCR  SORORITY PARTY Jul26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun15   (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.