Handicappers' Race Results
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Arapahoe Park
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ARP-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
ARP-3   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.20  
ARP-5   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.40  
ARP-6   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
ARP-7   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $3.80  
Simulator Race results
 
ARP-2   09/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'WILD MUFFIN 1 1 1nk 1½   12 15½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 14% 6.00 1.50 W
2  UNPLUCKED GEM 2 2 31½ 2½   22 25½ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.00 1.90  
3  MAGIC IN A HAT 3 3 53¼ 42½   34 310½ (schindler jeff)RAMOS B 124 4.00 53% 0.90 18.20 S
5  NEW YEARS LOVE 5 4 43 54   55½ 411¾ (jenkins ree)IRONEYES R 119 6.00 10% 8.90 1.70  
4  TOTHEMOONANDBACK 4 5 2nk 31   45½ 516¼ (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 10.20  
 
ARP-3   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KONA KINLEY 3 4 43 31½   3.2 15 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 122 4.00 3.10  
2  MAYA D 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 25 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 122 2.50 50% 1.00 0.90 P
4  LOTTA PRADA 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 36¼ (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.00 2.40  
6  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 2 32½ 41¾   41¼ 49¼ (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 17.60 4.50  
SCR  DANGERELLA               (leon alexis)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
SCR  HAUGHTY KITTY               (ortega joe)IRONEYES R 119 6.00    
 
ARP-5   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COLD AS YOU 3 2 11 11   12 1nk (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 3.20  
4  FLIPLIT 4 3 58 46   44½ 2nk (whitehouse )IRONEYES R 119 10.00 3.10  
1  LIL MISS DE BUY 1 5 35 33   32½ 3¼ (rushton temp)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 3.50 24% 3.20 5.20 S
2  T R'S FIRST 2 4 48 57½   56½ 46 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 6.00 7% 14.20 6.50  
5  DIVA DE KELA 5 1 21 21   22 59½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 35% 1.90 1.10  
 
ARP-6   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARIZONA REINA 4 1 1½ 11½   1½ 1¾ (ortega joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 2.00 53% 0.90 0.40 W
3  CREAM PUFF REAPER 3 2 31½ 21½   2½ 2¾ (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 5.20  
5  TIFFANY'S FERRARI 5 3 2½ 32   33½ 37 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40 S
1  MOR FOXY 1 5 57½ 58   46½ 49½ (ramaekers eric)RAMOS B 122 3.50 8.20  
2  SPECIAL TWIST 2 4 44½ 47   512½ 527¼ (vicchrilli )IRONEYES R 116 8.00 24% 3.20 4.70  
 
ARP-7   09/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BUDDY MEL 1 1 2nk 21½   2nk 1hd (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 122 1.40 0.90  
4  BIG JACK 3 2 31 32½   1nk 2hd (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.50 ★ 0.90 P
2  MOON SHINE TIME 2 3 1nk 11½   3½ 33¾ (long vaughn)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 57% 0.80 3.50 S
SCR  DANCIN ROCKET               (lemburg mar)IRONEYES R 119 8.00    
SCR  TOOMANYNAMES               (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.